Leones Negros vs Tepatitlan de Morelos: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 15 February

Leones Negros

W L L W W

6th place in Apertura

0-0

15/02/2026 14:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

D W L L D

8th place in Apertura

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Leones Negros vs Tepatitlan de Morelos on 15 February 2026 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Leones Negros vs Tepatitlan de Morelos preview before placing your bet.

Leones Negros are currently 6th with 21 points after 14 matches.
Tepatitlan de Morelos sit 8th with 18 points from 14 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Leones Negros to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history favors Leones Negros, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Tepatitlan de Morelos have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2026-02-15

Leones Negros vs Tepatitlan de Morelos - Prediction & Odds

Leones Negros

Tepatitlan de Morelos

2026-02-15 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 15/02/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CF Atlante	30	14	9	3	2	35	10	25
02 Cancun	30	14	9	3	2	25	7	18
03 Tampico Madero	30	14	8	6	0	24	15	9
04 Irapuato	23	14	6	5	3	23	19	4
05 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	5	6	3	26	24	2
06 Leones Negros	21	14	6	3	5	19	17	2
07 Atletico Morelia	19	14	5	4	5	19	21	-2
08 Tepatitlan de Morelos	18	14	4	6	4	21	16	5
09 Venados FC	18	14	5	3	6	29	30	-1
10 Atletico La Paz	17	14	4	5	5	25	30	-5
11 Club Chivas Tapatio	15	14	4	3	7	20	18	2
12 Tlaxcala	14	14	3	5	6	14	27	-13
13 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	13	14	3	4	7	16	25	-9
14 Correcaminos UAT	10	14	2	4	8	16	35	-19
15 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	5	14	1	2	11	8	26	-18

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Tepatitlan de Morelos	26	14	7	5	2	21	10	11
02 Cancun	25	14	7	4	3	24	17	7
03 Atletico Morelia	23	14	7	2	5	18	12	6
04 Atletico La Paz	22	14	5	7	2	22	12	10
05 Tampico Madero	21	14	6	3	5	15	15	0
06 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	6	3	5	19	20	-1
07 Club Chivas Tapatio	20	14	6	2	6	28	24	4
08 CF Atlante	20	14	5	5	4	21	17	4
09 Irapuato	20	14	6	2	6	27	24	3
10 Tlaxcala	20	14	5	5	4	16	17	-1
11 Venados FC	16	14	4	4	6	25	25	0
12 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	16	14	4	4	6	20	29	-9
13 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	13	14	3	4	7	17	28	-11
14 Correcaminos UAT	12	14	3	3	8	14	27	-13
15 Leones Negros	11	14	2	5	7	15	25	-10

Head To Head

07/09/2025 19:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

1 - 1

Leones Negros

MEX Lig2

27/04/2025 14:00

Leones Negros

2 - 1

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX Lig2

24/04/2025 22:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

2 - 1

Leones Negros

MEX Lig2

28/02/2025 21:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

1 - 1

Leones Negros

MEX Lig2

15/09/2024 19:00

Leones Negros

1 - 0

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX Lig2

10/04/2024 23:05

Leones Negros

3 - 2

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX Lig2

Leones Negros

50%

Draw

33%

Tepatitlan de Morelos

17%

Leones Negros Last 6 matches

30/01/2026 19:00

Club Chivas Tapatio 2 - 0 Leones Negros MEX Lig2

25/01/2026 14:00

Leones Negros 0 - 0 Correcaminos UAT MEX Lig2

17/01/2026 21:00

Irapuato 4 - 1 Leones Negros MEX Lig2

11/01/2026 14:00

Leones Negros 4 - 1 Tampico Madero MEX Lig2

04/01/2026 18:00

Chivas Guadalajara 3 - 1 Leones Negros INT CF

03/01/2026 20:00

Leones Negros 0 - 3 Monterrey INT CF

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Tepatitlan de Morelos

06/02/2026 21:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 2 - 1 Correcaminos UAT MEX Lig2

30/01/2026 23:00

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa 0 - 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX Lig2

23/01/2026 21:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 2 - 0 Club Chivas Tapatio MEX Lig2

18/01/2026 19:00

Tampico Madero 0 - 1 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX Lig2

10/01/2026 21:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 1 - 1 CF Atlante MEX Lig2

23/12/2025 14:00

Atlas 3 - 2 Tepatitlan de Morelos INT CF

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Leones Negros

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.77

Scored

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.40

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 30 matches

YesNo

14 (47%)16 (53%)

In last 30 matches

NoYes

22 (55%)18 (45%)

Leones Negros

Recent matches

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Under /Over

(73%)22 8(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(68%)27 13(32%)

Under /Over

(30%)9 21(70%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(25%)10 30(75%)

Under /Over

(40%)12 18(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(30%)12 28(70%)

/Yes

(57%)17 13(43%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(48%)19 21(52%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Leones Negros

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Shots

Leones Negros

Total shots

10.43 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Total shots

10.60 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Leones Negros Pass Tepatitlan de Morelos

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Leones Negros

2568

Avg. 85.60 / game

Tepatitlan de Morelos

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Tepatitlan de Morelos

2011

Avg. 50.28 / game

OTHERS

Leones Negros

Played games

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.23

Clean sheets

0.35

4.30

129

Corners

205

5.13

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

0.20

GK saves

0.18

Leones Negros

DISCIPLINARY

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.33

110

2.75

0.20

0.20

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

CD Alacranes de Durango

NEXT MATCHES

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX

08/07

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX

08/20

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX

How We Build the Leones Negros vs Tepatitlan de Morelos Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Leones Negros vs Tepatitlan de Morelos on 15 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Leones Negros vs Tepatitlan de Morelos Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Leones Negros's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Tepatitlan de Morelos's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Leones Negros and Tepatitlan de Morelos sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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