Mara Sugar FC vs Mathare United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 May

Prediction Match Centre

Mara Sugar FC

WLWLD

11th place in VĐQG Kenya

0 - 1

16/05/2026 04:00

Mathare United

LDLWL

14th place in VĐQG Kenya

VĐQG Kenya

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Mara Sugar FC vs Mathare United on 16 May 2026 (kick-off: 04:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mara Sugar FC vs Mathare United preview before placing your bet.

Mara Sugar FC will face Mathare United in VĐQG Kenya on May 16, 2026 at 04:00.
Mara Sugar FC are currently 11th with 44 points after 34 matches.
Mathare United sit 14th with 41 points from 34 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 16/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Gor Mahia	69	34	20	9	5	50	22	28
02 AFC Leopards	64	34	19	7	8	44	28	16
03 Kenya Police FC	55	34	13	16	5	31	21	10
04 Nairobi United	53	34	14	11	9	44	34	10
05 Shabana FC	52	34	14	10	10	35	34	1
06 Kakamega Homeboyz	49	34	12	13	9	47	37	10
07 KCB SC	48	34	13	9	12	36	37	-1
08 Muranga Seal	47	34	13	8	13	42	42	0
09 Tusker	45	34	13	6	15	27	32	-5
10 APS Bomet	44	34	11	11	12	37	35	2
11 Mara Sugar FC	44	34	10	14	10	30	30	0
12 Bandari	44	34	9	17	8	26	26	0
13 Ulinzi Stars Nakuru	41	34	11	8	15	35	37	-2
14 Mathare United	41	34	11	8	15	31	35	-4
15 Posta Rangers	40	34	9	13	12	31	40	-9
16 Kariobangi Sharks	38	34	8	14	12	30	33	-3
17 Bidco United	27	34	5	12	17	19	40	-21
18 Sofapaka FC	19	34	3	10	21	19	51	-32

Head To Head

08/12/2025 06:00

Mathare United

0 - 1

Mara Sugar FC

KEN D1

28/03/2025 06:00

Mathare United

2 - 1

Mara Sugar FC

KEN D1

18/01/2025 04:00

Mara Sugar FC

3 - 0

Mathare United

KEN D1

22/06/2024 04:00

Mara Sugar FC

1 - 0

Mathare United

Ken-SL

21/10/2023 03:00

Mathare United

2 - 0

Mara Sugar FC

Ken-SL

Mathare United

80%

Draw

Mara Sugar FC

20%

Mara Sugar FC Last 6 matches

09/05/2026 06:15

AFC Leopards 2 - 1 Mara Sugar FC

KEN D1

24/04/2026 04:00

Tusker 0 - 1 Mara Sugar FC

KEN D1

18/04/2026 03:00

Kariobangi Sharks 0 - 1 Mara Sugar FC

KEN D1

06/04/2026 04:00

Mara Sugar FC 1 - 0 Posta Rangers

KEN D1

01/04/2026 04:00

Nairobi United 1 - 1 Mara Sugar FC

KEN D1

28/03/2026 05:00

KCB SC 1 - 0 Mara Sugar FC

KEN D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Mathare United

02/05/2026 05:00

Sofapaka FC 2 - 2 Mathare United

KEN D1

25/04/2026 04:00

Mathare United 1 - 2 Nairobi United

KEN D1

18/04/2026 04:00

Mathare United 3 - 0 Bidco United

KEN D1

14/04/2026 04:00

Mathare United 0 - 0 Kenya Police FC

KEN D1

04/04/2026 05:00

Kakamega Homeboyz 3 - 0 Mathare United

KEN D1

22/03/2026 05:00

Muranga Seal 1 - 1 Mathare United

KEN D1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues VĐQG Kenya

Played games

Mara Sugar FC

Mathare United

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.88

Scored

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 34 matches

YesNo

20 (59%)14 (41%)

In last 34 matches

NoYes

21 (64%)12 (36%)

Mara Sugar FC

Recent matches

Mathare United

Under /Over

(47%)16 18(53%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(58%)19 14(42%)

Under /Over

(24%)8 26(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(9%)3 30(91%)

Under /Over

(21%)7 27(79%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)14 19(58%)

/Yes

(38%)13 21(62%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(36%)12 21(64%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Mara Sugar FC

Mathare United

Shots

Mara Sugar FC

Total shots

11.58 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Mathare United

Total shots

11.38 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Mara Sugar FC Pass Mathare United

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Mara Sugar FC

Played games

Mathare United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.41

Clean sheets

0.36

4.41

150

Corners

135

4.09

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

1.00

Offsides

0.91

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Mara Sugar FC

DISCIPLINARY

Mathare United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.88

1.18

0.00

0.00

5.91

201

Fouls

197

5.97

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Mara Sugar FC vs Mathare United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mara Sugar FC vs Mathare United on 16 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this VĐQG Kenya fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mara Sugar FC vs Mathare United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mara Sugar FC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mathare United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

VĐQG Kenya Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live VĐQG Kenya standings and the VĐQG Kenya form table to understand exactly where Mara Sugar FC and Mathare United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our VĐQG Kenya predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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