Leeds United vs Aston Villa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 November

Betiball's prediction for Leeds United vs Aston Villa on 23 November 2025 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Leeds United vs Aston Villa preview before placing your bet.

Leeds United vs Aston Villa: Starting Lineups Time : 23/11/2025 10:00

Leeds United
1 - 2
Finished
Aston Villa
89' event Degnand Wilfried Gnonto
80' event Degnand Wilfried Gnonto / Noah Okafor
80' event Joel Piroe / Brenden Aaronson
77' event Dominic Calvert-Lewin No goal confirmed
74' event Pascal Struijk
71' event Dominic Calvert-Lewin / Ao Tanaka
71' event Daniel James / Lukas Nmecha
63' event Ethan Ampadu
45+2' event Ao Tanaka
41' event Jayden Bogle
23' event Ao Tanaka / Anton Stach
8' event Lukas Nmecha
event 84' Lamare Bogarde / Youri Tielemans
event 75' Morgan Rogers
event 68' Jadon Sancho / Ollie Watkins
event 68' Ross Barkley / John McGinn
event 53' John McGinn
event 48' Morgan Rogers
event 46' Ian Maatsen / Lucas Digne
event 46' Donyell Malen / Emiliano Buendia Stati
89' event Degnand Wilfried Gnonto
event 84' Lamare Bogarde / Youri Tielemans
80' event Degnand Wilfried Gnonto / Noah Okafor
event 75' Morgan Rogers
80' event Joel Piroe / Brenden Aaronson
event 68' Jadon Sancho / Ollie Watkins
77' event Dominic Calvert-Lewin No goal confirmed
event 68' Ross Barkley / John McGinn
74' event Pascal Struijk
event 53' John McGinn
71' event Dominic Calvert-Lewin / Ao Tanaka
event 48' Morgan Rogers
71' event Daniel James / Lukas Nmecha
event 46' Ian Maatsen / Lucas Digne
63' event Ethan Ampadu
event 46' Donyell Malen / Emiliano Buendia Stati
45+2' event Ao Tanaka
41' event Jayden Bogle
23' event Ao Tanaka / Anton Stach
8' event Lukas Nmecha
Leeds United Leeds United
Substitutions
#29 Degnand Wilfried Gnonto
#22 Ao Tanaka
#10 Joel Piroe
#9 Dominic Calvert-Lewin
#7 Daniel James
#44 Ilia Gruev
#15 Jaka Bijol
#26 Karl Darlow
#24 James Justin
Leeds United Leeds United Aston Villa Aston Villa
14Shots14
5Shots on Goal3
18Fouls16
3Corner Kick3
16Free kick18
4Offside2
5Yellow card1
25Aerial27
2Save3
26Successful Tackles20
12Interceptions7
21Long pass17
0Assist1
4Successful center4
5Substitution5
5Shots off goal7
11Head Success15
4Blocked4
15Tackle7
8Dribbles12
11Throw-in14
384Passes441
106Attacks92
48Dangerous attacks37
1Corner Kicks(HT)1
2BigChances1
1BigChancesMissed1
9ShotsInsideBox8
5ShotsOutsideBox6
59DuelsWon60
1.55ExpectedGoals1.21
1.55xGNonPenalty1.21
1.27xGOT0.53
23Touches In Opposition Box23
26AccurateCrosses11
49GroundDuelsWon45
10AerialDuelsWon15
21Clearances18
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Substitutions
#26 Lamare Bogarde
#17 Donyell Malen
#22 Ian Maatsen
#6 Ross Barkley
#19 Jadon Sancho
#29 Evann Guessand
#40 Marco Bizot
#3 Victor Nilsson-Lindelof
#53 George Hemmings
Commentary
89' Degnand Wilfried Gnonto - Leeds United receive a yellow card
84' Aston Villa — substitution: Lamare Bogarde / Youri Tielemans
80' Leeds United — substitution: Degnand Wilfried Gnonto / Noah Okafor
80' Leeds United — substitution: Joel Piroe / Brenden Aaronson
77' VAR review - Leeds United
75' Goal! Morgan Rogers - Aston Villa
74' Pascal Struijk - Leeds United receive a yellow card
71' Leeds United — substitution: Dominic Calvert-Lewin / Ao Tanaka
71' Leeds United — substitution: Daniel James / Lukas Nmecha
68' Aston Villa — substitution: Jadon Sancho / Ollie Watkins
68' Aston Villa — substitution: Ross Barkley / John McGinn
63' Ethan Ampadu - Leeds United receive a yellow card
53' John McGinn - Aston Villa receive a yellow card
48' Goal! Morgan Rogers - Aston Villa
46' Aston Villa — substitution: Ian Maatsen / Lucas Digne
46' Aston Villa — substitution: Donyell Malen / Emiliano Buendia Stati
45+2' Ao Tanaka - Leeds United receive a yellow card
41' Jayden Bogle - Leeds United receive a yellow card
23' Leeds United — substitution: Ao Tanaka / Anton Stach
8' Goal! Lukas Nmecha - Leeds United

How We Build the Leeds United vs Aston Villa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Leeds United vs Aston Villa on 23 November 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Leeds United vs Aston Villa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Leeds United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Aston Villa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Leeds United and Aston Villa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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