Ethiopia vs Malawi: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 20 June

Ethiopia

L L W L L

4th place in Group D

0 - 0

20/06/2023 10:00

Malawi

L D L L D

3rd place in Group D

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Ethiopia vs Malawi on 20 June 2023 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Ethiopia vs Malawi preview before placing your bet.

Ethiopia are currently 4th with 4 points after 6 matches.
Malawi sit 3rd with 5 points from 6 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Malawi, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Ethiopia have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 20/06/2023

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Egypt	15	6	5	0	1	10	3	7
02 Guinea	10	6	3	1	2	9	7	2
03 Malawi	5	6	1	2	3	4	10	-6
04 Ethiopia	4	6	1	1	4	5	8	-3

Head To Head

05/06/2022 09:00

Malawi

2 - 1

Ethiopia

CAF NC

17/03/2021 09:10

Ethiopia

4 - 0

Malawi

INT FRL

19/11/2014 11:59

Ethiopia

0 - 0

Malawi

CAF NC

10/09/2014 08:30

Malawi

3 - 2

Ethiopia

CAF NC

02/12/2011 09:00

Ethiopia

1 - 1

Malawi

CECAFA Cup

04/10/2011 08:00

Ethiopia

0 - 0

Malawi

INT CF

Ethiopia

17%

Draw

50%

Malawi

33%

Ethiopia Last 6 matches

27/03/2023 15:00

Ethiopia 2 - 3 Guinea CAF NC

24/03/2023 16:30

Guinea 2 - 0 Ethiopia CAF NC

19/03/2023 08:20

Ethiopia 1 - 0 Rwanda INT FRL

21/01/2023 15:00

Libya 3 - 1 Ethiopia CAF SC

17/01/2023 15:00

Algeria 1 - 0 Ethiopia CAF SC

14/01/2023 09:00

Ethiopia 0 - 0 Mozambique CAF SC

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Malawi

15/06/2023 10:15

Nasr Taadeen 3 - 0 Malawi EGY D2

14/06/2023 04:30

Mozambique 1 - 1 Malawi INT FRL

28/03/2023 09:00

Malawi 0 - 4 Egypt CAF NC

24/03/2023 15:00

Egypt 2 - 0 Malawi CAF NC

15/03/2023 09:30

Bangladesh 1 - 1 Malawi INT FRL

25/02/2023 09:00

Malawi 1 - 1 Lesotho INT FRL

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Ethiopia

Malawi

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.58

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.49

Scored

Avg. per game

0.49

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

0 (0%)6 (100%)

In last 69 matches

YesNo

30 (43%)39 (57%)

In last 69 matches

NoYes

27 (35%)51 (65%)

Ethiopia

Recent matches

Malawi

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

/Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(27%)12 33(73%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Ethiopia

Malawi

Shots

Ethiopia

Total shots

8.22 avg / game

Blocked

29 total

Avg. 2.90

Malawi

Total shots

8.20 avg / game

Blocked

17 total

Avg. 1.89

Ethiopia Pass Malawi

Total passes

7259

Avg. 484 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

3912

Avg. 245 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Ethiopia

Played games

Malawi

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

Clean sheets

0.37

2.13

147

Corners

242

3.10

3.14

217

Throw-ins

178

2.28

0.77

Offsides

0.62

1.23

GK saves

1.00

Ethiopia

DISCIPLINARY

Malawi

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.83

1.17

0.01

0.04

4.13

285

Fouls

346

4.44

2.90

200

Tackles

172

2.21

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Ethiopia vs Malawi Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Ethiopia vs Malawi on 20 June 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Ethiopia vs Malawi Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Ethiopia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Malawi's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Ethiopia and Malawi sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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