Manchester City vs Aston Villa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 24 May

Manchester City

W D W W D

2nd place in English Premier League

1-2

24/05/2026 11:00

Aston Villa

W L L D W

4th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Manchester City vs Aston Villa on 24 May 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Manchester City vs Aston Villa preview before placing your bet.

Manchester City are currently 2nd with 78 points after 38 matches.
Aston Villa sit 4th with 65 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Manchester City to win with probability 68%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Manchester City and Aston Villa have each won 3 of the last 6 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2026-05-24

Manchester City vs Aston Villa - Prediction & Odds

Manchester City

Aston Villa

2026-05-24 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 24/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	85	38	26	7	5	71	27	44
02 Manchester City	78	38	23	9	6	77	35	42
03 Manchester United	71	38	20	11	7	69	50	19
04 Aston Villa	65	38	19	8	11	56	49	7
05 Liverpool	60	38	17	9	12	63	53	10
06 AFC Bournemouth	57	38	13	18	7	58	54	4
07 Sunderland A.F.C	54	38	14	12	12	42	48	-6
08 Brighton Hove Albion	53	38	14	11	13	52	46	6
09 Brentford	53	38	14	11	13	55	52	3
10 Chelsea	52	38	14	10	14	58	52	6
11 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	47	51	-4
12 Newcastle United	49	38	14	7	17	53	55	-2
13 Everton	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
14 Leeds United	47	38	11	14	13	49	56	-7
15 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	41	51	-10
16 Nottingham Forest	44	38	11	11	16	48	51	-3
17 Tottenham Hotspur	41	38	10	11	17	48	57	-9
18 West Ham United	39	38	10	9	19	46	65	-19
19 Burnley	22	38	4	10	24	38	75	-37
20 Wolves	20	38	3	11	24	27	68	-41

Head To Head

26/10/2025 10:00

Aston Villa

1 - 0

Manchester City

ENG PR

22/04/2025 15:00

Manchester City

2 - 1

Aston Villa

ENG PR

21/12/2024 08:30

Aston Villa

2 - 1

Manchester City

ENG PR

03/04/2024 15:15

Manchester City

4 - 1

Aston Villa

ENG PR

06/12/2023 16:15

Aston Villa

1 - 0

Manchester City

ENG PR

12/02/2023 12:30

Manchester City

3 - 1

Aston Villa

ENG PR

Manchester City

50%

Draw

Aston Villa

50%

Manchester City Last 6 matches

19/05/2026 14:30

AFC Bournemouth 1 - 1 Manchester City ENG PR

16/05/2026 10:00

Chelsea 0 - 1 Manchester City ENG FAC

13/05/2026 15:00

Manchester City 3 - 0 Crystal Palace ENG PR

09/05/2026 12:30

Manchester City 3 - 0 Brentford ENG PR

04/05/2026 15:00

Everton 3 - 3 Manchester City ENG PR

25/04/2026 12:15

Manchester City 2 - 1 Southampton ENG FAC

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Aston Villa

20/05/2026 15:00

SC Freiburg 0 - 3 Aston Villa UEFA EL

15/05/2026 15:00

Aston Villa 4 - 2 Liverpool ENG PR

10/05/2026 09:00

Burnley 2 - 2 Aston Villa ENG PR

07/05/2026 15:00

Aston Villa 4 - 0 Nottingham Forest UEFA EL

03/05/2026 14:00

Aston Villa 1 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

30/04/2026 15:00

Nottingham Forest 1 - 0 Aston Villa UEFA EL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Played games

Goals

Scored

712

Avg. per game

2.37

Conceded

291

Avg. per game

0.97

Scored

499

Avg. per game

1.66

Conceded

392

Avg. per game

1.31

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

270 (90%)30 (10%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

245 (82%)55 (18%)

Manchester City

Recent matches

Aston Villa

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Manchester City

Aston Villa

Shots

Manchester City

Total shots

16.65 avg / game

Blocked

1312 total

Avg. 4.95

Aston Villa

Total shots

12.13 avg / game

Blocked

828 total

Avg. 3.35

Manchester City Pass Aston Villa

Total passes

182377

Avg. 640 / game

Accurate

90%

Ball possession

64%

Total passes

113828

Avg. 436 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Manchester City

300

Played games

Aston Villa

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.39

117

Clean sheets

0.29

6.79

2037

Corners

1565

5.22

15.03

4510

Throw-ins

3954

13.18

1.27

381

Offsides

365

1.22

2.05

614

GK saves

787

2.62

Manchester City

DISCIPLINARY

Aston Villa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.35

405

543

1.81

0.04

0.06

8.56

2569

Fouls

2881

9.60

11.43

3430

Tackles

3595

11.98

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

How We Build the Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Manchester City vs Aston Villa on 24 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Manchester City's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Aston Villa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Manchester City and Aston Villa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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