Ethiopia vs Malawi: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 20 June

Ethiopia
LLWLL
4th place in Group D
0 - 0
FT
20/06/2023 10:00
Malawi
LDLLD
3rd place in Group D
African Nations Cup
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Ethiopia vs Malawi on 20 June 2023 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Ethiopia vs Malawi preview before placing your bet.

  • Ethiopia will face Malawi in African Nations Cup on June 20, 2023 at 10:00.
  • Ethiopia are currently 4th with 4 points after 6 matches.
  • Malawi sit 3rd with 5 points from 6 matches.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 20/06/2023
Group D PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Egypt Egypt
15 6 5 0 1 10 3 7
02 Guinea Guinea
10 6 3 1 2 9 7 2
03 Malawi Malawi
5 6 1 2 3 4 10 -6
04 Ethiopia Ethiopia
4 6 1 1 4 5 8 -3
Head To Head
05/06/2022 09:00
Malawi Malawi
2 - 1
Ethiopia Ethiopia
CAF NC
17/03/2021 09:10
Ethiopia Ethiopia
4 - 0
Malawi Malawi
INT FRL
19/11/2014 11:59
Ethiopia Ethiopia
0 - 0
Malawi Malawi
CAF NC
10/09/2014 08:30
Malawi Malawi
3 - 2
Ethiopia Ethiopia
CAF NC
02/12/2011 09:00
Ethiopia Ethiopia
1 - 1
Malawi Malawi
CECAFA Cup
04/10/2011 08:00
Ethiopia Ethiopia
0 - 0
Malawi Malawi
INT CF
Malawi
3
50%
Draw
3
50%
Ethiopia
0
0%
Ethiopia Ethiopia Last 6 matches
27/03/2023 15:00
Ethiopia 2 - 3 Guinea
CAF NC
24/03/2023 16:30
Guinea 2 - 0 Ethiopia
CAF NC
19/03/2023 08:20
Ethiopia 1 - 0 Rwanda
INT FRL
21/01/2023 15:00
Libya 3 - 1 Ethiopia
CAF SC
17/01/2023 15:00
Algeria 1 - 0 Ethiopia
CAF SC
14/01/2023 09:00
Ethiopia 0 - 0 Mozambique
CAF SC
Win
17%
Draw
17%
Lost
67%
Last 6 matches Malawi Malawi
15/06/2023 10:15
Nasr Taadeen 3 - 0 Malawi
EGY D2
14/06/2023 04:30
Mozambique 1 - 1 Malawi
INT FRL
28/03/2023 09:00
Malawi 0 - 4 Egypt
CAF NC
24/03/2023 15:00
Egypt 2 - 0 Malawi
CAF NC
15/03/2023 09:30
Bangladesh 1 - 1 Malawi
INT FRL
25/02/2023 09:00
Malawi 1 - 1 Lesotho
INT FRL
Win
0%
Draw
50%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues African Nations Cup
Played games
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
6
 Malawi
Malawi
6
Goals
Scored
5
Avg. per game
0.83
Conceded
8
Avg. per game
1.33
Scored
4
Avg. per game
0.67
Conceded
10
Avg. per game
1.67
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
Ethiopia

Ethiopia

Recent matches

Malawi

Malawi

Under /Over

(67%)4 2(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)4 2(33%)

Under /Over

(50%)3 3(50%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(50%)3 3(50%)

Under /Over

(17%)1 5(83%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(17%)1 5(83%)

/Yes

(33%)2 4(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(33%)2 4(67%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Ethiopia Ethiopia
Malawi Malawi
Shots
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
Total shots
5.33 avg / game
Blocked
4 total
Avg. 2.00
Malawi
Malawi
Total shots
6.67 avg / game
Blocked
6 total
Avg. 3.00
Ethiopia Ethiopia Pass Malawi Malawi
Total passes
1680
Avg. 560 / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
57%
Total passes
1131
Avg. 283 / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
37%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
638
Avg. 106.33 / game
 Malawi
Malawi
511
Avg. 85.17 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
298
Avg. 49.67 / game
 Malawi
Malawi
273
Avg. 45.50 / game
OTHERS
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
6
Played games
Malawi
Malawi
6
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.33
2
Clean sheets
1
0.17
2.00
12
Corners
21
3.50
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
1.83
11
Offsides
15
2.50
1.83
11
GK saves
5
0.83
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
DISCIPLINARY
Malawi
Malawi
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.50
9
Yellow card
10
1.67
0.00
0
Red card
0
0.00
10.67
64
Fouls
94
15.67
9.00
54
Tackles
48
8.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Ethiopia vs Malawi Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Ethiopia vs Malawi on 20 June 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Ethiopia vs Malawi Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Ethiopia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Malawi's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Ethiopia and Malawi sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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