FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

FSV Mainz 05

W D D D W

13th place in German Bundesliga

3-0

11/05/2024 12:30

Borussia Dortmund

W D L W L

5th place in German Bundesliga

German Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund on 11 May 2024 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund preview before placing your bet.

FSV Mainz 05 will face Borussia Dortmund in German Bundesliga on May 11, 2024 at 12:30.
FSV Mainz 05 are currently 13th with 35 points after 34 matches.
Borussia Dortmund sit 5th with 63 points from 34 matches.
Current model prediction leans yellow with a projected score of 2 - 2 and average coefficient 2.28.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:30

2024-05-11

FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund - Prediction & Odds

FSV Mainz 05

Borussia Dortmund

2024-05-11 12:30

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Bayer Leverkusen	90	34	28	6	0	89	24	65
02 VfB Stuttgart	73	34	23	4	7	78	39	39
03 Bayern Munchen	72	34	23	3	8	94	45	49
04 RB Leipzig	65	34	19	8	7	77	39	38
05 Borussia Dortmund	63	34	18	9	7	68	43	25
06 Eintracht Frankfurt	47	34	11	14	9	51	50	1
07 TSG Hoffenheim	46	34	13	7	14	66	66	0
08 Heidenheimer	42	34	10	12	12	50	55	-5
09 Werder Bremen	42	34	11	9	14	48	54	-6
10 SC Freiburg	42	34	11	9	14	45	58	-13
11 Augsburg	39	34	10	9	15	50	60	-10
12 VfL Wolfsburg	37	34	10	7	17	41	56	-15
13 FSV Mainz 05	35	34	7	14	13	39	51	-12
14 Borussia Monchengladbach	34	34	7	13	14	56	67	-11
15 Union Berlin	33	34	9	6	19	33	58	-25
16 VfL Bochum	33	34	7	12	15	42	74	-32
17 FC Koln	27	34	5	12	17	28	60	-32
18 Darmstadt	17	34	3	8	23	30	86	-56

Head To Head

19/12/2023 15:30

Borussia Dortmund

1 - 1

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

27/05/2023 09:30

Borussia Dortmund

2 - 2

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

25/01/2023 13:30

FSV Mainz 05

1 - 2

Borussia Dortmund

GER D1

16/03/2022 13:30

FSV Mainz 05

0 - 1

Borussia Dortmund

GER D1

16/10/2021 09:30

Borussia Dortmund

3 - 1

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

16/05/2021 11:59

FSV Mainz 05

1 - 3

Borussia Dortmund

GER D1

Borussia Dortmund

17%

Draw

33%

FSV Mainz 05

50%

FSV Mainz 05 Last 6 matches

28/04/2024 11:30

FSV Mainz 05 1 - 1 FC Koln

GER D1

21/04/2024 13:30

SC Freiburg 1 - 1 FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

13/04/2024 09:30

FSV Mainz 05 4 - 1 TSG Hoffenheim

GER D1

06/04/2024 09:30

FSV Mainz 05 4 - 0 Darmstadt

GER D1

30/03/2024 10:30

RB Leipzig 0 - 0 FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

16/03/2024 10:30

FSV Mainz 05 2 - 0 VfL Bochum

GER D1

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Last 6 matches Borussia Dortmund

04/05/2024 09:30

Borussia Dortmund 5 - 1 Augsburg

GER D1

01/05/2024 15:00

Borussia Dortmund 1 - 0 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

UEFA CL

27/04/2024 09:30

RB Leipzig 4 - 1 Borussia Dortmund

GER D1

21/04/2024 11:30

Borussia Dortmund 1 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen

GER D1

16/04/2024 15:00

Borussia Dortmund 4 - 2 Atletico Madrid

UEFA CL

13/04/2024 09:30

Borussia Monchengladbach 1 - 2 Borussia Dortmund

GER D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German Bundesliga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

FSV Mainz 05

Borussia Dortmund

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.56

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.79

Scored

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 34 matches

YesNo

11 (32%)23 (68%)

In last 34 matches

NoYes

20 (59%)14 (41%)

FSV Mainz 05

Recent matches

Borussia Dortmund

Under /Over

(76%)26 8(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(85%)29 5(15%)

Under /Over

(35%)12 22(65%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(62%)21 13(38%)

Under /Over

(35%)12 22(65%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(41%)14 20(59%)

/Yes

(59%)20 14(41%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)21 13(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

FSV Mainz 05

Borussia Dortmund

Shots

FSV Mainz 05

Total shots

14.12 avg / game

Blocked

149 total

Avg. 4.38

Borussia Dortmund

Total shots

15.03 avg / game

Blocked

130 total

Avg. 3.82

FSV Mainz 05 Pass Borussia Dortmund

Total passes

13484

Avg. 397 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

19151

Avg. 563 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

58%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

FSV Mainz 05

Played games

Borussia Dortmund

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.29

5.29

180

Corners

176

5.18

22.59

768

Throw-ins

601

17.68

1.74

Offsides

1.29

3.15

107

GK saves

115

3.38

FSV Mainz 05

DISCIPLINARY

Borussia Dortmund

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.91

1.68

0.09

0.12

13.88

472

Fouls

315

9.26

16.76

570

Tackles

550

16.18

NEXT MATCHES

Borussia Monchengladbach

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund on 11 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FSV Mainz 05's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Borussia Dortmund's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More German Bundesliga Predictions

Find every upcoming German Bundesliga fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less