Morocco vs Mali: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 December

Morocco

W D W W W

1st place in Group B

1-1

26/12/2025 16:00

Mali

D D W W L

1st place in Group I

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Morocco vs Mali on 26 December 2025 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Morocco vs Mali preview before placing your bet.

Morocco are currently 1st with 18 points after 6 matches.
Mali sit 1st with 14 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Morocco to win with probability 63%.
Head-to-head history favors Morocco, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Mali have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2025-12-26

Morocco vs Mali - Prediction & Odds

Morocco

Mali

2025-12-26 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 26/12/2025

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Morocco	18	6	6	0	0	26	2	24
02 Gabon	10	6	3	1	2	7	9	-2
03 Lesotho	4	6	1	1	4	2	13	-11
04 Central African Republic	3	6	1	0	5	3	14	-11

Group I	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Mali	14	6	4	2	0	10	1	9
02 Mozambique	11	6	3	2	1	9	5	4
03 Guinea Bissau	5	6	1	2	3	4	6	-2
04 Eswatini	2	6	0	2	4	2	13	-11

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Morocco	7	3	2	1	0	6	1	5
02 Mali	3	3	0	3	0	2	2	0
03 Comoros	2	3	0	2	1	0	2	-2
04 Zambia	2	3	0	2	1	1	4	-3

Head To Head

07/02/2021 15:00

Mali

0 - 2

Morocco

CAF SC

05/09/2017 15:00

Mali

0 - 0

Morocco

WCPAF

01/09/2017 16:00

Morocco

6 - 0

Mali

WCPAF

06/03/2013 15:00

Morocco

2 - 1

Mali

INT CF

28/05/2006 11:00

Mali

1 - 0

Morocco

INT CF

11/02/2004 14:00

Morocco

4 - 0

Mali

CAF NC

Morocco

67%

Draw

17%

Mali

17%

Morocco Last 6 matches

21/12/2025 15:00

Morocco 2 - 0 Comoros CAF NC

18/12/2025 12:00

Jordan 2 - 2 Morocco ARAB CUP

15/12/2025 10:30

Morocco 3 - 0 United Arab Emirates ARAB CUP

11/12/2025 10:30

Morocco 1 - 0 Syria ARAB CUP

08/12/2025 13:00

Morocco 1 - 0 Saudi Arabia ARAB CUP

05/12/2025 10:30

Oman 0 - 0 Morocco ARAB CUP

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Mali

22/12/2025 10:00

Mali 1 - 1 Zambia CAF NC

18/11/2025 14:00

Jordan 0 - 0 Mali INT FRL

12/10/2025 15:00

Mali 4 - 1 Madagascar WCPAF

08/10/2025 12:00

Chad 0 - 2 Mali WCPAF

08/09/2025 15:00

Ghana 1 - 0 Mali WCPAF

04/09/2025 15:00

Mali 3 - 0 Comoros WCPAF

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Morocco

114

Mali

Goals

Scored

104

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.22

Scored

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.22

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

0 (0%)6 (100%)

In last 114 matches

YesNo

66 (58%)48 (42%)

In last 114 matches

NoYes

35 (44%)44 (56%)

Morocco

Recent matches

Mali

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Morocco

Mali

Shots

Morocco

Total shots

12.42 avg / game

Blocked

171 total

Avg. 3.23

Mali

Total shots

10.73 avg / game

Blocked

64 total

Avg. 3.05

Morocco Pass Mali

Total passes

31918

Avg. 499 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

11716

Avg. 418 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Morocco

114

Played games

Mali

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.62

Clean sheets

0.54

5.02

572

Corners

285

3.61

9.90

1129

Throw-ins

440

5.57

1.30

148

Offsides

1.04

1.29

147

GK saves

1.06

Morocco

DISCIPLINARY

Mali

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.24

141

112

1.42

0.04

0.13

9.27

1057

Fouls

566

7.16

6.68

762

Tackles

373

4.72

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Morocco vs Mali Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Morocco vs Mali on 26 December 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Morocco vs Mali Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Morocco's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mali's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Morocco and Mali sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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