Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 December

Lech Poznan

D W D W W

11th place in Group A

1-1

11/12/2025 16:00

FSV Mainz 05

L L L D L

7th place in Group A

UEFA Europa Conference League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05 on 11 December 2025 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05 preview before placing your bet.

Lech Poznan are currently 11th with 10 points after 6 matches.
FSV Mainz 05 sit 7th with 13 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: FSV Mainz 05 to win with probability 41%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2025-12-11

Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05 - Prediction & Odds

Lech Poznan

FSV Mainz 05

2025-12-11 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/12/2025

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Strasbourg	16	6	5	1	0	11	5	6
02 Rakow Czestochowa	14	6	4	2	0	9	2	7
03 AEK Athens	13	6	4	1	1	14	7	7
04 AC Sparta Prague	13	6	4	1	1	10	3	7
05 Rayo Vallecano	13	6	4	1	1	13	7	6
06 FC Shakhtar Donetsk	13	6	4	1	1	10	5	5
07 FSV Mainz 05	13	6	4	1	1	7	3	4
08 AEK Larnaca	12	6	3	3	0	7	1	6
09 Lausanne Sports	11	6	3	2	1	6	3	3
10 Crystal Palace	10	6	3	1	2	11	6	5
11 Lech Poznan	10	6	3	1	2	12	8	4
12 Samsunspor	10	6	3	1	2	10	6	4
13 NK Publikum Celje	10	6	3	1	2	8	7	1
14 AZ Alkmaar	10	6	3	1	2	7	7	0
15 Fiorentina	9	6	3	0	3	8	5	3
16 Rijeka	9	6	2	3	1	5	2	3
17 Jagiellonia Bialystok	9	6	2	3	1	5	4	1
18 Omonia Nicosia FC	8	6	2	2	2	5	4	1
19 FC Noah	8	6	2	2	2	6	7	-1
20 KF Drita Gjilan	8	6	2	2	2	4	8	-4
21 KuPs	7	6	1	4	1	6	5	1
22 FK Shkendija 79	7	6	2	1	3	4	5	-1
23 HSK Zrinjski Mostar	7	6	2	1	3	8	10	-2
24 Sigma Olomouc	7	6	2	1	3	7	9	-2
25 CS Universitatea Craiova	7	6	2	1	3	6	8	-2
26 Lincoln Red Imps FC	7	6	2	1	3	7	15	-8
27 Dynamo Kyiv	6	6	2	0	4	9	9	0
28 Legia Warszawa	6	6	2	0	4	8	8	0
29 Slovan Bratislava	6	6	2	0	4	5	9	-4
30 Breidablik	5	6	1	2	3	6	11	-5
31 Shamrock Rovers	4	6	1	1	4	7	13	-6
32 Hacken	3	6	0	3	3	5	8	-3
33 Hamrun Spartans	3	6	1	0	5	4	11	-7
34 Shelbourne	2	6	0	2	4	0	7	-7
35 Aberdeen	2	6	0	2	4	3	14	-11
36 Rapid Wien	1	6	0	1	5	3	14	-11

Lech Poznan Last 6 matches

07/12/2025 09:45

Cracovia Krakow 2 - 2 Lech Poznan POL PR

03/12/2025 15:30

Piast Gliwice 0 - 2 Lech Poznan POL Cup

30/11/2025 15:15

Wisla Plock 0 - 0 Lech Poznan POL PR

27/11/2025 13:45

Lech Poznan 2 - 0 Lausanne Sports UEFA ECL

23/11/2025 09:45

Lech Poznan 4 - 1 Radomiak Radom POL PR

09/11/2025 15:15

Arka Gdynia 3 - 1 Lech Poznan POL PR

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches FSV Mainz 05

05/12/2025 15:30

FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 Borussia Monchengladbach GER D1

30/11/2025 14:30

SC Freiburg 4 - 0 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

27/11/2025 13:45

CS Universitatea Craiova 1 - 0 FSV Mainz 05 UEFA ECL

21/11/2025 15:30

FSV Mainz 05 1 - 1 TSG Hoffenheim GER D1

09/11/2025 14:30

Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 0 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

06/11/2025 13:45

FSV Mainz 05 2 - 1 Fiorentina UEFA ECL

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Europa Conference...

Played games

Goals

Scored

502

Avg. per game

1.67

Conceded

325

Avg. per game

1.08

Scored

416

Avg. per game

1.56

Conceded

370

Avg. per game

1.39

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

240 (80%)60 (20%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

202 (76%)64 (24%)

Lech Poznan

Recent matches

FSV Mainz 05

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Lech Poznan

FSV Mainz 05

Shots

Lech Poznan

Total shots

13.76 avg / game

Blocked

560 total

Avg. 4.44

FSV Mainz 05

Total shots

12.75 avg / game

Blocked

730 total

Avg. 3.43

Lech Poznan Pass FSV Mainz 05

Total passes

92844

Avg. 489 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

88287

Avg. 394 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Lech Poznan

300

Played games

FSV Mainz 05

266

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

111

Clean sheets

0.25

5.12

1537

Corners

1268

4.77

6.80

2040

Throw-ins

4887

18.37

1.26

378

Offsides

475

1.79

2.19

658

GK saves

711

2.67

Lech Poznan

DISCIPLINARY

FSV Mainz 05

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.58

474

488

1.83

0.05

0.08

9.80

2939

Fouls

3092

11.62

6.86

2058

Tackles

3422

12.86

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05 on 11 December 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05 Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Lech Poznan's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FSV Mainz 05's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Europa Conference League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Europa Conference League standings and the UEFA Europa Conference League form table to understand exactly where Lech Poznan and FSV Mainz 05 sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Europa Conference League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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