Estonia vs Italy: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 October

Estonia

D L L L W

4th place in Group I

1-3

11/10/2025 14:45

Italy

W W W L D

2nd place in Group I

FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Estonia vs Italy on 11 October 2025 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Estonia vs Italy preview before placing your bet.

Estonia will face Italy in FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) on October 11, 2025 at 14:45.
Estonia are currently 4th with 4 points after 8 matches.
Italy sit 2nd with 18 points from 8 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 3 - 0 and average coefficient 1.05.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2025-10-11

Estonia vs Italy - Prediction & Odds

Estonia

Italy

2025-10-11 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 11/10/2025

Group I	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Norway	24	8	8	0	0	37	5	32
02 Italy	18	8	6	0	2	21	12	9
03 Israel	12	8	4	0	4	19	20	-1
04 Estonia	4	8	1	1	6	8	21	-13
05 Moldova	1	8	0	1	7	5	32	-27

Head To Head

05/09/2025 14:45

Italy

5 - 0

Estonia

WCPEU

11/11/2020 15:45

Italy

4 - 0

Estonia

INT FRL

03/06/2011 14:45

Italy

3 - 0

Estonia

EURO Cup

03/09/2010 14:30

Estonia

1 - 2

Italy

EURO Cup

Italy

75%

Draw

Estonia

25%

Estonia Last 6 matches

09/09/2025 12:00

Estonia 0 - 0 Andorra

INT FRL

05/09/2025 14:45

Italy 5 - 0 Estonia

WCPEU

09/06/2025 14:45

Estonia 0 - 1 Norway

WCPEU

06/06/2025 14:45

Estonia 1 - 3 Israel

WCPEU

25/03/2025 13:00

Moldova 2 - 3 Estonia

WCPEU

22/03/2025 15:45

Israel 2 - 1 Estonia

WCPEU

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Italy

08/09/2025 14:45

Israel 4 - 5 Italy

WCPEU

05/09/2025 14:45

Italy 5 - 0 Estonia

WCPEU

09/06/2025 14:45

Italy 2 - 0 Moldova

WCPEU

06/06/2025 14:45

Norway 3 - 0 Italy

WCPEU

23/03/2025 15:45

Germany 3 - 3 Italy

UEFA NL

20/03/2025 15:45

Italy 1 - 2 Germany

UEFA NL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues FIFA World Cup qualifi...

Played games

Estonia

Italy

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

2.63

Scored

Avg. per game

2.40

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.30

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 8 matches

YesNo

6 (75%)2 (25%)

In last 8 matches

NoYes

9 (90%)1 (10%)

Estonia

Recent matches

Italy

Under /Over

(88%)7 1(12%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(100%)10 0(0%)

Under /Over

(50%)4 4(50%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(30%)3 7(70%)

Under /Over

(63%)5 3(37%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(70%)7 3(30%)

/Yes

(75%)6 2(25%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)4 6(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Estonia

Italy

Shots

Estonia

Total shots

7.75 avg / game

Blocked

16 total

Avg. 2.29

Italy

Total shots

20.40 avg / game

Blocked

63 total

Avg. 7.00

Estonia Pass Italy

Total passes

2821

Avg. 353 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

41%

Total passes

5437

Avg. 544 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Estonia

Played games

Italy

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.00

Clean sheets

0.50

2.13

Corners

7.20

15.75

126

Throw-ins

204

20.40

1.00

Offsides

0.90

4.88

GK saves

2.90

Estonia

DISCIPLINARY

Italy

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.50

1.40

0.25

0.10

14.88

119

Fouls

103

10.30

10.88

Tackles

7.80

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Estonia vs Italy Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Estonia vs Italy on 11 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Estonia vs Italy Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Estonia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Italy's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) standings and the FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) form table to understand exactly where Estonia and Italy sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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