Jelgava vs Super Nova Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 06

Jelgava

W W L L L

7th place in Latvian Higher League

1-0

06/05/2026 08:00

Super Nova

D L L W L

6th place in Latvian Higher League

Latvian Higher League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Jelgava vs Super Nova on May 06, 2026 (kick-off: 08:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Jelgava vs Super Nova preview before placing for you.

Jelgava are currently 7th with 25 points after 25 matches.
Super Nova sit 6th with 27 points from 23 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Jelgava to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Jelgava, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Super Nova have no wins, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

08:00

2026-05-06

Jelgava vs Super Nova - Prediction & Odds

Jelgava

Super Nova

2026-05-06 08:00

STANDINGS UP TO 06/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FK Rigas Futbola skola	62	24	20	2	2	56	16	40
02 Riga FC	61	24	19	4	1	72	20	52
03 FK Auda Riga	43	23	13	4	6	38	26	12
04 BFC Daugavpils	33	25	9	6	10	31	31	0
05 FK Liepaja	31	24	9	4	11	31	36	-5
06 Super Nova	27	23	8	3	12	25	35	-10
07 Jelgava	25	25	6	7	12	25	43	-18
08 Grobina	21	25	4	9	12	17	41	-24
09 Tukums-2000	20	25	4	8	13	40	49	-9
10 Ogre United	14	24	3	5	16	23	61	-38

Head To Head

15/03/2026 07:00

Super Nova

1 - 1

Jelgava

LAT D1

04/10/2025 06:00

Super Nova

1 - 1

Jelgava

LAT D1

20/07/2025 07:00

Jelgava

1 - 0

Super Nova

LAT D1

21/05/2025 10:00

Super Nova

0 - 0

Jelgava

LAT D1

05/04/2025 06:00

Jelgava

2 - 1

Super Nova

LAT D1

01/10/2023 04:00

Super Nova

1 - 1

Jelgava

LAT D1

Jelgava

33%

Draw

67%

Super Nova

Jelgava Last 6 matches

01/05/2026 06:00

Tukums-2000 5 - 0 Jelgava LAT D1

27/04/2026 09:00

Ogre United 0 - 1 Jelgava LAT D1

21/04/2026 10:00

Jelgava 2 - 3 FK Auda Riga LAT D1

16/04/2026 08:00

BFC Daugavpils 1 - 0 Jelgava LAT D1

12/04/2026 06:00

FK Liepaja 1 - 1 Jelgava LAT D1

08/04/2026 09:00

Jelgava 0 - 1 FK Rigas Futbola skola LAT D1

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Super Nova

01/05/2026 08:00

Super Nova 1 - 2 FK Auda Riga LAT D1

27/04/2026 08:00

BFC Daugavpils 0 - 1 Super Nova LAT D1

23/04/2026 08:00

Super Nova 1 - 2 FK Liepaja LAT D1

18/04/2026 06:00

FK Rigas Futbola skola 2 - 0 Super Nova LAT D1

14/04/2026 08:00

Super Nova 1 - 4 Riga FC LAT D1

09/04/2026 08:00

Grobina 0 - 1 Super Nova LAT D1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Latvian Higher League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Jelgava

Super Nova

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.44

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.04

Scored

Avg. per game

0.52

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.70

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 25 matches

YesNo

8 (32%)17 (68%)

In last 25 matches

NoYes

10 (43%)13 (57%)

Jelgava

Recent matches

Super Nova

Under /Over

(72%)18 7(28%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(83%)19 4(17%)

Under /Over

(28%)7 18(72%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(48%)11 12(52%)

Under /Over

(40%)10 15(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(30%)7 16(70%)

/Yes

(44%)11 14(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(61%)14 9(39%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Jelgava

Super Nova

Shots

Jelgava

Total shots

11.54 avg / game

Blocked

73 total

Avg. 3.04

Super Nova

Total shots

9.27 avg / game

Blocked

55 total

Avg. 2.62

Jelgava Pass Super Nova

Total passes

8261

Avg. 344 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

45%

Total passes

6925

Avg. 315 / game

Accurate

71%

Ball possession

44%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Jelgava

Played games

Super Nova

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.16

Clean sheets

0.22

4.52

113

Corners

3.83

25.16

629

Throw-ins

498

21.65

0.96

Offsides

1.43

3.44

GK saves

3.35

Jelgava

DISCIPLINARY

Super Nova

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.76

1.87

0.04

0.00

12.24

306

Fouls

289

12.57

13.76

344

Tackles

317

13.78

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Jelgava vs Super Nova Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Jelgava vs Super Nova on 06 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Latvian Higher League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Jelgava vs Super Nova Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Jelgava's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Super Nova's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Latvian Higher League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Latvian Higher League standings and the Latvian Higher League form table to understand exactly where Jelgava and Super Nova sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Latvian Higher League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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