Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 December

Betiball's prediction for Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05 on 11 December 2025 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05 preview before placing your bet.

Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05: Starting Lineups Time : 11/12/2025 16:00

Lech Poznan
1 - 1
Finished
FSV Mainz 05
86' event Joao Moutinho / Michal Gurgul
81' event Mel Yannick Joel Agnero / Antoni Kozubal
70' event Michal Gurgul
68' event Taofeek Ismaheel / Ali Gholizadeh
67' event Leo Bengtsson / Luis Enrique Palma Oseguera
46' event Timothy Ouma / Filip Jagiello
41' event Mikael Ishak
31' event Antoni Kozubal
event 89' Daniel Batz
event 86' Lennard Maloney / Sota Kawasaki
event 86' Fabio Moreno Fell / Benedict Hollerbach
event 71' William Boving Vick / Lee Jae Sung
event 71' Arnaud Nordin / Nelson Weiper
event 66' Nikolas Konrad Veratschnig
event 51' Sota Kawasaki
event 37' Nikolas Konrad Veratschnig
event 33' Benedict Hollerbach Goal cancelled
event 28' Sota Kawasaki
event 27' Sota Kawasaki / Silvan Widmer
86' event Joao Moutinho / Michal Gurgul
event 89' Daniel Batz
81' event Mel Yannick Joel Agnero / Antoni Kozubal
event 86' Lennard Maloney / Sota Kawasaki
70' event Michal Gurgul
event 86' Fabio Moreno Fell / Benedict Hollerbach
68' event Taofeek Ismaheel / Ali Gholizadeh
event 71' William Boving Vick / Lee Jae Sung
67' event Leo Bengtsson / Luis Enrique Palma Oseguera
event 71' Arnaud Nordin / Nelson Weiper
46' event Timothy Ouma / Filip Jagiello
event 66' Nikolas Konrad Veratschnig
41' event Mikael Ishak
event 51' Sota Kawasaki
31' event Antoni Kozubal
event 37' Nikolas Konrad Veratschnig
event 33' Benedict Hollerbach Goal cancelled
event 28' Sota Kawasaki
event 27' Sota Kawasaki / Silvan Widmer
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
Substitutions
#6 Timothy Ouma
#14 Leo Bengtsson
#88 Taofeek Ismaheel
#7 Mel Yannick Joel Agnero
#4 Joao Moutinho
#33 Mateusz Pruchniewski
#31 Krzysztof Bakowski
#20 Robert Gumny
#56 Kornel Lisman
#21 Bartlomiej Baranski
#19 Bryan Fiabema
#54 Kamil Jakobczyk
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
20Shots13
8Shots on Goal5
14Fouls12
2Corner Kick5
11Free kick14
2Offside3
2Yellow card4
0Red card1
0Aerial1
4Save7
7Successful Tackles10
6Interceptions17
24Long pass24
0Assist1
5Successful center5
4Shots off goal8
0Hit The Post1
8Blocked0
7Tackle10
7Dribbles7
20Throw-in11
647Passes303
66Attacks59
43Dangerous attacks26
1Corner Kicks(HT)2
5BigChances1
4BigChancesMissed0
13ShotsInsideBox9
7ShotsOutsideBox4
41DuelsWon49
2.6ExpectedGoals1.23
1.78xGOpenPlay1.14
1.81xGNonPenalty1.23
2.63xGOT1.09
39Touches In Opposition Box15
23AccurateCrosses16
25GroundDuelsWon37
16AerialDuelsWon12
21Clearances44
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
Substitutions
#24 Sota Kawasaki
#9 Arnaud Nordin
#14 William Boving Vick
#15 Lennard Maloney
#36 Fabio Moreno Fell
#1 Lasse RieB
#35 Louis Babatz
#5 Maxim Leitsch
#16 Stefan Bell
#48 Kacper Potulski
#11 Armindo Sieb
#37 Ben Bobzien
Commentary
89' Daniel Batz - FSV Mainz 05 receive a yellow card
86' Lech Poznan — substitution: Joao Moutinho / Michal Gurgul
86' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Lennard Maloney / Sota Kawasaki
86' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Fabio Moreno Fell / Benedict Hollerbach
81' Lech Poznan — substitution: Mel Yannick Joel Agnero / Antoni Kozubal
71' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: William Boving Vick / Lee Jae Sung
71' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Arnaud Nordin / Nelson Weiper
70' Michal Gurgul - Lech Poznan receive a yellow card
68' Lech Poznan — substitution: Taofeek Ismaheel / Ali Gholizadeh
67' Lech Poznan — substitution: Leo Bengtsson / Luis Enrique Palma Oseguera
66' Nikolas Konrad Veratschnig - FSV Mainz 05 receive second yellow card
51' Sota Kawasaki - FSV Mainz 05 receive a yellow card
46' Lech Poznan — substitution: Timothy Ouma / Filip Jagiello
41' Penalty scored! Mikael Ishak - Lech Poznan
37' Nikolas Konrad Veratschnig - FSV Mainz 05 receive a yellow card
33' VAR review - FSV Mainz 05
31' Antoni Kozubal - Lech Poznan receive a yellow card
28' Goal! Sota Kawasaki - FSV Mainz 05
27' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Sota Kawasaki / Silvan Widmer

How We Build the Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05 on 11 December 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05 Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Lech Poznan's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FSV Mainz 05's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Lech Poznan and FSV Mainz 05 sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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