Excelsior SBV vs AZ Alkmaar: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 February

Betiball's prediction for Excelsior SBV vs AZ Alkmaar on 14 February 2026 (kick-off: 13:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Excelsior SBV vs AZ Alkmaar preview before placing your bet.

Excelsior SBV vs AZ Alkmaar: Starting Lineups Time : 14/02/2026 13:45

Excelsior SBV
1 - 2
Finished
AZ Alkmaar
84' event Adam Carlen / Lennard Hartjes
84' event Stan Henderikx / Lewis Schouten
79' event Miliano Jonathans / Derensili Sanches Fernandes
69' event Simon Janssen / Ilias Bronkhorst
69' event Jerroldino Armantrading / Noah Naujoks
45+1' event Ilias Bronkhorst
20' event Ilias Bronkhorst
event 90+5' Alexandre Penetra
event 90+1' Troy Parrott
event 70' Rio Robbemond
event 70' Mexx Meerdink / Rio Robbemond
event 57' Sven Mijnans / Jizz Hornkamp
event 46' Ibrahim Sadiq / Patati Weslley
event 46' Isak Jensen / Ro-Zangelo Daal
event 46' Elijah Dijkstra / Mateo Chavez Garcia
event 29' Mateo Chavez Garcia
84' event Adam Carlen / Lennard Hartjes
event 90+5' Alexandre Penetra
84' event Stan Henderikx / Lewis Schouten
event 90+1' Troy Parrott
79' event Miliano Jonathans / Derensili Sanches Fernandes
event 70' Rio Robbemond
69' event Simon Janssen / Ilias Bronkhorst
event 70' Mexx Meerdink / Rio Robbemond
69' event Jerroldino Armantrading / Noah Naujoks
event 57' Sven Mijnans / Jizz Hornkamp
45+1' event Ilias Bronkhorst
event 46' Ibrahim Sadiq / Patati Weslley
20' event Ilias Bronkhorst
event 46' Isak Jensen / Ro-Zangelo Daal
event 46' Elijah Dijkstra / Mateo Chavez Garcia
event 29' Mateo Chavez Garcia
Excelsior SBV Excelsior SBV
Substitutions
#33 Jerroldino Armantrading
#5 Stan Henderikx
#15 Simon Janssen
#26 Miliano Jonathans
#6 Adam Carlen
#18 Chris-Kevin Nadje
#16 Calvin Raatsie
#29 Mike van Duinen
#7 Emil Hansson
#9 Szymon Wlodarczyk
Excelsior SBV Excelsior SBV AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
11Shots16
2Shots on Goal7
7Fouls6
7Corner Kick5
6Free kick7
1Offside0
1Yellow card2
28Aerial1
5Save1
14Successful Tackles10
14Interceptions7
39Long pass28
0Assist2
3Successful center5
4Shots off goal7
12Head Success18
5Blocked2
7Tackle10
18Dribbles13
17Throw-in16
450Passes559
133Attacks119
36Dangerous attacks39
6Corner Kicks(HT)1
0BigChances2
0BigChancesMissed1
4ShotsInsideBox9
7ShotsOutsideBox7
50DuelsWon50
0.75ExpectedGoals2.01
0.55xGOpenPlay1.7
0.75xGNonPenalty2.01
0.38xGOT2.31
18Touches In Opposition Box26
17AccurateCrosses14
38GroundDuelsWon32
12AerialDuelsWon18
18Clearances20
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
Substitutions
#11 Ibrahim Sadiq
#10 Sven Mijnans
#22 Elijah Dijkstra
#35 Mexx Meerdink
#17 Isak Jensen
#33 Matej Sin
#12 Hobie Verhulst
#24 Ayoub Oufkir
#23 Billy van Duijl
#4 Maxim Dekker
#18 Rion Ichihara
#71 Jur Schipper
Commentary
90+5' Goal! Alexandre Penetra - AZ Alkmaar
90+1' Goal! Troy Parrott - AZ Alkmaar
84' Excelsior SBV — substitution: Adam Carlen / Lennard Hartjes
84' Excelsior SBV — substitution: Stan Henderikx / Lewis Schouten
79' Excelsior SBV — substitution: Miliano Jonathans / Derensili Sanches Fernandes
70' Rio Robbemond - AZ Alkmaar receive a yellow card
70' AZ Alkmaar — substitution: Mexx Meerdink / Rio Robbemond
69' Excelsior SBV — substitution: Simon Janssen / Ilias Bronkhorst
69' Excelsior SBV — substitution: Jerroldino Armantrading / Noah Naujoks
57' AZ Alkmaar — substitution: Sven Mijnans / Jizz Hornkamp
46' AZ Alkmaar — substitution: Ibrahim Sadiq / Patati Weslley
46' AZ Alkmaar — substitution: Isak Jensen / Ro-Zangelo Daal
46' AZ Alkmaar — substitution: Elijah Dijkstra / Mateo Chavez Garcia
45+1' Goal! Ilias Bronkhorst - Excelsior SBV
29' Mateo Chavez Garcia - AZ Alkmaar receive a yellow card
20' Ilias Bronkhorst - Excelsior SBV receive a yellow card

How We Build the Excelsior SBV vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Excelsior SBV vs AZ Alkmaar on 14 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Excelsior SBV vs AZ Alkmaar Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Excelsior SBV's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AZ Alkmaar's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Excelsior SBV and AZ Alkmaar sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Predictions

Find every upcoming fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less