Marseille vs Lens: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 24 January

Marseille

W L D L W

5th place in France Ligue 1

3-1

24/01/2026 16:05

Lens

W D D W L

2nd place in France Ligue 1

France Ligue 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Marseille vs Lens on 24 January 2026 (kick-off: 16:05) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Marseille vs Lens preview before placing your bet.

Marseille are currently 5th with 59 points after 34 matches.
Lens sit 2nd with 70 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Marseille to win with probability 46%.
Head-to-head history favors Lens, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Marseille have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:05

2026-01-24

Marseille vs Lens - Prediction & Odds

Marseille

Lens

2026-01-24 16:05

STANDINGS UP TO 24/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	76	34	24	4	6	74	29	45
02 Lens	70	34	22	4	8	66	35	31
03 Lille	61	34	18	7	9	52	37	15
04 Lyon	60	34	18	6	10	53	40	13
05 Marseille	59	34	18	5	11	63	45	18
06 Rennes	59	34	17	8	9	59	50	9
07 Monaco	54	34	16	6	12	60	54	6
08 Strasbourg	53	34	15	8	11	58	47	11
09 Lorient	45	34	11	12	11	48	51	-3
10 Toulouse	44	33	12	8	13	47	46	1
11 Paris FC	44	34	11	11	12	47	50	-3
12 Stade Brestois	39	34	10	9	15	43	55	-12
13 Angers	36	34	9	9	16	29	48	-19
14 Le Havre	35	34	7	14	13	32	44	-12
15 AJ Auxerre	34	34	8	10	16	34	44	-10
16 Nice	32	34	7	11	16	37	60	-23
17 Nantes	23	33	5	8	20	29	52	-23
18 Metz	17	34	3	8	23	32	76	-44

Head To Head

25/10/2025 15:05

Lens

2 - 1

Marseille

FRA D1

08/03/2025 16:05

Marseille

0 - 1

Lens

FRA D1

23/11/2024 12:00

Lens

1 - 3

Marseille

FRA D1

28/04/2024 15:00

Marseille

2 - 1

Lens

FRA D1

12/11/2023 15:45

Lens

1 - 0

Marseille

FRA D1

06/05/2023 15:00

Lens

2 - 1

Marseille

FRA D1

Marseille

33%

Draw

Lens

67%

Marseille Last 6 matches

13/01/2026 16:00

FC Bayeux 0 - 9 Marseille FRAC

08/01/2026 14:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 2 - 2 Marseille FRA SC

04/01/2026 10:00

Marseille 0 - 2 Nantes FRA D1

21/12/2025 09:45

Bourg Peronnas 0 - 6 Marseille FRAC

14/12/2025 15:55

Marseille 1 - 0 Monaco FRA D1

09/12/2025 16:00

Saint Gilloise 2 - 3 Marseille UEFA CL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Lens

17/01/2026 12:00

Lens 1 - 0 AJ Auxerre FRA D1

11/01/2026 09:00

Sochaux 0 - 3 Lens FRAC

02/01/2026 15:45

Toulouse 0 - 3 Lens FRA D1

19/12/2025 16:00

Lens 3 - 1 Feignies FRAC

14/12/2025 12:15

Lens 2 - 0 Nice FRA D1

06/12/2025 12:00

Nantes 1 - 2 Lens FRA D1

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

231

Avg. per game

0.77

Conceded

152

Avg. per game

0.51

Scored

227

Avg. per game

0.79

Conceded

160

Avg. per game

0.56

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

161 (54%)139 (46%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

152 (53%)134 (47%)

Marseille

Recent matches

Lens

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Marseille

Lens

Shots

Marseille

Total shots

13.20 avg / game

Blocked

796 total

Avg. 3.52

Lens

Total shots

13.96 avg / game

Blocked

677 total

Avg. 3.33

Marseille Pass Lens

Total passes

138946

Avg. 541 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

111346

Avg. 480 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Marseille

300

Played games

Lens

286

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.31

5.37

1612

Corners

1389

4.86

14.86

4458

Throw-ins

4224

14.77

1.57

471

Offsides

454

1.59

2.30

689

GK saves

659

2.30

Marseille

DISCIPLINARY

Lens

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.84

552

523

1.83

0.12

0.12

10.46

3137

Fouls

3102

10.85

12.89

3867

Tackles

3490

12.20

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

FRA

NEXT MATCHES

08/16

Lens

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

How We Build the Marseille vs Lens Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Marseille vs Lens on 24 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Marseille vs Lens Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Marseille's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lens's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Marseille and Lens sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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