Italy vs Israel: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 October

Italy

W W W W L

2nd place in Group I

3-0

14/10/2025 18:45

Israel

L L W W W

3rd place in Group I

FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Italy vs Israel on 14 October 2025 (kick-off: 18:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Italy vs Israel preview before placing your bet.

Italy are currently 2nd with 18 points after 8 matches.
Israel sit 3rd with 12 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Italy to win with probability 79%.
Head-to-head history favors Italy, who have won 5 of the last 5 meetings. Israel have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:45

2025-10-14

Italy vs Israel - Prediction & Odds

Italy

Israel

2025-10-14 18:45

STANDINGS UP TO 14/10/2025

Group I	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Norway	24	8	8	0	0	37	5	32
02 Italy	18	8	6	0	2	21	12	9
03 Israel	12	8	4	0	4	19	20	-1
04 Estonia	4	8	1	1	6	8	21	-13
05 Moldova	1	8	0	1	7	5	32	-27

Head To Head

08/09/2025 18:45

Israel

4 - 5

Italy

WCPEU

14/10/2024 18:45

Italy

4 - 1

Israel

UEFA NL

09/09/2024 18:45

Israel

1 - 2

Italy

UEFA NL

05/09/2017 18:45

Italy

1 - 0

Israel

WCPEU

05/09/2016 18:45

Israel

1 - 3

Italy

WCPEU

Italy

100%

Draw

Israel

Italy Last 6 matches

11/10/2025 18:45

Estonia 1 - 3 Italy WCPEU

08/09/2025 18:45

Israel 4 - 5 Italy WCPEU

05/09/2025 18:45

Italy 5 - 0 Estonia WCPEU

09/06/2025 18:45

Italy 2 - 0 Moldova WCPEU

06/06/2025 18:45

Norway 3 - 0 Italy WCPEU

23/03/2025 19:45

Germany 3 - 3 Italy UEFA NL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Israel

11/10/2025 16:00

Norway 5 - 0 Israel WCPEU

08/09/2025 18:45

Israel 4 - 5 Italy WCPEU

05/09/2025 18:45

Moldova 0 - 4 Israel WCPEU

10/06/2025 18:45

Slovakia 0 - 1 Israel INT FRL

06/06/2025 18:45

Estonia 1 - 3 Israel WCPEU

25/03/2025 19:45

Israel 2 - 4 Norway WCPEU

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues FIFA World Cup qualifi...

Played games

Italy

Israel

Goals

Scored

171

Avg. per game

2.01

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.88

Scored

110

Avg. per game

1.59

Conceded

121

Avg. per game

1.75

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 85 matches

YesNo

72 (85%)13 (15%)

In last 85 matches

NoYes

54 (78%)15 (22%)

Italy

Recent matches

Israel

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Italy

Israel

Shots

Italy

Total shots

15.15 avg / game

Blocked

266 total

Avg. 4.59

Israel

Total shots

11.73 avg / game

Blocked

146 total

Avg. 3.40

Italy Pass Israel

Total passes

33285

Avg. 546 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

21291

Avg. 473 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Italy

Played games

Israel

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.47

Clean sheets

0.19

5.00

425

Corners

233

3.38

13.31

1131

Throw-ins

776

11.25

1.76

150

Offsides

1.35

1.89

161

GK saves

170

2.46

Italy

DISCIPLINARY

Israel

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.44

122

1.28

0.05

0.04

9.76

830

Fouls

521

7.55

9.71

825

Tackles

651

9.43

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Italy vs Israel Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Italy vs Israel on 14 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Italy vs Israel Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Italy's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Israel's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) standings and the FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) form table to understand exactly where Italy and Israel sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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