Leeds United vs Aston Villa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 November

Leeds United

W D W D W

14th place in English Premier League

1-2

23/11/2025 10:00

Aston Villa

W L L D W

4th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Leeds United vs Aston Villa on 23 November 2025 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Leeds United vs Aston Villa preview before placing your bet.

Leeds United are currently 14th with 47 points after 38 matches.
Aston Villa sit 4th with 65 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Aston Villa, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Leeds United have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2025-11-23

Leeds United vs Aston Villa - Prediction & Odds

Leeds United

Aston Villa

2025-11-23 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 23/11/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	85	38	26	7	5	71	27	44
02 Manchester City	78	38	23	9	6	77	35	42
03 Manchester United	71	38	20	11	7	69	50	19
04 Aston Villa	65	38	19	8	11	56	49	7
05 Liverpool	60	38	17	9	12	63	53	10
06 AFC Bournemouth	57	38	13	18	7	58	54	4
07 Sunderland A.F.C	54	38	14	12	12	42	48	-6
08 Brighton Hove Albion	53	38	14	11	13	52	46	6
09 Brentford	53	38	14	11	13	55	52	3
10 Chelsea	52	38	14	10	14	58	52	6
11 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	47	51	-4
12 Newcastle United	49	38	14	7	17	53	55	-2
13 Everton	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
14 Leeds United	47	38	11	14	13	49	56	-7
15 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	41	51	-10
16 Nottingham Forest	44	38	11	11	16	48	51	-3
17 Tottenham Hotspur	41	38	10	11	17	48	57	-9
18 West Ham United	39	38	10	9	19	46	65	-19
19 Burnley	22	38	4	10	24	38	75	-37
20 Wolves	20	38	3	11	24	27	68	-41

Head To Head

13/01/2023 16:00

Aston Villa

2 - 1

Leeds United

ENG PR

02/10/2022 11:30

Leeds United

0 - 0

Aston Villa

ENG PR

17/07/2022 00:35

Aston Villa

1 - 0

Leeds United

INT CF

10/03/2022 15:45

Leeds United

0 - 3

Aston Villa

ENG PR

09/02/2022 16:00

Aston Villa

3 - 3

Leeds United

ENG PR

27/02/2021 13:30

Leeds United

0 - 1

Aston Villa

ENG PR

Leeds United

Draw

33%

Aston Villa

67%

Leeds United Last 6 matches

09/11/2025 10:00

Nottingham Forest 3 - 1 Leeds United ENG PR

01/11/2025 11:00

Brighton Hove Albion 3 - 0 Leeds United ENG PR

24/10/2025 15:00

Leeds United 2 - 1 West Ham United ENG PR

18/10/2025 10:00

Burnley 2 - 0 Leeds United ENG PR

04/10/2025 07:30

Leeds United 1 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

27/09/2025 10:00

Leeds United 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Aston Villa

09/11/2025 10:00

Aston Villa 4 - 0 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

06/11/2025 16:00

Aston Villa 2 - 0 Maccabi Tel Aviv UEFA EL

01/11/2025 16:00

Liverpool 2 - 0 Aston Villa ENG PR

26/10/2025 10:00

Aston Villa 1 - 0 Manchester City ENG PR

23/10/2025 12:45

Go Ahead Eagles 2 - 1 Aston Villa UEFA EL

19/10/2025 09:00

Tottenham Hotspur 1 - 2 Aston Villa ENG PR

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Played games

Goals

Scored

461

Avg. per game

1.54

Conceded

414

Avg. per game

1.38

Scored

499

Avg. per game

1.66

Conceded

392

Avg. per game

1.31

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

223 (74%)77 (26%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

245 (82%)55 (18%)

Leeds United

Recent matches

Aston Villa

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Leeds United

Aston Villa

Shots

Leeds United

Total shots

13.98 avg / game

Blocked

1068 total

Avg. 4.27

Aston Villa

Total shots

12.12 avg / game

Blocked

833 total

Avg. 3.36

Leeds United Pass Aston Villa

Total passes

126027

Avg. 470 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

114242

Avg. 436 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Leeds United

300

Played games

Aston Villa

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.29

5.51

1652

Corners

1561

5.20

18.61

5583

Throw-ins

3972

13.24

1.70

509

Offsides

369

1.23

2.46

738

GK saves

793

2.64

Leeds United

DISCIPLINARY

Aston Villa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.69

507

544

1.81

0.03

0.06

10.04

3013

Fouls

2895

9.65

15.11

4533

Tackles

3610

12.03

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Indonesia Super League All Star

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

How We Build the Leeds United vs Aston Villa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Leeds United vs Aston Villa on 23 November 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Leeds United vs Aston Villa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Leeds United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Aston Villa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Leeds United and Aston Villa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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