Italy vs England: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 March

Betiball's prediction for Italy vs England on 23 March 2023 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Italy vs England preview before placing your bet.

Italy vs England: Starting Lineups Time : 23/03/2023 15:45

Italy
1 - 2
Finished
England
90+2' event Francesco Acerbi
88' event Gianluca Scamacca / Marco Verratti
69' event Degnand Wilfried Gnonto / Lorenzo Pellegrini
69' event Sandro Tonali / Jorge Luiz Frello Filho，Jorginho
62' event Matteo Politano / Domenico Berardi
62' event Bryan Cristante / Nicolo Barella
62' event Jorge Luiz Frello Filho，Jorginho
56' event Mateo Retegui
53' event Giovanni Di Lorenzo
event 85' Conor Gallagher / Jude Bellingham
event 85' Reece James / Bukayo Saka
event 81' Kieran Trippier / Phil Foden
event 80' Luke Shaw
event 78' Luke Shaw
event 72' Kyle Walker
event 69' Phil Foden / Jack Grealish
event 57' Harry Maguire
event 44' Harry Kane
event 29' Declan Rice
event 13' Declan Rice
90+2' event Francesco Acerbi
event 85' Conor Gallagher / Jude Bellingham
88' event Gianluca Scamacca / Marco Verratti
event 85' Reece James / Bukayo Saka
69' event Degnand Wilfried Gnonto / Lorenzo Pellegrini
event 81' Kieran Trippier / Phil Foden
69' event Sandro Tonali / Jorge Luiz Frello Filho，Jorginho
event 80' Luke Shaw
62' event Matteo Politano / Domenico Berardi
event 78' Luke Shaw
62' event Bryan Cristante / Nicolo Barella
event 72' Kyle Walker
62' event Jorge Luiz Frello Filho，Jorginho
event 69' Phil Foden / Jack Grealish
56' event Mateo Retegui
event 57' Harry Maguire
53' event Giovanni Di Lorenzo
event 44' Harry Kane
event 29' Declan Rice
event 13' Declan Rice
Italy Italy
Substitutions
#16 Bryan Cristante
#9 Gianluca Scamacca
#20 Sandro Tonali
#17 Matteo Politano
#7 Degnand Wilfried Gnonto
#23 Alessio Romagnoli
#21 Wladimiro Falcone
#14 Giorgio Scalvini
#13 Emerson Palmieri dos Santos
#12 Matteo Pessina
#22 Alex Meret
#5 Matteo Darmian
Italy Italy England England
10Shots7
1Shots on Goal4
13Fouls6
7Corner Kick3
6Free kick12
1Offside0
3Yellow card5
0Red card1
19Aerial13
2Save0
16Successful Tackles12
6Interceptions9
1Assist0
9Shots off goal3
9Head Success7
13Tackle12
9Dribbles13
24Throw-in15
527Passes393
126Attacks76
68Dangerous attacks21
1Corner Kicks(HT)3
England England
Substitutions
#12 Kieran Trippier
#20 Phil Foden
#17 Reece James
#19 Conor Gallagher
#14 Jordan Henderson
#22 Fraser Forster
#13 Aaron Ramsdale
#18 Marc Guehi
#21 James Maddison
#23 Ivan Toney
#16 Benjamin Chilwell
#15 Eric Dier
Commentary
90+2' Francesco Acerbi - Italy receive a yellow card
88' Italy — substitution: Gianluca Scamacca / Marco Verratti
85' England — substitution: Conor Gallagher / Jude Bellingham
85' England — substitution: Reece James / Bukayo Saka
81' England — substitution: Kieran Trippier / Phil Foden
80' Luke Shaw - England receive second yellow card
78' Luke Shaw - England receive a yellow card
72' Kyle Walker - England receive a yellow card
69' Italy — substitution: Degnand Wilfried Gnonto / Lorenzo Pellegrini
69' Italy — substitution: Sandro Tonali / Jorge Luiz Frello Filho，Jorginho
69' England — substitution: Phil Foden / Jack Grealish
62' Italy — substitution: Matteo Politano / Domenico Berardi
62' Italy — substitution: Bryan Cristante / Nicolo Barella
62' Jorge Luiz Frello Filho，Jorginho - Italy receive a yellow card
57' Harry Maguire - England receive a yellow card
56' Goal! Mateo Retegui - Italy
53' Giovanni Di Lorenzo - Italy receive a yellow card
44' Penalty scored! Harry Kane - England
29' Declan Rice - England receive a yellow card
13' Goal! Declan Rice - England

How We Build the Italy vs England Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Italy vs England on 23 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Italy vs England Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Italy's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against England's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Italy and England sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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