Italy vs England: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 March

Italy

L W W W L

2nd place in Group C

1-2

23/03/2023 19:45

England

L W W D W

1st place in Group C

UEFA European Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Italy vs England on 23 March 2023 (kick-off: 19:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Italy vs England preview before placing your bet.

Italy are currently 2nd with 14 points after 8 matches.
England sit 1st with 20 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 29%.
Head-to-head history favors Italy, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. England have no wins, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:45

2023-03-23

Italy vs England - Prediction & Odds

Italy

England

2023-03-23 19:45

STANDINGS UP TO 23/03/2023

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 England	20	8	6	2	0	22	4	18
02 Italy	14	8	4	2	2	16	9	7
03 Ukraine	14	8	4	2	2	11	8	3
04 North Macedonia	8	8	2	2	4	10	20	-10
05 Malta	0	8	0	0	8	2	20	-18

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Spain	9	3	3	0	0	5	0	5
02 Italy	4	3	1	1	1	3	3	0
03 Croatia	2	3	0	2	1	3	6	-3
04 Albania	1	3	0	1	2	3	5	-2

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 England	5	3	1	2	0	2	1	1
02 Denmark	3	3	0	3	0	2	2	0
03 Slovenia	3	3	0	3	0	2	2	0
04 Serbia	2	3	0	2	1	1	2	-1

Head To Head

23/09/2022 18:45

Italy

1 - 0

England

UEFA NL

11/06/2022 18:45

England

0 - 0

Italy

UEFA NL

11/07/2021 19:00

England

1 - 1

Italy

EURO Cup

27/03/2018 19:00

England

1 - 1

Italy

INT FRL

31/03/2015 18:45

Italy

1 - 1

England

INT FRL

14/06/2014 22:00

England

1 - 2

Italy

World Cup

Italy

33%

Draw

67%

England

Italy Last 6 matches

20/11/2022 19:45

Austria 2 - 0 Italy INT FRL

16/11/2022 19:45

Albania 1 - 3 Italy INT FRL

26/09/2022 18:45

Hungary 0 - 2 Italy UEFA NL

23/09/2022 18:45

Italy 1 - 0 England UEFA NL

14/06/2022 18:45

Germany 5 - 2 Italy UEFA NL

11/06/2022 18:45

England 0 - 0 Italy UEFA NL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches England

10/12/2022 19:00

England 1 - 2 France World Cup

04/12/2022 19:00

England 3 - 0 Senegal World Cup

29/11/2022 19:00

Wales 0 - 3 England World Cup

25/11/2022 19:00

England 0 - 0 USA World Cup

21/11/2022 13:00

England 6 - 2 Iran World Cup

26/09/2022 18:45

England 3 - 3 Germany UEFA NL

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA European Champion...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Italy

England

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.46

Scored

119

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.39

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 85 matches

YesNo

50 (59%)35 (41%)

In last 85 matches

NoYes

65 (68%)31 (32%)

Italy

Recent matches

England

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Italy

England

Shots

Italy

Total shots

15.15 avg / game

Blocked

266 total

Avg. 4.59

England

Total shots

14.40 avg / game

Blocked

279 total

Avg. 3.88

Italy Pass England

Total passes

33285

Avg. 546 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

47965

Avg. 615 / game

Accurate

89%

Ball possession

62%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Italy

Played games

England

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.47

Clean sheets

0.55

5.00

425

Corners

485

5.05

13.31

1131

Throw-ins

1275

13.28

1.76

150

Offsides

138

1.44

1.89

161

GK saves

144

1.50

Italy

DISCIPLINARY

England

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.44

122

1.03

0.05

0.03

9.76

830

Fouls

802

8.35

9.71

825

Tackles

887

9.24

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Italy vs England Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Italy vs England on 23 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA European Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Italy vs England Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Italy's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against England's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA European Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA European Championship standings and the UEFA European Championship form table to understand exactly where Italy and England sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA European Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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