Germany vs Italy: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 March

Germany

D W W W D

1st place in Group C

3-3

23/03/2025 15:45

Italy

L W W D W

2nd place in Group B

UEFA Nations League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Germany vs Italy on 23 March 2025 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Germany vs Italy preview before placing your bet.

Germany will face Italy in UEFA Nations League on March 23, 2025 at 15:45.
Germany are currently 1st with 14 points after 6 matches.
Italy sit 2nd with 13 points from 6 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 1.71.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:45

2025-03-23

Germany vs Italy - Prediction & Odds

Germany

Italy

2025-03-23 15:45

STANDINGS UP TO 23/03/2025

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 France	13	6	4	1	1	12	6	6
02 Italy	13	6	4	1	1	13	8	5
03 Belgium	4	6	1	1	4	6	9	-3
04 Israel	4	6	1	1	4	5	13	-8

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Germany	14	6	4	2	0	18	4	14
02 Netherlands	9	6	2	3	1	13	7	6
03 Hungary	6	6	1	3	2	4	11	-7
04 Bosnia and Herzegovina	2	6	0	2	4	4	17	-13

Head To Head

14/06/2022 14:45

Germany

5 - 2

Italy

UEFA NL

04/06/2022 14:45

Italy

1 - 1

Germany

UEFA NL

15/11/2016 15:45

Italy

0 - 0

Germany

INT FRL

02/07/2016 15:00

Germany

1 - 1

Italy

EURO Cup

29/03/2016 14:45

Germany

4 - 1

Italy

INT FRL

15/11/2013 15:45

Italy

1 - 1

Germany

INT CF

Germany

33%

Draw

67%

Italy

Germany Last 6 matches

19/11/2024 15:45

Hungary 1 - 1 Germany

UEFA NL

16/11/2024 15:45

Germany 7 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina

UEFA NL

14/10/2024 14:45

Germany 1 - 0 Netherlands

UEFA NL

11/10/2024 14:45

Bosnia and Herzegovina 1 - 2 Germany

UEFA NL

10/09/2024 14:45

Netherlands 2 - 2 Germany

UEFA NL

07/09/2024 14:45

Germany 5 - 0 Hungary

UEFA NL

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Italy

17/11/2024 15:45

Italy 1 - 3 France

UEFA NL

14/11/2024 15:45

Belgium 0 - 1 Italy

UEFA NL

14/10/2024 14:45

Italy 4 - 1 Israel

UEFA NL

10/10/2024 14:45

Italy 2 - 2 Belgium

UEFA NL

09/09/2024 14:45

Israel 1 - 2 Italy

UEFA NL

06/09/2024 14:45

France 1 - 3 Italy

UEFA NL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Nations League

Played games

Germany

Italy

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

2.40

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.20

Scored

Avg. per game

2.13

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 10 matches

YesNo

9 (90%)1 (10%)

In last 10 matches

NoYes

8 (100%)0 (0%)

Germany

Recent matches

Italy

Under /Over

(90%)9 1(10%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(88%)7 1(12%)

Under /Over

(40%)4 6(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(50%)4 4(50%)

Under /Over

(60%)6 4(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(63%)5 3(37%)

/Yes

(60%)6 4(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(88%)7 1(12%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Germany

Italy

Shots

Germany

Total shots

16.70 avg / game

Blocked

41 total

Avg. 5.13

Italy

Total shots

11.38 avg / game

Blocked

12 total

Avg. 1.71

Germany Pass Italy

Total passes

5844

Avg. 584 / game

Accurate

89%

Ball possession

61%

Total passes

3906

Avg. 488 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Germany

Played games

Italy

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

0.13

5.40

Corners

4.00

15.10

151

Throw-ins

115

14.38

1.90

Offsides

1.25

2.70

GK saves

2.13

Germany

DISCIPLINARY

Italy

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.20

1.75

0.00

0.13

11.90

119

Fouls

12.13

16.00

160

Tackles

130

16.25

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Germany vs Italy Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Germany vs Italy on 23 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Germany vs Italy Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Germany's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Italy's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Nations League standings and the UEFA Nations League form table to understand exactly where Germany and Italy sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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