AFC Leopards vs Mara Sugar FC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 May

Prediction Match Centre

AFC Leopards

LWWWL

2nd place in VĐQG Kenya

2 - 1

09/05/2026 06:15

Mara Sugar FC

WLWLD

11th place in VĐQG Kenya

VĐQG Kenya

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AFC Leopards vs Mara Sugar FC on 09 May 2026 (kick-off: 06:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AFC Leopards vs Mara Sugar FC preview before placing your bet.

AFC Leopards will face Mara Sugar FC in VĐQG Kenya on May 9, 2026 at 06:15.
AFC Leopards are currently 2nd with 64 points after 34 matches.
Mara Sugar FC sit 11th with 44 points from 34 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 09/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Gor Mahia	69	34	20	9	5	50	22	28
02 AFC Leopards	64	34	19	7	8	44	28	16
03 Kenya Police FC	55	34	13	16	5	31	21	10
04 Nairobi United	53	34	14	11	9	44	34	10
05 Shabana FC	52	34	14	10	10	35	34	1
06 Kakamega Homeboyz	49	34	12	13	9	47	37	10
07 KCB SC	48	34	13	9	12	36	37	-1
08 Muranga Seal	47	34	13	8	13	42	42	0
09 Tusker	45	34	13	6	15	27	32	-5
10 APS Bomet	44	34	11	11	12	37	35	2
11 Mara Sugar FC	44	34	10	14	10	30	30	0
12 Bandari	44	34	9	17	8	26	26	0
13 Ulinzi Stars Nakuru	41	34	11	8	15	35	37	-2
14 Mathare United	41	34	11	8	15	31	35	-4
15 Posta Rangers	40	34	9	13	12	31	40	-9
16 Kariobangi Sharks	38	34	8	14	12	30	33	-3
17 Bidco United	27	34	5	12	17	19	40	-21
18 Sofapaka FC	19	34	3	10	21	19	51	-32

Head To Head

08/11/2025 03:00

Mara Sugar FC

2 - 0

AFC Leopards

KEN D1

15/02/2025 04:00

Mara Sugar FC

1 - 2

AFC Leopards

KEN D1

10/11/2024 05:00

AFC Leopards

1 - 1

Mara Sugar FC

KEN D1

Mara Sugar FC

33%

Draw

33%

AFC Leopards

33%

AFC Leopards Last 6 matches

26/04/2026 05:00

AFC Leopards 0 - 1 Gor Mahia

KEN D1

18/04/2026 05:00

AFC Leopards 0 - 3 Kenya Police FC

KEN D1

05/04/2026 04:00

Muranga Seal 0 - 2 AFC Leopards

KEN D1

29/03/2026 06:15

AFC Leopards 1 - 0 Kariobangi Sharks

KEN D1

22/03/2026 06:00

AFC Leopards 1 - 0 Tusker

KEN D1

18/03/2026 05:00

AFC Leopards 1 - 0 Nairobi United

KEN D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Mara Sugar FC

24/04/2026 04:00

Tusker 0 - 1 Mara Sugar FC

KEN D1

18/04/2026 03:00

Kariobangi Sharks 0 - 1 Mara Sugar FC

KEN D1

06/04/2026 04:00

Mara Sugar FC 1 - 0 Posta Rangers

KEN D1

01/04/2026 04:00

Nairobi United 1 - 1 Mara Sugar FC

KEN D1

28/03/2026 05:00

KCB SC 1 - 0 Mara Sugar FC

KEN D1

21/03/2026 04:00

Mara Sugar FC 0 - 0 APS Bomet

KEN D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues VĐQG Kenya

Played games

AFC Leopards

Mara Sugar FC

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.30

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.82

Scored

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.88

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 33 matches

YesNo

24 (73%)9 (27%)

In last 33 matches

NoYes

20 (59%)14 (41%)

AFC Leopards

Recent matches

Mara Sugar FC

Under /Over

(61%)20 13(39%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(47%)16 18(53%)

Under /Over

(21%)7 26(79%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)8 26(76%)

Under /Over

(39%)13 20(61%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(21%)7 27(79%)

/Yes

(39%)13 20(61%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(38%)13 21(62%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AFC Leopards

Mara Sugar FC

Shots

AFC Leopards

Total shots

9.17 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Mara Sugar FC

Total shots

11.58 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

AFC Leopards Pass Mara Sugar FC

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AFC Leopards

Played games

Mara Sugar FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.45

Clean sheets

0.41

4.18

138

Corners

150

4.41

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.88

Offsides

1.00

0.00

GK saves

0.00

AFC Leopards

DISCIPLINARY

Mara Sugar FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.09

0.88

0.00

0.00

6.73

222

Fouls

201

5.91

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the AFC Leopards vs Mara Sugar FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AFC Leopards vs Mara Sugar FC on 09 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this VĐQG Kenya fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AFC Leopards vs Mara Sugar FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AFC Leopards's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mara Sugar FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

VĐQG Kenya Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live VĐQG Kenya standings and the VĐQG Kenya form table to understand exactly where AFC Leopards and Mara Sugar FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our VĐQG Kenya predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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