Libya vs Ethiopia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 January

Libya
DDDWD
3rd place in Group A
3 - 1
FT
21/01/2023 15:00
Ethiopia
DWWWL
4th place in Group A
African Nations Championship
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Libya vs Ethiopia on 21 January 2023 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Libya vs Ethiopia preview before placing your bet.

  • Libya will face Ethiopia in African Nations Championship on January 21, 2023 at 15:00.
  • Libya are currently 3rd with 3 points after 3 matches.
  • Ethiopia sit 4th with 1 points from 3 matches.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 21/01/2023
Group A PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Algeria Algeria
9 3 3 0 0 3 0 3
02 Mozambique Mozambique
4 3 1 1 1 3 3 0
03 Libya Libya
3 3 1 0 2 5 5 0
04 Ethiopia Ethiopia
1 3 0 1 2 1 4 -3
Libya Libya Last 6 matches
31/03/2026 22:00
Libya 2 - 2 Liberia
International Friendly
28/03/2026 01:00
Libya 0 - 0 Niger
International Friendly
25/11/2025 23:00
Palestine 0 - 0 Libya
Arab Nations Cup
15/11/2025 21:00
Libya 1 - 0 Mauritania
International Friendly
13/10/2025 23:00
Mauritius 0 - 0 Libya
FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)
08/10/2025 20:00
Libya 3 - 3 Cape Verde
FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)
Win
17%
Draw
83%
Lost
0%
Last 6 matches Ethiopia Ethiopia
09/06/2026 22:00
Ethiopia 1 - 1 Malawi
International Friendly
06/06/2026 22:00
Ethiopia 1 - 0 Malawi
International Friendly
31/03/2026 20:00
Ethiopia 1 - 0 Sao Tome and Principe
Africa Cup of Nations
27/03/2026 23:00
Sao Tome and Principe 0 - 3 Ethiopia
Africa Cup of Nations
13/10/2025 02:00
Burkina Faso 3 - 1 Ethiopia
FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)
08/10/2025 20:00
Ethiopia 1 - 0 Guinea Bissau
FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues African Nations Champi...
Played games
Libya
Libya
3
 Ethiopia
Ethiopia
7
Goals
Scored
5
Avg. per game
1.67
Conceded
5
Avg. per game
1.67
Scored
7
Avg. per game
1.00
Conceded
4
Avg. per game
0.57
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
2 (67%)1 (33%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
Libya

Libya

Recent matches

Ethiopia

Ethiopia

Under /Over

(67%)2 1(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(29%)2 5(71%)

Under /Over

(33%)1 2(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)2 5(71%)

Under /Over

(67%)2 1(33%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(29%)2 5(71%)

/Yes

(67%)2 1(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(14%)1 6(86%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Libya Libya
Ethiopia Ethiopia
Shots
Libya
Libya
Total shots
9.00 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
Total shots
8.43 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Libya Libya Pass Ethiopia Ethiopia
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
45%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
58%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Libya
Libya
290
Avg. 96.67 / game
 Ethiopia
Ethiopia
738
Avg. 105.43 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Libya
Libya
180
Avg. 60.00 / game
 Ethiopia
Ethiopia
432
Avg. 61.71 / game
OTHERS
Libya
Libya
3
Played games
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
7
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.00
0
Clean sheets
5
0.71
4.00
12
Corners
32
4.57
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.00
0
Offsides
0
0.00
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Libya
Libya
DISCIPLINARY
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.67
5
Yellow card
6
0.86
0.00
0
Red card
0
0.00
0.00
0
Fouls
0
0.00
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Libya vs Ethiopia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Libya vs Ethiopia on 21 January 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Libya vs Ethiopia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Libya's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Ethiopia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Championship standings and the African Nations Championship form table to understand exactly where Libya and Ethiopia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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