BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – April 16

BFC Daugavpils

D L W W L

4th place in Latvian Higher League

1-0

16/04/2026 08:00

Jelgava

W W L L L

7th place in Latvian Higher League

Latvian Higher League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava on April 16, 2026 (kick-off: 08:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava preview before placing for you.

BFC Daugavpils are currently 4th with 33 points after 25 matches.
Jelgava sit 7th with 25 points from 25 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: BFC Daugavpils to win with probability 46%.
Head-to-head history favors BFC Daugavpils, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Jelgava have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

08:00

2026-04-16

BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava - Prediction & Odds

BFC Daugavpils

Jelgava

2026-04-16 08:00

STANDINGS UP TO 16/04/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FK Rigas Futbola skola	62	24	20	2	2	56	16	40
02 Riga FC	61	24	19	4	1	72	20	52
03 FK Auda Riga	43	23	13	4	6	38	26	12
04 BFC Daugavpils	33	25	9	6	10	31	31	0
05 FK Liepaja	31	24	9	4	11	31	36	-5
06 Super Nova	27	23	8	3	12	25	35	-10
07 Jelgava	25	25	6	7	12	25	43	-18
08 Grobina	21	25	4	9	12	17	41	-24
09 Tukums-2000	20	25	4	8	13	40	49	-9
10 Ogre United	14	24	3	5	16	23	61	-38

Head To Head

18/10/2025 04:00

Jelgava

0 - 0

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

27/07/2025 05:00

BFC Daugavpils

2 - 0

Jelgava

LAT D1

25/05/2025 06:00

BFC Daugavpils

1 - 0

Jelgava

LAT D1

10/04/2025 07:30

Jelgava

4 - 1

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

01/09/2024 04:00

Jelgava

0 - 0

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

21/06/2024 08:00

BFC Daugavpils

3 - 0

Jelgava

LAT D1

BFC Daugavpils

50%

Draw

33%

Jelgava

17%

BFC Daugavpils Last 6 matches

12/04/2026 04:00

FK Auda Riga 2 - 3 BFC Daugavpils LAT D1

07/04/2026 08:00

BFC Daugavpils 2 - 1 Ogre United LAT D1

03/04/2026 06:00

BFC Daugavpils 2 - 0 FK Liepaja LAT D1

28/03/2026 04:00

Hegelmann Litauen 1 - 4 BFC Daugavpils INT CF

21/03/2026 07:00

FK Rigas Futbola skola 4 - 1 BFC Daugavpils LAT D1

14/03/2026 07:00

Riga FC 4 - 2 BFC Daugavpils LAT D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Jelgava

12/04/2026 06:00

FK Liepaja 1 - 1 Jelgava LAT D1

08/04/2026 09:00

Jelgava 0 - 1 FK Rigas Futbola skola LAT D1

04/04/2026 06:00

Jelgava 0 - 8 Riga FC LAT D1

21/03/2026 09:00

Jelgava 0 - 1 Grobina LAT D1

15/03/2026 07:00

Super Nova 1 - 1 Jelgava LAT D1

08/03/2026 05:00

Jelgava 2 - 1 Tukums-2000 LAT D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Latvian Higher League

Played games

BFC Daugavpils

Jelgava

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.24

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.72

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 25 matches

YesNo

18 (72%)7 (28%)

In last 25 matches

NoYes

14 (56%)11 (44%)

BFC Daugavpils

Recent matches

Jelgava

Under /Over

(64%)16 9(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(72%)18 7(28%)

Under /Over

(16%)4 21(84%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(28%)7 18(72%)

Under /Over

(56%)14 11(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)10 15(60%)

/Yes

(56%)14 11(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)11 14(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

BFC Daugavpils

Jelgava

Shots

BFC Daugavpils

Total shots

13.46 avg / game

Blocked

92 total

Avg. 3.83

Jelgava

Total shots

11.54 avg / game

Blocked

73 total

Avg. 3.04

BFC Daugavpils Pass Jelgava

Total passes

8605

Avg. 359 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

8261

Avg. 344 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

BFC Daugavpils

Played games

Jelgava

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.16

4.08

102

Corners

113

4.52

22.12

553

Throw-ins

629

25.16

2.16

Offsides

0.96

3.28

GK saves

3.44

BFC Daugavpils

DISCIPLINARY

Jelgava

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.48

1.76

0.00

0.04

12.48

312

Fouls

306

12.24

14.52

363

Tackles

344

13.76

NEXT MATCHES

FK Rigas Futbola skola

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava on 16 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Latvian Higher League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess BFC Daugavpils's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Jelgava's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Latvian Higher League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Latvian Higher League standings and the Latvian Higher League form table to understand exactly where BFC Daugavpils and Jelgava sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Latvian Higher League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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