Germany vs Italy: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 March

Betiball's prediction for Germany vs Italy on 23 March 2025 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Germany vs Italy preview before placing your bet.

Germany vs Italy: Starting Lineups Time : 23/03/2025 15:45

Germany
3 - 3
Finished
Italy
79' event Tim Kleindienst
77' event Yann Bisseck / Antonio Rudiger
77' event Robert Andrich / Jamal Musiala
68' event Karim Adeyemi
63' event Karim Adeyemi / Leroy Sane
63' event Nadiem Amiri / Leon Goretzka
63' event Pascal Gross / Angelo Stiller
45' event Tim Kleindienst
36' event Jamal Musiala
30' event Joshua Kimmich
22' event Angelo Stiller
event 90+8' Nicolo Barella
event 90+4' Giacomo Raspadori
event 90+4' Mattia Zaccagni Penalty awarded
event 85' Mattia Zaccagni / Samuele Ricci
event 85' Lorenzo Lucca / Moise Keane
event 79' Alessandro Bastoni
event 75' Giovanni Di Lorenzo Penalty cancelled
event 69' Moise Keane
event 68' Giacomo Raspadori / Sandro Tonali
event 49' Moise Keane
event 46' Matteo Politano / Federico Gatti
event 46' Davide Frattesi / Daniel Maldini
event 29' Alessandro Buongiorno
event 21' Federico Gatti
79' event Tim Kleindienst
event 90+8' Nicolo Barella
77' event Yann Bisseck / Antonio Rudiger
event 90+4' Giacomo Raspadori
77' event Robert Andrich / Jamal Musiala
event 90+4' Mattia Zaccagni Penalty awarded
68' event Karim Adeyemi
event 85' Mattia Zaccagni / Samuele Ricci
63' event Karim Adeyemi / Leroy Sane
event 85' Lorenzo Lucca / Moise Keane
63' event Nadiem Amiri / Leon Goretzka
event 79' Alessandro Bastoni
63' event Pascal Gross / Angelo Stiller
event 75' Giovanni Di Lorenzo Penalty cancelled
45' event Tim Kleindienst
event 69' Moise Keane
36' event Jamal Musiala
event 68' Giacomo Raspadori / Sandro Tonali
30' event Joshua Kimmich
event 49' Moise Keane
22' event Angelo Stiller
event 46' Matteo Politano / Federico Gatti
event 46' Davide Frattesi / Daniel Maldini
event 29' Alessandro Buongiorno
event 21' Federico Gatti
Germany Germany
Substitutions
#5 Pascal Gross
#23 Robert Andrich
#11 Nadiem Amiri
#17 Yann Bisseck
#20 Karim Adeyemi
#21 Stefan Ortega
#12 Alexander Nubel
#3 Robin Koch
#22 David Raum
#13 Deniz Undav
#7 Jonathan Michael Burkardt
#14 Jamie Leweling
Germany Germany Italy Italy
22Shots9
8Shots on Goal3
15Fouls13
6Corner Kick4
13Free kick15
0Offside1
3Yellow card4
33Aerial13
0Save5
8Successful Tackles15
11Interceptions6
25Long pass16
2Assist1
5Substitution5
8Shots off goal6
16Head Success7
6Blocked0
8Tackle15
2Dribbles5
11Throw-in14
551Passes414
109Attacks62
55Dangerous attacks32
4Corner Kicks(HT)2
Italy Italy
Substitutions
#7 Matteo Politano
#20 Mattia Zaccagni
#16 Davide Frattesi
#10 Giacomo Raspadori
#17 Lorenzo Lucca
#13 Guglielmo Vicario
#12 Alex Meret
#2 Raoul Bellanova
#14 Nicolo Rovella
#15 Matteo Ruggeri
#23 Cesare Casadei
#3 Pietro Comuzzo
Commentary
90+8' Nicolo Barella - Italy receive a yellow card
90+4' Penalty scored! Giacomo Raspadori - Italy
90+4' VAR review - Italy
85' Italy — substitution: Mattia Zaccagni / Samuele Ricci
85' Italy — substitution: Lorenzo Lucca / Moise Keane
79' Tim Kleindienst - Germany receive a yellow card
79' Alessandro Bastoni - Italy receive a yellow card
77' Germany — substitution: Yann Bisseck / Antonio Rudiger
77' Germany — substitution: Robert Andrich / Jamal Musiala
75' VAR review - Italy
69' Goal! Moise Keane - Italy
68' Karim Adeyemi - Germany receive a yellow card
68' Italy — substitution: Giacomo Raspadori / Sandro Tonali
63' Germany — substitution: Karim Adeyemi / Leroy Sane
63' Germany — substitution: Nadiem Amiri / Leon Goretzka
63' Germany — substitution: Pascal Gross / Angelo Stiller
49' Goal! Moise Keane - Italy
46' Italy — substitution: Matteo Politano / Federico Gatti
46' Italy — substitution: Davide Frattesi / Daniel Maldini
45' Goal! Tim Kleindienst - Germany
36' Goal! Jamal Musiala - Germany
30' Penalty scored! Joshua Kimmich - Germany
29' Alessandro Buongiorno - Italy receive a yellow card
22' Angelo Stiller - Germany receive a yellow card
21' Federico Gatti - Italy receive a yellow card

How We Build the Germany vs Italy Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Germany vs Italy on 23 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Germany vs Italy Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Germany's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Italy's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Germany and Italy sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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