Excelsior SBV vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – February 14

Excelsior SBV

L D W W D

13th place in Holland Eredivisie

1-2

14/02/2026 13:45

AZ Alkmaar

W W D D D

7th place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Excelsior SBV vs AZ Alkmaar on February 14, 2026 (kick-off: 13:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Excelsior SBV vs AZ Alkmaar preview before placing for you.

Excelsior SBV are currently 13th with 38 points after 34 matches.
AZ Alkmaar sit 7th with 52 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 46%.
Head-to-head history favors AZ Alkmaar, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Excelsior SBV have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:45

2026-02-14

Excelsior SBV vs AZ Alkmaar - Prediction & Odds

Excelsior SBV

AZ Alkmaar

2026-02-14 13:45

STANDINGS UP TO 14/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSV Eindhoven	84	34	27	3	4	101	45	56
02 Feyenoord	65	34	19	8	7	70	44	26
03 NEC Nijmegen	59	34	16	11	7	77	53	24
04 FC Twente Enschede	58	34	15	13	6	59	40	19
05 AFC Ajax	56	34	14	14	6	62	41	21
06 FC Utrecht	53	34	15	8	11	55	42	13
07 AZ Alkmaar	52	34	14	10	10	58	51	7
08 SC Heerenveen	51	34	14	9	11	57	53	4
09 Groningen	48	34	14	6	14	49	45	4
10 Sparta Rotterdam	43	34	12	7	15	40	62	-22
11 Fortuna Sittard	39	34	11	6	17	49	63	-14
12 Go Ahead Eagles	38	34	8	14	12	54	53	1
13 Excelsior SBV	38	34	10	8	16	43	56	-13
14 SC Telstar	37	34	9	10	15	49	55	-6
15 PEC Zwolle	37	34	9	10	15	44	71	-27
16 Volendam	32	34	8	8	18	35	55	-20
17 NAC Breda	29	34	6	11	17	35	58	-23
18 Heracles Almelo	19	34	5	4	25	35	85	-50

Head To Head

21/01/2026 13:45

AZ Alkmaar

1 - 1

Excelsior SBV

HOL D1

13/07/2024 08:00

AZ Alkmaar

8 - 0

Excelsior SBV

INT CF

10/03/2024 07:15

AZ Alkmaar

4 - 0

Excelsior SBV

HOL D1

04/11/2023 13:45

Excelsior SBV

1 - 1

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

10/02/2023 15:00

AZ Alkmaar

5 - 0

Excelsior SBV

HOL D1

11/01/2023 13:45

Excelsior SBV

1 - 4

AZ Alkmaar

HOLC

Excelsior SBV

Draw

33%

AZ Alkmaar

67%

Excelsior SBV Last 6 matches

06/02/2026 15:00

NAC Breda 0 - 2 Excelsior SBV HOL D1

01/02/2026 07:15

Excelsior SBV 2 - 2 AFC Ajax HOL D1

24/01/2026 16:00

FC Twente Enschede 0 - 0 Excelsior SBV HOL D1

21/01/2026 13:45

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 Excelsior SBV HOL D1

17/01/2026 15:00

Excelsior SBV 2 - 2 SC Telstar HOL D1

10/01/2026 15:00

PSV Eindhoven 5 - 1 Excelsior SBV HOL D1

Win

17%

Draw

67%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches AZ Alkmaar

03/02/2026 15:00

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 FC Twente Enschede HOLC

31/01/2026 11:30

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 3 NEC Nijmegen HOL D1

25/01/2026 07:15

SC Telstar 0 - 1 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

21/01/2026 13:45

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 Excelsior SBV HOL D1

17/01/2026 13:45

PEC Zwolle 3 - 1 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

14/01/2026 16:00

AZ Alkmaar 6 - 0 AFC Ajax HOLC

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

251

Avg. per game

0.90

Conceded

286

Avg. per game

1.02

Scored

320

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

194

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 280 matches

YesNo

160 (57%)120 (43%)

In last 280 matches

NoYes

203 (68%)97 (32%)

Excelsior SBV

Recent matches

AZ Alkmaar

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Excelsior SBV

AZ Alkmaar

Shots

Excelsior SBV

Total shots

12.26 avg / game

Blocked

475 total

Avg. 3.17

AZ Alkmaar

Total shots

13.84 avg / game

Blocked

805 total

Avg. 3.61

Excelsior SBV Pass AZ Alkmaar

Total passes

79516

Avg. 414 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

125977

Avg. 498 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Excelsior SBV

280

Played games

AZ Alkmaar

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.31

4.40

1232

Corners

1626

5.42

10.28

2879

Throw-ins

4240

14.13

1.10

307

Offsides

492

1.64

3.23

904

GK saves

629

2.10

Excelsior SBV

DISCIPLINARY

AZ Alkmaar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.16

324

476

1.59

0.07

0.05

8.61

2412

Fouls

2953

9.84

10.26

2874

Tackles

3788

12.63

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Excelsior SBV vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Excelsior SBV vs AZ Alkmaar on 14 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Excelsior SBV vs AZ Alkmaar Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Excelsior SBV's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AZ Alkmaar's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where Excelsior SBV and AZ Alkmaar sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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