Marseille vs Lens: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 24 January

Betiball's prediction for Marseille vs Lens on 24 January 2026 (kick-off: 16:05) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Marseille vs Lens preview before placing your bet.

Marseille vs Lens: Starting Lineups Time : 24/01/2026 16:05

Marseille
3 - 1
Finished
Lens
80' event Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang / Amine Gouiri
75' event Amine Gouiri
74' event Darryl Bakola / Hamed Junior Traore
74' event Benjamin Pavard / Naif Aguerd
74' event Matthew ORiley / Quinten Timber
58' event Mason Greenwood / Ethan Nwaneri
13' event Ethan Nwaneri
3' event Amine Gouiri
event 85' Rayan Fofana
event 78' Anthony Bermont / Ruben Aguilar
event 78' Florian Sotoca / Florian Thauvin
event 72' Andrija Bulatovic / Adrien Thomasson
event 71' Rayan Fofana / Wesley Said
event 70' Florian Thauvin
event 61' Mamadou Sangare
event 59' Abdallah Sima / Odsonne Edouard
event 37' Wesley Said
80' event Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang / Amine Gouiri
event 85' Rayan Fofana
75' event Amine Gouiri
event 78' Anthony Bermont / Ruben Aguilar
74' event Darryl Bakola / Hamed Junior Traore
event 78' Florian Sotoca / Florian Thauvin
74' event Benjamin Pavard / Naif Aguerd
event 72' Andrija Bulatovic / Adrien Thomasson
74' event Matthew ORiley / Quinten Timber
event 71' Rayan Fofana / Wesley Said
58' event Mason Greenwood / Ethan Nwaneri
event 70' Florian Thauvin
13' event Ethan Nwaneri
event 61' Mamadou Sangare
3' event Amine Gouiri
event 59' Abdallah Sima / Odsonne Edouard
event 37' Wesley Said
Marseille Marseille
Substitutions
#17 Matthew ORiley
#28 Benjamin Pavard
#50 Darryl Bakola
#97 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
#10 Mason Greenwood
#18 Arthur Vermeeren
#12 Jeffrey de Lange
#62 Michael Murillo
#4 Conrad Egan-Riley
Marseille Marseille Lens Lens
10Shots7
5Shots on Goal2
18Fouls16
2Corner Kick2
16Free kick18
1Offside4
0Yellow card3
9Aerial7
1Save2
9Successful Tackles13
9Interceptions8
21Long pass16
3Assist1
1Successful center2
5Substitution5
2Shots off goal2
4Head Success4
3Blocked3
9Tackle13
12Dribbles6
11Throw-in10
558Passes473
68Attacks98
27Dangerous attacks35
0Corner Kicks(HT)1
1BigChances3
0BigChancesMissed2
4ShotsInsideBox5
6ShotsOutsideBox2
45DuelsWon49
2.15xGOT0.9
20Touches In Opposition Box15
5AccurateCrosses15
41GroundDuelsWon45
4AerialDuelsWon4
22Clearances6
Lens Lens
Substitutions
#7 Florian Sotoca
#26 Anthony Bermont
#5 Andrija Bulatovic
#19 Abdallah Sima
#38 Rayan Fofana
#4 Nidal Celik
#16 Mathieu Gorgelin
#18 Fode Sylla
#32 Kyllian Antonio
Commentary
85' Goal! Rayan Fofana - Lens
80' Marseille — substitution: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang / Amine Gouiri
78' Lens — substitution: Anthony Bermont / Ruben Aguilar
78' Lens — substitution: Florian Sotoca / Florian Thauvin
75' Goal! Amine Gouiri - Marseille
74' Marseille — substitution: Darryl Bakola / Hamed Junior Traore
74' Marseille — substitution: Benjamin Pavard / Naif Aguerd
74' Marseille — substitution: Matthew ORiley / Quinten Timber
72' Lens — substitution: Andrija Bulatovic / Adrien Thomasson
71' Lens — substitution: Rayan Fofana / Wesley Said
70' Florian Thauvin - Lens receive a yellow card
61' Mamadou Sangare - Lens receive a yellow card
59' Lens — substitution: Abdallah Sima / Odsonne Edouard
58' Marseille — substitution: Mason Greenwood / Ethan Nwaneri
37' Wesley Said - Lens receive a yellow card
13' Goal! Ethan Nwaneri - Marseille
3' Goal! Amine Gouiri - Marseille

How We Build the Marseille vs Lens Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Marseille vs Lens on 24 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Marseille vs Lens Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Marseille's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lens's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Marseille and Lens sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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