FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

FSV Mainz 05

W D D D W

13th place in German Bundesliga

3-0

11/05/2024 16:30

Borussia Dortmund

W D L W L

5th place in German Bundesliga

German Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund on 11 May 2024 (kick-off: 16:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund preview before placing your bet.

FSV Mainz 05 are currently 13th with 35 points after 34 matches.
Borussia Dortmund sit 5th with 63 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: FSV Mainz 05 to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history favors Borussia Dortmund, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. FSV Mainz 05 have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:30

2024-05-11

FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund - Prediction & Odds

FSV Mainz 05

Borussia Dortmund

2024-05-11 16:30

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Bayer Leverkusen	90	34	28	6	0	89	24	65
02 VfB Stuttgart	73	34	23	4	7	78	39	39
03 Bayern Munchen	72	34	23	3	8	94	45	49
04 RB Leipzig	65	34	19	8	7	77	39	38
05 Borussia Dortmund	63	34	18	9	7	68	43	25
06 Eintracht Frankfurt	47	34	11	14	9	51	50	1
07 TSG Hoffenheim	46	34	13	7	14	66	66	0
08 Heidenheimer	42	34	10	12	12	50	55	-5
09 Werder Bremen	42	34	11	9	14	48	54	-6
10 SC Freiburg	42	34	11	9	14	45	58	-13
11 Augsburg	39	34	10	9	15	50	60	-10
12 VfL Wolfsburg	37	34	10	7	17	41	56	-15
13 FSV Mainz 05	35	34	7	14	13	39	51	-12
14 Borussia Monchengladbach	34	34	7	13	14	56	67	-11
15 Union Berlin	33	34	9	6	19	33	58	-25
16 VfL Bochum	33	34	7	12	15	42	74	-32
17 FC Koln	27	34	5	12	17	28	60	-32
18 Darmstadt	17	34	3	8	23	30	86	-56

Head To Head

19/12/2023 19:30

Borussia Dortmund

1 - 1

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

27/05/2023 13:30

Borussia Dortmund

2 - 2

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

25/01/2023 17:30

FSV Mainz 05

1 - 2

Borussia Dortmund

GER D1

16/03/2022 17:30

FSV Mainz 05

0 - 1

Borussia Dortmund

GER D1

16/10/2021 13:30

Borussia Dortmund

3 - 1

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

16/05/2021 15:59

FSV Mainz 05

1 - 3

Borussia Dortmund

GER D1

FSV Mainz 05

Draw

33%

Borussia Dortmund

67%

FSV Mainz 05 Last 6 matches

28/04/2024 15:30

FSV Mainz 05 1 - 1 FC Koln GER D1

21/04/2024 17:30

SC Freiburg 1 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

13/04/2024 13:30

FSV Mainz 05 4 - 1 TSG Hoffenheim GER D1

06/04/2024 13:30

FSV Mainz 05 4 - 0 Darmstadt GER D1

30/03/2024 14:30

RB Leipzig 0 - 0 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

16/03/2024 14:30

FSV Mainz 05 2 - 0 VfL Bochum GER D1

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Last 6 matches Borussia Dortmund

04/05/2024 13:30

Borussia Dortmund 5 - 1 Augsburg GER D1

01/05/2024 19:00

Borussia Dortmund 1 - 0 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) UEFA CL

27/04/2024 13:30

RB Leipzig 4 - 1 Borussia Dortmund GER D1

21/04/2024 15:30

Borussia Dortmund 1 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen GER D1

16/04/2024 19:00

Borussia Dortmund 4 - 2 Atletico Madrid UEFA CL

13/04/2024 13:30

Borussia Monchengladbach 1 - 2 Borussia Dortmund GER D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German Bundesliga

Played games

Goals

Scored

419

Avg. per game

1.57

Conceded

373

Avg. per game

1.40

Scored

651

Avg. per game

2.17

Conceded

395

Avg. per game

1.32

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 267 matches

YesNo

203 (76%)64 (24%)

In last 267 matches

NoYes

265 (88%)35 (12%)

FSV Mainz 05

Recent matches

Borussia Dortmund

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

FSV Mainz 05

Borussia Dortmund

Shots

FSV Mainz 05

Total shots

12.73 avg / game

Blocked

730 total

Avg. 3.43

Borussia Dortmund

Total shots

13.91 avg / game

Blocked

917 total

Avg. 3.54

FSV Mainz 05 Pass Borussia Dortmund

Total passes

88287

Avg. 394 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

147028

Avg. 537 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

FSV Mainz 05

267

Played games

Borussia Dortmund

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.31

4.76

1272

Corners

1597

5.32

18.30

4887

Throw-ins

4956

16.52

1.78

475

Offsides

436

1.45

2.66

711

GK saves

834

2.78

FSV Mainz 05

DISCIPLINARY

Borussia Dortmund

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.83

488

497

1.66

0.08

0.07

11.58

3092

Fouls

2937

9.79

12.82

3422

Tackles

4082

13.61

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund on 11 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FSV Mainz 05's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Borussia Dortmund's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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