Oxford United vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 29 December

Oxford United

W W W L D

5th place in England League 1

2-3

29/12/2023 15:45

Derby County

W D D W W

2nd place in England League 1

England League 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Oxford United vs Derby County on 29 December 2023 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Oxford United vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Oxford United will face Derby County in England League 1 on December 29, 2023 at 15:45.
Oxford United are currently 5th with 77 points after 46 matches.
Derby County sit 2nd with 92 points from 46 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.23.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:45

2023-12-29

Oxford United vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Oxford United

Derby County

2023-12-29 15:45

STANDINGS UP TO 29/12/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Portsmouth	97	46	28	13	5	78	41	37
02 Derby County	92	46	28	8	10	78	37	41
03 Bolton Wanderers	87	46	25	12	9	86	51	35
04 Peterborough United	84	46	25	9	12	89	61	28
05 Oxford United	77	46	22	11	13	79	56	23
06 Barnsley	76	46	21	13	12	82	64	18
07 Lincoln City	74	46	20	14	12	65	40	25
08 Blackpool	73	46	21	10	15	65	48	17
09 Stevenage Borough	71	46	19	14	13	57	46	11
10 Wycombe Wanderers	65	46	17	14	15	60	55	5
11 Leyton Orient	65	46	18	11	17	53	55	-2
12 Wigan Athletic	62	46	20	10	16	63	56	7
13 Exeter City	61	46	17	10	19	46	61	-15
14 Northampton Town	60	46	17	9	20	57	66	-9
15 Bristol Rovers	57	46	16	9	21	52	68	-16
16 Charlton Athletic	53	46	11	20	15	64	65	-1
17 Reading	53	46	16	11	19	68	70	-2
18 Cambridge United	48	46	12	12	22	39	61	-22
19 Shrewsbury Town	48	46	13	9	24	35	67	-32
20 Burton Albion	46	46	12	10	24	39	67	-28
21 Cheltenham Town	44	46	12	8	26	41	65	-24
22 Fleetwood Town	43	46	10	13	23	49	72	-23
23 Port Vale	41	46	10	11	25	41	74	-33
24 Carlisle United	30	46	7	9	30	41	81	-40

Head To Head

15/08/2023 14:45

Derby County

1 - 2

Oxford United

ENG L1

11/03/2023 11:00

Oxford United

2 - 3

Derby County

ENG L1

30/07/2022 10:00

Derby County

1 - 0

Oxford United

ENG L1

Derby County

33%

Draw

Oxford United

67%

Oxford United Last 6 matches

26/12/2023 11:00

Oxford United 2 - 1 Cambridge United

ENG L1

23/12/2023 11:00

Northampton Town 2 - 1 Oxford United

ENG L1

16/12/2023 11:00

Oxford United 3 - 0 Burton Albion

ENG L1

12/12/2023 16:00

Reading 1 - 1 Oxford United

ENG L1

09/12/2023 11:00

Peterborough United 3 - 0 Oxford United

ENG L1

05/12/2023 15:00

Forest Green Rovers 0 - 1 Oxford United

ENG JPT

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Derby County

26/12/2023 11:00

Wigan Athletic 0 - 1 Derby County

ENG L1

21/12/2023 15:45

Derby County 3 - 1 Lincoln City

ENG L1

16/12/2023 11:00

Derby County 1 - 1 Wycombe Wanderers

ENG L1

09/12/2023 11:00

Leyton Orient 0 - 3 Derby County

ENG L1

05/12/2023 15:00

Derby County 3 - 0 Fleetwood Town

ENG JPT

28/11/2023 15:45

Port Vale 0 - 1 Derby County

ENG L1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England League 1

Played games

Oxford United

Derby County

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.69

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.16

Scored

Avg. per game

1.70

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.80

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 49 matches

YesNo

40 (82%)9 (18%)

In last 49 matches

NoYes

40 (87%)6 (13%)

Oxford United

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Oxford United

Derby County

Shots

Oxford United

Total shots

13.35 avg / game

Blocked

181 total

Avg. 3.69

Derby County

Total shots

12.52 avg / game

Blocked

157 total

Avg. 3.49

Oxford United Pass Derby County

Total passes

22371

Avg. 457 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

17868

Avg. 388 / game

Accurate

71%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Oxford United

Played games

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.48

5.04

247

Corners

295

6.41

24.63

1207

Throw-ins

1262

27.43

1.55

Offsides

130

2.83

2.51

123

GK saves

1.91

Oxford United

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.65

1.70

0.10

0.04

9.49

465

Fouls

489

10.63

13.39

656

Tackles

671

14.59

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Oxford United vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Oxford United vs Derby County on 29 December 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England League 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Oxford United vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Oxford United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England League 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England League 1 standings and the England League 1 form table to understand exactly where Oxford United and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England League 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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