Derby County vs Burton Albion: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 15 January

Derby County

W D D W W

2nd place in England League 1

3-2

15/01/2024 16:00

Burton Albion

L L W L W

20th place in England League 1

England League 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Derby County vs Burton Albion on 15 January 2024 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County vs Burton Albion preview before placing your bet.

Derby County are currently 2nd with 92 points after 46 matches.
Burton Albion sit 20th with 46 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Derby County to win with probability 70%.
Head-to-head history favors Derby County, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Burton Albion have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2024-01-15

Derby County vs Burton Albion - Prediction & Odds

Derby County

Burton Albion

2024-01-15 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 15/01/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Portsmouth	97	46	28	13	5	78	41	37
02 Derby County	92	46	28	8	10	78	37	41
03 Bolton Wanderers	87	46	25	12	9	86	51	35
04 Peterborough United	84	46	25	9	12	89	61	28
05 Oxford United	77	46	22	11	13	79	56	23
06 Barnsley	76	46	21	13	12	82	64	18
07 Lincoln City	74	46	20	14	12	65	40	25
08 Blackpool	73	46	21	10	15	65	48	17
09 Stevenage Borough	71	46	19	14	13	57	46	11
10 Wycombe Wanderers	65	46	17	14	15	60	55	5
11 Leyton Orient	65	46	18	11	17	53	55	-2
12 Wigan Athletic	62	46	20	10	16	63	56	7
13 Exeter City	61	46	17	10	19	46	61	-15
14 Northampton Town	60	46	17	9	20	57	66	-9
15 Bristol Rovers	57	46	16	9	21	52	68	-16
16 Charlton Athletic	53	46	11	20	15	64	65	-1
17 Reading	53	46	16	11	19	68	70	-2
18 Cambridge United	48	46	12	12	22	39	61	-22
19 Shrewsbury Town	48	46	13	9	24	35	67	-32
20 Burton Albion	46	46	12	10	24	39	67	-28
21 Cheltenham Town	44	46	12	8	26	41	65	-24
22 Fleetwood Town	43	46	10	13	23	49	72	-23
23 Port Vale	41	46	10	11	25	41	74	-33
24 Carlisle United	30	46	7	9	30	41	81	-40

Head To Head

12/08/2023 10:00

Burton Albion

0 - 3

Derby County

ENG L1

22/04/2023 10:00

Derby County

1 - 0

Burton Albion

ENG L1

10/12/2022 10:00

Burton Albion

1 - 1

Derby County

ENG L1

20/07/2019 10:00

Burton Albion

2 - 5

Derby County

INT CF

14/04/2018 10:00

Burton Albion

3 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

02/12/2017 11:00

Derby County

1 - 0

Burton Albion

ENG LCH

Derby County

67%

Draw

17%

Burton Albion

17%

Derby County Last 6 matches

09/01/2024 15:00

Derby County 0 - 1 Bradford City ENG JPT

06/01/2024 08:30

Fleetwood Town 1 - 3 Derby County ENG L1

01/01/2024 11:00

Derby County 2 - 3 Peterborough United ENG L1

29/12/2023 15:45

Oxford United 2 - 3 Derby County ENG L1

26/12/2023 11:00

Wigan Athletic 0 - 1 Derby County ENG L1

21/12/2023 15:45

Derby County 3 - 1 Lincoln City ENG L1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Burton Albion

10/01/2024 15:00

Blackpool 2 - 1 Burton Albion ENG JPT

06/01/2024 11:00

Burton Albion 1 - 1 Wycombe Wanderers ENG L1

01/01/2024 11:00

Bolton Wanderers 1 - 0 Burton Albion ENG L1

29/12/2023 15:45

Burton Albion 1 - 0 Shrewsbury Town ENG L1

26/12/2023 11:00

Burton Albion 1 - 0 Blackpool ENG L1

23/12/2023 11:00

Charlton Athletic 1 - 1 Burton Albion ENG L1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England League 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

225

Avg. per game

0.75

Conceded

206

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored

193

Avg. per game

0.64

Conceded

244

Avg. per game

0.81

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

161 (54%)139 (46%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

142 (47%)158 (53%)

Derby County

Recent matches

Burton Albion

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Derby County

Burton Albion

Shots

Derby County

Total shots

11.41 avg / game

Blocked

826 total

Avg. 3.49

Burton Albion

Total shots

11.08 avg / game

Blocked

751 total

Avg. 3.32

Derby County Pass Burton Albion

Total passes

100064

Avg. 382 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

85284

Avg. 331 / game

Accurate

64%

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Derby County

300

Played games

Burton Albion

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.23

5.08

1523

Corners

1412

4.71

21.08

6324

Throw-ins

6246

20.82

1.84

553

Offsides

430

1.43

2.27

682

GK saves

767

2.56

Derby County

DISCIPLINARY

Burton Albion

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.76

528

528

1.76

0.05

0.07

9.91

2974

Fouls

3076

10.25

12.17

3651

Tackles

3494

11.65

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Derby County vs Burton Albion Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County vs Burton Albion on 15 January 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England League 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County vs Burton Albion Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Burton Albion's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England League 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England League 1 standings and the England League 1 form table to understand exactly where Derby County and Burton Albion sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England League 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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