Grobina vs Jelgava Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 11

Grobina

D L W L D

8th place in Latvian Higher League

0-0

11/05/2026 08:00

Jelgava

W W L L L

7th place in Latvian Higher League

Latvian Higher League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Grobina vs Jelgava on May 11, 2026 (kick-off: 08:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Grobina vs Jelgava preview before placing for you.

Grobina are currently 8th with 21 points after 25 matches.
Jelgava sit 7th with 25 points from 25 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Jelgava to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors Grobina, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Jelgava have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

08:00

2026-05-11

Grobina vs Jelgava - Prediction & Odds

Grobina

Jelgava

2026-05-11 08:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FK Rigas Futbola skola	62	24	20	2	2	56	16	40
02 Riga FC	61	24	19	4	1	72	20	52
03 FK Auda Riga	43	23	13	4	6	38	26	12
04 BFC Daugavpils	33	25	9	6	10	31	31	0
05 FK Liepaja	31	24	9	4	11	31	36	-5
06 Super Nova	27	23	8	3	12	25	35	-10
07 Jelgava	25	25	6	7	12	25	43	-18
08 Grobina	21	25	4	9	12	17	41	-24
09 Tukums-2000	20	25	4	8	13	40	49	-9
10 Ogre United	14	24	3	5	16	23	61	-38

Head To Head

21/03/2026 09:00

Jelgava

0 - 1

Grobina

LAT D1

29/08/2025 07:30

Grobina

3 - 2

Jelgava

LAT D1

22/06/2025 06:00

Jelgava

0 - 1

Grobina

LAT D1

29/04/2025 08:00

Jelgava

1 - 0

Grobina

LAT D1

06/03/2025 09:00

Grobina

1 - 1

Jelgava

LAT D1

09/11/2024 04:00

Jelgava

2 - 0

Grobina

LAT D1

Grobina

50%

Draw

17%

Jelgava

33%

Grobina Last 6 matches

07/05/2026 10:00

FK Auda Riga 7 - 0 Grobina LAT D1

02/05/2026 05:00

Grobina 1 - 1 BFC Daugavpils LAT D1

28/04/2026 08:00

FK Liepaja 1 - 1 Grobina LAT D1

22/04/2026 08:00

Grobina 0 - 1 FK Rigas Futbola skola LAT D1

18/04/2026 04:00

Grobina 0 - 3 Riga FC LAT D1

13/04/2026 08:30

Ogre United 1 - 1 Grobina LAT D1

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Jelgava

06/05/2026 08:00

Jelgava 1 - 0 Super Nova LAT D1

01/05/2026 06:00

Tukums-2000 5 - 0 Jelgava LAT D1

27/04/2026 09:00

Ogre United 0 - 1 Jelgava LAT D1

21/04/2026 10:00

Jelgava 2 - 3 FK Auda Riga LAT D1

16/04/2026 08:00

BFC Daugavpils 1 - 0 Jelgava LAT D1

12/04/2026 06:00

FK Liepaja 1 - 1 Jelgava LAT D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Latvian Higher League

Played games

Grobina

Jelgava

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.68

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.64

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.72

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 25 matches

YesNo

12 (48%)13 (52%)

In last 25 matches

NoYes

14 (56%)11 (44%)

Grobina

Recent matches

Jelgava

Under /Over

(68%)17 8(32%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(72%)18 7(28%)

Under /Over

(32%)8 17(68%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(28%)7 18(72%)

Under /Over

(36%)9 16(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)10 15(60%)

/Yes

(36%)9 16(64%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)11 14(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Grobina

Jelgava

Shots

Grobina

Total shots

9.79 avg / game

Blocked

54 total

Avg. 2.25

Jelgava

Total shots

11.54 avg / game

Blocked

73 total

Avg. 3.04

Grobina Pass Jelgava

Total passes

7880

Avg. 328 / game

Accurate

69%

Ball possession

43%

Total passes

8261

Avg. 344 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Grobina

Played games

Jelgava

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.20

Clean sheets

0.16

3.96

Corners

113

4.52

25.00

625

Throw-ins

629

25.16

1.20

Offsides

0.96

2.92

GK saves

3.44

Grobina

DISCIPLINARY

Jelgava

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.60

1.76

0.04

0.04

16.16

404

Fouls

306

12.24

12.76

319

Tackles

344

13.76

NEXT MATCHES

08/10

FK Rigas Futbola skola

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Grobina vs Jelgava Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Grobina vs Jelgava on 11 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Latvian Higher League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Grobina vs Jelgava Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Grobina's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Jelgava's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Latvian Higher League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Latvian Higher League standings and the Latvian Higher League form table to understand exactly where Grobina and Jelgava sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Latvian Higher League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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