Italy vs England: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 March

Italy

L W W W L

2nd place in Group C

1-2

23/03/2023 15:45

England

L W W D W

1st place in Group C

UEFA European Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Italy vs England on 23 March 2023 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Italy vs England preview before placing your bet.

Italy will face England in UEFA European Championship on March 23, 2023 at 15:45.
Italy are currently 2nd with 14 points after 8 matches.
England sit 1st with 20 points from 8 matches.
Current model prediction leans yellow with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 3.08.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:45

2023-03-23

Italy vs England - Prediction & Odds

Italy

England

2023-03-23 15:45

STANDINGS UP TO 23/03/2023

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 England	20	8	6	2	0	22	4	18
02 Italy	14	8	4	2	2	16	9	7
03 Ukraine	14	8	4	2	2	11	8	3
04 North Macedonia	8	8	2	2	4	10	20	-10
05 Malta	0	8	0	0	8	2	20	-18

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Spain	9	3	3	0	0	5	0	5
02 Italy	4	3	1	1	1	3	3	0
03 Croatia	2	3	0	2	1	3	6	-3
04 Albania	1	3	0	1	2	3	5	-2

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 England	5	3	1	2	0	2	1	1
02 Denmark	3	3	0	3	0	2	2	0
03 Slovenia	3	3	0	3	0	2	2	0
04 Serbia	2	3	0	2	1	1	2	-1

Head To Head

23/09/2022 14:45

Italy

1 - 0

England

UEFA NL

11/06/2022 14:45

England

0 - 0

Italy

UEFA NL

11/07/2021 15:00

England

1 - 1

Italy

EURO Cup

27/03/2018 15:00

England

1 - 1

Italy

INT FRL

31/03/2015 14:45

Italy

1 - 1

England

INT FRL

14/06/2014 18:00

England

1 - 2

Italy

World Cup

Italy

17%

Draw

67%

England

17%

Italy Last 6 matches

20/11/2022 15:45

Austria 2 - 0 Italy

INT FRL

16/11/2022 15:45

Albania 1 - 3 Italy

INT FRL

26/09/2022 14:45

Hungary 0 - 2 Italy

UEFA NL

23/09/2022 14:45

Italy 1 - 0 England

UEFA NL

14/06/2022 14:45

Germany 5 - 2 Italy

UEFA NL

11/06/2022 14:45

England 0 - 0 Italy

UEFA NL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches England

10/12/2022 15:00

England 1 - 2 France

World Cup

04/12/2022 15:00

England 3 - 0 Senegal

World Cup

29/11/2022 15:00

Wales 0 - 3 England

World Cup

25/11/2022 15:00

England 0 - 0 USA

World Cup

21/11/2022 09:00

England 6 - 2 Iran

World Cup

26/09/2022 14:45

England 3 - 3 Germany

UEFA NL

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA European Champion...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Italy

England

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.58

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

Avg. per game

0.87

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.27

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 12 matches

YesNo

5 (42%)7 (58%)

In last 12 matches

NoYes

9 (60%)6 (40%)

Italy

Recent matches

England

Under /Over

(83%)10 2(17%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)13 2(13%)

Under /Over

(58%)7 5(42%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(53%)8 7(47%)

Under /Over

(42%)5 7(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(27%)4 11(73%)

/Yes

(58%)7 5(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)9 6(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Italy

England

Shots

Italy

Total shots

14.33 avg / game

Blocked

50 total

Avg. 5.00

England

Total shots

11.80 avg / game

Blocked

44 total

Avg. 3.67

Italy Pass England

Total passes

7199

Avg. 600 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

60%

Total passes

9312

Avg. 621 / game

Accurate

89%

Ball possession

59%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Italy

Played games

England

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.40

6.50

Corners

4.00

16.67

200

Throw-ins

248

16.53

1.67

Offsides

1.20

2.42

GK saves

1.47

Italy

DISCIPLINARY

England

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.92

1.80

0.00

0.07

11.17

134

Fouls

129

8.60

14.92

179

Tackles

183

12.20

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Italy vs England Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Italy vs England on 23 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA European Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Italy vs England Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Italy's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against England's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA European Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA European Championship standings and the UEFA European Championship form table to understand exactly where Italy and England sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA European Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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