FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

Betiball's prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund on 11 May 2024 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund preview before placing your bet.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund: Starting Lineups Time : 11/05/2024 12:30

FSV Mainz 05
3 - 0
Finished
Borussia Dortmund
87' event Marco Richter / Lee Jae Sung
87' event Nelson Weiper / Brajan Gruda
77' event Danny Vieira da Costa / Silvan Widmer
76' event Edimilson Fernandes / Anthony Caci
56' event Leandro Barreiro Martins
45+1' event Andreas Hanche-Olsen
23' event Lee Jae Sung
19' event Lee Jae Sung
12' event Leandro Barreiro Martins
event 80' Nico Schlotterbeck
event 76' Kjell Watjen / Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
event 69' Ole Pohlmann / Felix Nmecha
event 53' Youssoufa Moukoko Goal Disallowed
event 46' Julian Brandt / Salih Ozcan
event 46' Jadon Sancho / Donyell Malen
event 46' Ian Maatsen / Mateu Morey
event 41' Marco Reus
87' event Marco Richter / Lee Jae Sung
event 80' Nico Schlotterbeck
87' event Nelson Weiper / Brajan Gruda
event 76' Kjell Watjen / Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
77' event Danny Vieira da Costa / Silvan Widmer
event 69' Ole Pohlmann / Felix Nmecha
76' event Edimilson Fernandes / Anthony Caci
event 53' Youssoufa Moukoko Goal Disallowed
56' event Leandro Barreiro Martins
event 46' Julian Brandt / Salih Ozcan
45+1' event Andreas Hanche-Olsen
event 46' Jadon Sancho / Donyell Malen
23' event Lee Jae Sung
event 46' Ian Maatsen / Mateu Morey
19' event Lee Jae Sung
event 41' Marco Reus
12' event Leandro Barreiro Martins
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
Substitutions
#10 Marco Richter
#21 Danny Vieira da Costa
#44 Nelson Weiper
#20 Edimilson Fernandes
#23 Josua Guilavogui
#17 Ludovic Ajorque
#14 Tom Krauss
#11 Jessic Ngankam
#1 Lasse RieB
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
14Shots9
6Shots on Goal2
14Fouls11
4Corner Kick2
13Free kick9
2Offside2
2Yellow card2
34Aerial24
2Save3
28Successful Tackles17
10Interceptions6
2Assist0
4Substitution5
4Shots off goal3
2Hit The Post0
16Head Success13
4Blocked4
28Tackle17
11Dribbles8
16Throw-in22
278Passes626
89Attacks102
31Dangerous attacks59
2Corner Kicks(HT)0
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
Substitutions
#30 Ole Pohlmann
#19 Julian Brandt
#22 Ian Maatsen
#10 Jadon Sancho
#38 Kjell Watjen
#35 Marcel Lotka
#47 Antonios Papadopoulos
#23 Emre Can
#26 Julian Ryerson
Commentary
87' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Marco Richter / Lee Jae Sung
87' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Nelson Weiper / Brajan Gruda
80' Nico Schlotterbeck - Borussia Dortmund receive a yellow card
77' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Danny Vieira da Costa / Silvan Widmer
76' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Edimilson Fernandes / Anthony Caci
76' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Kjell Watjen / Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
69' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Ole Pohlmann / Felix Nmecha
56' Leandro Barreiro Martins - FSV Mainz 05 receive a yellow card
53' VAR review - Borussia Dortmund
46' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Julian Brandt / Salih Ozcan
46' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Jadon Sancho / Donyell Malen
46' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Ian Maatsen / Mateu Morey
45+1' Andreas Hanche-Olsen - FSV Mainz 05 receive a yellow card
41' Marco Reus - Borussia Dortmund receive a yellow card
23' Goal! Lee Jae Sung - FSV Mainz 05
19' Goal! Lee Jae Sung - FSV Mainz 05
12' Goal! Leandro Barreiro Martins - FSV Mainz 05

How We Build the FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund on 11 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FSV Mainz 05's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Borussia Dortmund's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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