Excelsior SBV vs AZ Alkmaar: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 February

Excelsior SBV

L D W W D

13th place in Holland Eredivisie

1-2

14/02/2026 13:45

AZ Alkmaar

W W D D D

7th place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Excelsior SBV vs AZ Alkmaar on 14 February 2026 (kick-off: 13:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Excelsior SBV vs AZ Alkmaar preview before placing your bet.

Excelsior SBV will face AZ Alkmaar in Holland Eredivisie on February 14, 2026 at 13:45.
Excelsior SBV are currently 13th with 38 points after 34 matches.
AZ Alkmaar sit 7th with 52 points from 34 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.94.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:45

2026-02-14

Excelsior SBV vs AZ Alkmaar - Prediction & Odds

Excelsior SBV

AZ Alkmaar

2026-02-14 13:45

STANDINGS UP TO 14/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSV Eindhoven	84	34	27	3	4	101	45	56
02 Feyenoord	65	34	19	8	7	70	44	26
03 NEC Nijmegen	59	34	16	11	7	77	53	24
04 FC Twente Enschede	58	34	15	13	6	59	40	19
05 AFC Ajax	56	34	14	14	6	62	41	21
06 FC Utrecht	53	34	15	8	11	55	42	13
07 AZ Alkmaar	52	34	14	10	10	58	51	7
08 SC Heerenveen	51	34	14	9	11	57	53	4
09 Groningen	48	34	14	6	14	49	45	4
10 Sparta Rotterdam	43	34	12	7	15	40	62	-22
11 Fortuna Sittard	39	34	11	6	17	49	63	-14
12 Go Ahead Eagles	38	34	8	14	12	54	53	1
13 Excelsior SBV	38	34	10	8	16	43	56	-13
14 SC Telstar	37	34	9	10	15	49	55	-6
15 PEC Zwolle	37	34	9	10	15	44	71	-27
16 Volendam	32	34	8	8	18	35	55	-20
17 NAC Breda	29	34	6	11	17	35	58	-23
18 Heracles Almelo	19	34	5	4	25	35	85	-50

Head To Head

21/01/2026 13:45

AZ Alkmaar

1 - 1

Excelsior SBV

HOL D1

13/07/2024 08:00

AZ Alkmaar

8 - 0

Excelsior SBV

INT CF

10/03/2024 07:15

AZ Alkmaar

4 - 0

Excelsior SBV

HOL D1

04/11/2023 13:45

Excelsior SBV

1 - 1

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

10/02/2023 15:00

AZ Alkmaar

5 - 0

Excelsior SBV

HOL D1

11/01/2023 13:45

Excelsior SBV

1 - 4

AZ Alkmaar

HOLC

AZ Alkmaar

50%

Draw

33%

Excelsior SBV

17%

Excelsior SBV Last 6 matches

06/02/2026 15:00

NAC Breda 0 - 2 Excelsior SBV

HOL D1

01/02/2026 07:15

Excelsior SBV 2 - 2 AFC Ajax

HOL D1

24/01/2026 16:00

FC Twente Enschede 0 - 0 Excelsior SBV

HOL D1

21/01/2026 13:45

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 Excelsior SBV

HOL D1

17/01/2026 15:00

Excelsior SBV 2 - 2 SC Telstar

HOL D1

10/01/2026 15:00

PSV Eindhoven 5 - 1 Excelsior SBV

HOL D1

Win

17%

Draw

67%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches AZ Alkmaar

03/02/2026 15:00

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 FC Twente Enschede

HOLC

31/01/2026 11:30

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 3 NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

25/01/2026 07:15

SC Telstar 0 - 1 AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

21/01/2026 13:45

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 Excelsior SBV

HOL D1

17/01/2026 13:45

PEC Zwolle 3 - 1 AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

14/01/2026 16:00

AZ Alkmaar 6 - 0 AFC Ajax

HOLC

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Excelsior SBV

AZ Alkmaar

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.79

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 34 matches

YesNo

16 (47%)18 (53%)

In last 34 matches

NoYes

20 (59%)14 (41%)

Excelsior SBV

Recent matches

AZ Alkmaar

Under /Over

(82%)28 6(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)28 6(18%)

Under /Over

(35%)12 22(65%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(62%)21 13(38%)

Under /Over

(56%)19 15(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)16 18(53%)

/Yes

(65%)22 12(35%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(65%)22 12(35%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Excelsior SBV

AZ Alkmaar

Shots

Excelsior SBV

Total shots

12.53 avg / game

Blocked

109 total

Avg. 3.52

AZ Alkmaar

Total shots

15.76 avg / game

Blocked

140 total

Avg. 4.38

Excelsior SBV Pass AZ Alkmaar

Total passes

13740

Avg. 404 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

15554

Avg. 457 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Excelsior SBV

Played games

AZ Alkmaar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.18

Clean sheets

0.26

4.09

139

Corners

196

5.76

18.71

636

Throw-ins

568

16.71

1.06

Offsides

1.21

3.88

132

GK saves

105

3.09

Excelsior SBV

DISCIPLINARY

AZ Alkmaar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.24

1.85

0.09

0.03

12.32

419

Fouls

347

10.21

9.03

307

Tackles

378

11.12

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Excelsior SBV vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Excelsior SBV vs AZ Alkmaar on 14 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Excelsior SBV vs AZ Alkmaar Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Excelsior SBV's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AZ Alkmaar's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where Excelsior SBV and AZ Alkmaar sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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