Derby County vs Burton Albion: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 15 January

Betiball's prediction for Derby County vs Burton Albion on 15 January 2024 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County vs Burton Albion preview before placing your bet.

Derby County vs Burton Albion: Starting Lineups Time : 15/01/2024 16:00

Derby County
3 - 2
Finished
Burton Albion
90+4' event Sonny Bradley / Tom Barkhuizen
90+3' event Conor Hourihane
86' event Liam Thompson / Tyreece John Jules
72' event Louie Sibley / Callum Elder
49' event James Collins
29' event Tom Barkhuizen
event 83' Rekeem Harper / Beryly Lubala
event 80' Mustapha Carayol / Steve Seddon
event 65' Joe Hugill
event 64' Adedeji Oshilaja
event 62' Mark Helm / Ciaran Gilligan
event 62' Joe Hugill / Mason Bennett
event 54' Steve Seddon
90+4' event Sonny Bradley / Tom Barkhuizen
event 83' Rekeem Harper / Beryly Lubala
90+3' event Conor Hourihane
event 80' Mustapha Carayol / Steve Seddon
86' event Liam Thompson / Tyreece John Jules
event 65' Joe Hugill
72' event Louie Sibley / Callum Elder
event 64' Adedeji Oshilaja
49' event James Collins
event 62' Mark Helm / Ciaran Gilligan
29' event Tom Barkhuizen
event 62' Joe Hugill / Mason Bennett
event 54' Steve Seddon
Derby County Derby County
Substitutions
#17 Louie Sibley
#16 Liam Thompson
#5 Sonny Bradley
#22 Tyrese Fornah
#23 Joe Ward
#1 Joe Wildsmith
#39 Dajaune Brown
Derby County Derby County Burton Albion Burton Albion
18Shots6
7Shots on Goal2
10Fouls12
4Corner Kick3
13Free kick17
6Offside0
0Yellow card1
69Aerial66
0Save5
13Successful Tackles14
5Interceptions5
2Assist1
11Shots off goal4
45Head Success23
5Blocked2
13Tackle14
3Dribbles3
29Throw-in23
478Passes251
130Attacks93
73Dangerous attacks58
2Corner Kicks(HT)1
Burton Albion Burton Albion
Substitutions
#21 Mustapha Carayol
#8 Rekeem Harper
#17 Mark Helm
#44 Joe Hugill
#40 William Tamen
#30 Jamal Blackman
#38 Dylan Scott
Commentary
90+4' Derby County — substitution: Sonny Bradley / Tom Barkhuizen
90+3' Goal! Conor Hourihane - Derby County
86' Derby County — substitution: Liam Thompson / Tyreece John Jules
83' Burton Albion — substitution: Rekeem Harper / Beryly Lubala
80' Burton Albion — substitution: Mustapha Carayol / Steve Seddon
72' Derby County — substitution: Louie Sibley / Callum Elder
65' Goal! Joe Hugill - Burton Albion
64' Adedeji Oshilaja - Burton Albion receive a yellow card
62' Burton Albion — substitution: Mark Helm / Ciaran Gilligan
62' Burton Albion — substitution: Joe Hugill / Mason Bennett
54' Goal! Steve Seddon - Burton Albion
49' Goal! James Collins - Derby County
29' Goal! Tom Barkhuizen - Derby County

How We Build the Derby County vs Burton Albion Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County vs Burton Albion on 15 January 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County vs Burton Albion Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Burton Albion's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Derby County and Burton Albion sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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