Marseille vs Lens: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 24 January

Marseille
WLDLW
5th place in France Ligue 1
1
3-1
FT
24/01/2026 16:05
Lens
WDDWL
2nd place in France Ligue 1
France Ligue 1
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Marseille vs Lens on 24 January 2026 (kick-off: 16:05) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Marseille vs Lens preview before placing your bet.

  • Marseille will face Lens in France Ligue 1 on January 24, 2026 at 16:05.
  • Marseille are currently 5th with 59 points after 34 matches.
  • Lens sit 2nd with 70 points from 34 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.96.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
16:05

2026-01-24

Marseille vs Lens - Prediction & Odds

Marseille
Marseille
Lens
Lens
2026-01-24 16:05
46
26
28
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.75
1.96
FT
3-1 2-0
-
weather
0℃～1℃
STANDINGS UP TO 24/01/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
76 34 24 4 6 74 29 45
02 Lens Lens
70 34 22 4 8 66 35 31
03 Lille Lille
61 34 18 7 9 52 37 15
04 Lyon Lyon
60 34 18 6 10 53 40 13
05 Marseille Marseille
59 34 18 5 11 63 45 18
06 Rennes Rennes
59 34 17 8 9 59 50 9
07 Monaco Monaco
54 34 16 6 12 60 54 6
08 Strasbourg Strasbourg
53 34 15 8 11 58 47 11
09 Lorient Lorient
45 34 11 12 11 48 51 -3
10 Toulouse Toulouse
44 33 12 8 13 47 46 1
11 Paris FC Paris FC
44 34 11 11 12 47 50 -3
12 Stade Brestois Stade Brestois
39 34 10 9 15 43 55 -12
13 Angers Angers
36 34 9 9 16 29 48 -19
14 Le Havre Le Havre
35 34 7 14 13 32 44 -12
15 AJ Auxerre AJ Auxerre
34 34 8 10 16 34 44 -10
16 Nice Nice
32 34 7 11 16 37 60 -23
17 Nantes Nantes
23 33 5 8 20 29 52 -23
18 Metz Metz
17 34 3 8 23 32 76 -44
Head To Head
25/10/2025 15:05
Lens Lens
2 - 1
Marseille Marseille
FRA D1
08/03/2025 16:05
Marseille Marseille
0 - 1
Lens Lens
FRA D1
23/11/2024 12:00
Lens Lens
1 - 3
Marseille Marseille
FRA D1
28/04/2024 15:00
Marseille Marseille
2 - 1
Lens Lens
FRA D1
12/11/2023 15:45
Lens Lens
1 - 0
Marseille Marseille
FRA D1
06/05/2023 15:00
Lens Lens
2 - 1
Marseille Marseille
FRA D1
Lens
4
67%
Draw
0
0%
Marseille
2
33%
Marseille Marseille Last 6 matches
13/01/2026 16:00
FC Bayeux 0 - 9 Marseille
FRAC
08/01/2026 14:00
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 2 - 2 Marseille
FRA SC
04/01/2026 10:00
Marseille 0 - 2 Nantes
FRA D1
21/12/2025 09:45
Bourg Peronnas 0 - 6 Marseille
FRAC
14/12/2025 15:55
Marseille 1 - 0 Monaco
FRA D1
09/12/2025 16:00
Saint Gilloise 2 - 3 Marseille
UEFA CL
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Lens Lens
17/01/2026 12:00
Lens 1 - 0 AJ Auxerre
FRA D1
11/01/2026 09:00
Sochaux 0 - 3 Lens
FRAC
02/01/2026 15:45
Toulouse 0 - 3 Lens
FRA D1
19/12/2025 16:00
Lens 3 - 1 Feignies
FRAC
14/12/2025 12:15
Lens 2 - 0 Nice
FRA D1
06/12/2025 12:00
Nantes 1 - 2 Lens
FRA D1
Win
100%
Draw
0%
Lost
0%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues France Ligue 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Marseille
Marseille
34
 Lens
Lens
34
Goals
Scored
26
Avg. per game
0.76
Conceded
14
Avg. per game
0.41
Scored
26
Avg. per game
0.76
Conceded
20
Avg. per game
0.59
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
1 (17%)5 (83%)
In last 34 matches
YesNo
16 (47%)18 (53%)
In last 34 matches
NoYes
17 (50%)17 (50%)
Marseille

Marseille

Recent matches

Lens

Lens

Under /Over

(74%)25 9(26%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)28 6(18%)

Under /Over

(32%)11 23(68%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)13 21(62%)

Under /Over

(56%)19 15(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)17 17(50%)

/Yes

(50%)17 17(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)17 17(50%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Marseille Marseille
Lens Lens
Shots
Marseille
Marseille
Total shots
15.06 avg / game
Blocked
118 total
Avg. 3.69
Lens
Lens
Total shots
15.91 avg / game
Blocked
107 total
Avg. 3.69
Marseille Marseille Pass Lens Lens
Total passes
18370
Avg. 540 / game
Accurate
87%
Ball possession
57%
Total passes
15337
Avg. 465 / game
Accurate
84%
Ball possession
52%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Marseille
Marseille
3574
Avg. 105.12 / game
 Lens
Lens
3143
Avg. 92.44 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Marseille
Marseille
1720
Avg. 50.59 / game
 Lens
Lens
1715
Avg. 50.44 / game
OTHERS
Marseille
Marseille
34
Played games
Lens
Lens
34
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.26
9
Clean sheets
12
0.35
5.18
176
Corners
205
6.03
16.65
566
Throw-ins
562
16.53
1.21
41
Offsides
64
1.88
2.62
89
GK saves
81
2.38
Marseille
Marseille
DISCIPLINARY
Lens
Lens
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.29
78
Yellow card
66
1.94
0.12
4
Red card
5
0.15
12.71
432
Fouls
423
12.44
8.76
298
Tackles
371
10.91
NEXT MATCHES
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NEXT MATCHES
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VS
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VS
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FRA
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VS
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VS
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FRA

How We Build the Marseille vs Lens Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Marseille vs Lens on 24 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Marseille vs Lens Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Marseille's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lens's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Marseille and Lens sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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