Burnley vs Aston Villa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 10 May

Burnley

L L L D L

19th place in English Premier League

2-2

10/05/2026 09:00

Aston Villa

W L L D W

4th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Burnley vs Aston Villa on 10 May 2026 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Burnley vs Aston Villa preview before placing your bet.

Burnley will face Aston Villa in English Premier League on May 10, 2026 at 09:00.
Burnley are currently 19th with 22 points after 38 matches.
Aston Villa sit 4th with 65 points from 38 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.51.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2026-05-10

Burnley vs Aston Villa - Prediction & Odds

Burnley

Aston Villa

2026-05-10 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 10/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	85	38	26	7	5	71	27	44
02 Manchester City	78	38	23	9	6	77	35	42
03 Manchester United	71	38	20	11	7	69	50	19
04 Aston Villa	65	38	19	8	11	56	49	7
05 Liverpool	60	38	17	9	12	63	53	10
06 AFC Bournemouth	57	38	13	18	7	58	54	4
07 Sunderland A.F.C	54	38	14	12	12	42	48	-6
08 Brighton Hove Albion	53	38	14	11	13	52	46	6
09 Brentford	53	38	14	11	13	55	52	3
10 Chelsea	52	38	14	10	14	58	52	6
11 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	47	51	-4
12 Newcastle United	49	38	14	7	17	53	55	-2
13 Everton	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
14 Leeds United	47	38	11	14	13	49	56	-7
15 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	41	51	-10
16 Nottingham Forest	44	38	11	11	16	48	51	-3
17 Tottenham Hotspur	41	38	10	11	17	48	57	-9
18 West Ham United	39	38	10	9	19	46	65	-19
19 Burnley	22	38	4	10	24	38	75	-37
20 Wolves	20	38	3	11	24	27	68	-41

Head To Head

05/10/2025 09:00

Aston Villa

2 - 1

Burnley

ENG PR

30/12/2023 11:00

Aston Villa

3 - 2

Burnley

ENG PR

27/08/2023 09:00

Burnley

1 - 3

Aston Villa

ENG PR

19/05/2022 15:00

Aston Villa

1 - 1

Burnley

ENG PR

07/05/2022 10:00

Burnley

1 - 3

Aston Villa

ENG PR

27/01/2021 14:00

Burnley

3 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG PR

Aston Villa

50%

Draw

17%

Burnley

33%

Burnley Last 6 matches

01/05/2026 15:00

Leeds United 3 - 1 Burnley

ENG PR

22/04/2026 15:00

Burnley 0 - 1 Manchester City

ENG PR

19/04/2026 09:00

Nottingham Forest 4 - 1 Burnley

ENG PR

11/04/2026 10:00

Burnley 0 - 2 Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

21/03/2026 11:00

Fulham 3 - 1 Burnley

ENG PR

14/03/2026 11:00

Burnley 0 - 0 AFC Bournemouth

ENG PR

Win

Draw

17%

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches Aston Villa

07/05/2026 15:00

Aston Villa 4 - 0 Nottingham Forest

UEFA EL

03/05/2026 14:00

Aston Villa 1 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur

ENG PR

30/04/2026 15:00

Nottingham Forest 1 - 0 Aston Villa

UEFA EL

25/04/2026 07:30

Fulham 1 - 0 Aston Villa

ENG PR

19/04/2026 09:00

Aston Villa 4 - 3 Sunderland A.F.C

ENG PR

16/04/2026 15:00

Aston Villa 4 - 0 Bologna

UEFA EL

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Played games

Burnley

Aston Villa

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.97

Scored

Avg. per game

1.47

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.29

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

24 (63%)14 (37%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

28 (74%)10 (26%)

Burnley

Recent matches

Aston Villa

Under /Over

(84%)32 6(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(74%)28 10(26%)

Under /Over

(37%)14 24(63%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)11 27(71%)

Under /Over

(42%)16 22(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)19 19(50%)

/Yes

(58%)22 16(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)22 16(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Burnley

Aston Villa

Shots

Burnley

Total shots

9.34 avg / game

Blocked

113 total

Avg. 3.14

Aston Villa

Total shots

12.68 avg / game

Blocked

138 total

Avg. 3.73

Burnley Pass Aston Villa

Total passes

14181

Avg. 373 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

42%

Total passes

16550

Avg. 447 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Burnley

Played games

Aston Villa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.11

Clean sheets

0.24

3.63

138

Corners

195

5.13

17.82

677

Throw-ins

583

15.34

1.47

Offsides

1.08

3.63

138

GK saves

112

2.95

Burnley

DISCIPLINARY

Aston Villa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.68

1.47

0.08

0.03

10.32

392

Fouls

364

9.58

9.79

372

Tackles

335

8.82

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

How We Build the Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Burnley vs Aston Villa on 10 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Burnley vs Aston Villa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Burnley's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Aston Villa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Burnley and Aston Villa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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