FC Tulsa vs Lexington: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 October

FC Tulsa

D L W W D

3rd place in League

3-0

05/10/2025 00:00

Lexington

W L L L D

17th place in League

USL First Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for FC Tulsa vs Lexington on 05 October 2025 (kick-off: 00:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FC Tulsa vs Lexington preview before placing your bet.

FC Tulsa are currently 3rd with 57 points after 30 matches.
Lexington sit 17th with 36 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: FC Tulsa to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors FC Tulsa, who have won 1 of the last 1 meetings. Lexington have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

00:00

2025-10-05

FC Tulsa vs Lexington - Prediction & Odds

FC Tulsa

Lexington

2025-10-05 00:00

STANDINGS UP TO 05/10/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Louisville City FC	73	30	22	7	1	56	19	37
02 Charleston Battery	62	30	19	5	6	62	32	30
03 FC Tulsa	57	30	16	9	5	50	30	20
04 Sacramento Republic FC	48	30	13	9	8	44	27	17
05 New Mexico United	48	30	14	6	10	45	41	4
06 North Carolina FC	45	30	13	6	11	40	39	1
07 Hartford Athletic	44	30	13	5	12	48	36	12
08 Pittsburgh Riverhounds	44	30	12	8	10	32	28	4
09 Loudoun United	42	30	12	6	12	45	48	-3
10 El Paso Locomotive FC	41	30	10	11	9	47	45	2
11 San Antonio	40	30	11	7	12	39	38	1
12 Phoenix Rising FC	40	30	9	13	8	48	48	0
13 Orange County Blues FC	39	30	10	9	11	44	45	-1
14 Rhode Island	38	30	10	8	12	29	29	0
15 Detroit City	37	30	9	10	11	33	35	-2
16 Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC	37	30	10	7	13	35	47	-12
17 Lexington	36	30	9	9	12	31	42	-11
18 Indy Eleven	35	30	10	5	15	44	52	-8
19 Tampa Bay Rowdies	34	30	9	7	14	43	50	-7
20 Oakland Roots	32	30	8	8	14	42	52	-10
21 Miami FC	30	30	8	6	16	29	44	-15
22 Monterey Bay FC	29	30	7	8	15	27	45	-18
23 Birmingham Legion	27	30	5	12	13	36	50	-14
24 Las Vegas Lights	27	30	6	9	15	23	50	-27

Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 New Mexico United	3	1	1	0	0	2	0	2
02 Phoenix Rising FC	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	1
03 Detroit City	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	1
04 North Carolina FC	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	1
05 Charleston Battery	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
06 Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
07 Orange County Blues FC	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
08 Sacramento Republic FC	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
09 Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
10 FC Tulsa	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
11 Hartford Athletic	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
12 Rhode Island	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
13 Louisville City FC	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1
14 El Paso Locomotive FC	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1
15 Loudoun United	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1
16 San Antonio	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2

Head To Head

18/05/2025 23:00

Lexington

0 - 2

FC Tulsa

USL CH

FC Tulsa

100%

Draw

Lexington

FC Tulsa Last 6 matches

27/09/2025 23:00

Indy Eleven 2 - 1 FC Tulsa USL CH

21/09/2025 02:00

Oakland Roots 1 - 1 FC Tulsa USL CH

14/09/2025 01:00

New Mexico United 0 - 1 FC Tulsa USL CH

07/09/2025 00:30

FC Tulsa 1 - 1 Birmingham Legion USL CH

31/08/2025 01:00

Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC 2 - 0 FC Tulsa USL CH

24/08/2025 00:30

FC Tulsa 1 - 0 Orange County Blues FC USL CH

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Lexington

28/09/2025 22:00

New Mexico United 2 - 1 Lexington USL CH

20/09/2025 23:00

Detroit City 0 - 1 Lexington USL CH

12/09/2025 22:00

Lexington 1 - 1 Orange County Blues FC USL CH

05/09/2025 22:00

Lexington 2 - 1 North Carolina FC USL CH

31/08/2025 02:30

Las Vegas Lights 1 - 0 Lexington USL CH

23/08/2025 23:00

Lexington 2 - 1 Oakland Roots USL CH

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues USL First Division

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

157

Avg. per game

0.72

Conceded

166

Avg. per game

0.76

Scored

104

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

114

Avg. per game

0.88

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 219 matches

YesNo

115 (53%)104 (47%)

In last 219 matches

NoYes

73 (56%)57 (44%)

FC Tulsa

Recent matches

Lexington

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(16%)7 38(84%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

FC Tulsa

Lexington

Shots

FC Tulsa

Total shots

9.12 avg / game

Blocked

331 total

Avg. 2.81

Lexington

Total shots

6.70 avg / game

Blocked

116 total

Avg. 1.68

FC Tulsa Pass Lexington

Total passes

62005

Avg. 326 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

33337

Avg. 292 / game

Accurate

90%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

FC Tulsa

219

Played games

Lexington

130

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.24

3.35

734

Corners

375

2.88

7.00

1534

Throw-ins

909

6.99

1.18

259

Offsides

122

0.94

2.05

449

GK saves

181

1.39

FC Tulsa

DISCIPLINARY

Lexington

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.25

493

168

1.29

0.07

0.10

11.29

2473

Fouls

988

7.60

9.90

2169

Tackles

786

6.05

NEXT MATCHES

08/06

FC Tulsa

Sacramento Republic FC

Orange County Blues FC

NEXT MATCHES

Sacramento Republic FC

Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC

USL

How We Build the FC Tulsa vs Lexington Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FC Tulsa vs Lexington on 05 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this USL First Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FC Tulsa vs Lexington Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FC Tulsa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lexington's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

USL First Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live USL First Division standings and the USL First Division form table to understand exactly where FC Tulsa and Lexington sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our USL First Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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