Club Chivas Tapatio vs Leones Negros: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 January

Club Chivas Tapatio

L L D L L

11th place in Apertura

2-0

30/01/2026 16:00

Leones Negros

W L L W W

6th place in Apertura

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Club Chivas Tapatio vs Leones Negros on 30 January 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Club Chivas Tapatio vs Leones Negros preview before placing your bet.

Club Chivas Tapatio are currently 11th with 15 points after 14 matches.
Leones Negros sit 6th with 21 points from 14 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Club Chivas Tapatio to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Club Chivas Tapatio and Leones Negros have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2026-01-30

Club Chivas Tapatio vs Leones Negros - Prediction & Odds

Club Chivas Tapatio

Leones Negros

2026-01-30 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 30/01/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CF Atlante	30	14	9	3	2	35	10	25
02 Cancun	30	14	9	3	2	25	7	18
03 Tampico Madero	30	14	8	6	0	24	15	9
04 Irapuato	23	14	6	5	3	23	19	4
05 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	5	6	3	26	24	2
06 Leones Negros	21	14	6	3	5	19	17	2
07 Atletico Morelia	19	14	5	4	5	19	21	-2
08 Tepatitlan de Morelos	18	14	4	6	4	21	16	5
09 Venados FC	18	14	5	3	6	29	30	-1
10 Atletico La Paz	17	14	4	5	5	25	30	-5
11 Club Chivas Tapatio	15	14	4	3	7	20	18	2
12 Tlaxcala	14	14	3	5	6	14	27	-13
13 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	13	14	3	4	7	16	25	-9
14 Correcaminos UAT	10	14	2	4	8	16	35	-19
15 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	5	14	1	2	11	8	26	-18

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Tepatitlan de Morelos	26	14	7	5	2	21	10	11
02 Cancun	25	14	7	4	3	24	17	7
03 Atletico Morelia	23	14	7	2	5	18	12	6
04 Atletico La Paz	22	14	5	7	2	22	12	10
05 Tampico Madero	21	14	6	3	5	15	15	0
06 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	6	3	5	19	20	-1
07 Club Chivas Tapatio	20	14	6	2	6	28	24	4
08 CF Atlante	20	14	5	5	4	21	17	4
09 Irapuato	20	14	6	2	6	27	24	3
10 Tlaxcala	20	14	5	5	4	16	17	-1
11 Venados FC	16	14	4	4	6	25	25	0
12 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	16	14	4	4	6	20	29	-9
13 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	13	14	3	4	7	17	28	-11
14 Correcaminos UAT	12	14	3	3	8	14	27	-13
15 Leones Negros	11	14	2	5	7	15	25	-10

Head To Head

22/08/2025 19:00

Leones Negros

1 - 1

Club Chivas Tapatio

MEX Lig2

07/06/2025 18:00

Leones Negros

1 - 2

Club Chivas Tapatio

MEX Lig2

31/05/2025 18:00

Club Chivas Tapatio

1 - 0

Leones Negros

MEX Lig2

12/01/2025 11:00

Club Chivas Tapatio

2 - 3

Leones Negros

MEX Lig2

27/12/2024 17:00

Leones Negros

3 - 0

Club Chivas Tapatio

INT CF

17/11/2024 18:00

Club Chivas Tapatio

2 - 2

Leones Negros

MEX Lig2

Club Chivas Tapatio

33%

Draw

33%

Leones Negros

33%

Club Chivas Tapatio Last 6 matches

23/01/2026 18:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 2 - 0 Club Chivas Tapatio MEX Lig2

16/01/2026 16:00

Club Chivas Tapatio 4 - 2 Venados FC MEX Lig2

09/01/2026 20:00

Atletico La Paz 2 - 2 Club Chivas Tapatio MEX Lig2

09/11/2025 16:00

Club Chivas Tapatio 4 - 1 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa MEX Lig2

31/10/2025 18:00

Irapuato 2 - 1 Club Chivas Tapatio MEX Lig2

19/10/2025 16:00

Club Chivas Tapatio 2 - 3 Mineros de Zacatecas MEX Lig2

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Leones Negros

25/01/2026 11:00

Leones Negros 0 - 0 Correcaminos UAT MEX Lig2

17/01/2026 18:00

Irapuato 4 - 1 Leones Negros MEX Lig2

11/01/2026 11:00

Leones Negros 4 - 1 Tampico Madero MEX Lig2

04/01/2026 15:00

Chivas Guadalajara 3 - 1 Leones Negros INT CF

03/01/2026 17:00

Leones Negros 0 - 3 Monterrey INT CF

27/12/2025 09:00

Atlas 3 - 1 Leones Negros INT CF

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Played games

Club Chivas Tapatio

Leones Negros

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.63

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.47

Scored

Avg. per game

1.20

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.53

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 30 matches

YesNo

24 (80%)6 (20%)

In last 30 matches

NoYes

22 (73%)8 (27%)

Club Chivas Tapatio

Recent matches

Leones Negros

Under /Over

(83%)25 5(17%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)22 8(27%)

Under /Over

(47%)14 16(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(30%)9 21(70%)

Under /Over

(47%)14 16(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)12 18(60%)

/Yes

(67%)20 10(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(57%)17 13(43%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Club Chivas Tapatio

Leones Negros

Shots

Club Chivas Tapatio

Total shots

7.50 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Leones Negros

Total shots

10.43 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Club Chivas Tapatio Pass Leones Negros

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Club Chivas Tapatio

Played games

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.17

Clean sheets

0.23

3.40

102

Corners

129

4.30

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

0.10

GK saves

0.20

Club Chivas Tapatio

DISCIPLINARY

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.10

2.33

0.17

0.20

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

CD Alacranes de Durango

How We Build the Club Chivas Tapatio vs Leones Negros Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Club Chivas Tapatio vs Leones Negros on 30 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Club Chivas Tapatio vs Leones Negros Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Club Chivas Tapatio's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Leones Negros's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Club Chivas Tapatio and Leones Negros sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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