Derby County vs Birmingham City: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 March

Derby County

W L W L W

8th place in England Championship

1-0

21/03/2026 12:30

Birmingham City

L W D W W

10th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Derby County vs Birmingham City on 21 March 2026 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County vs Birmingham City preview before placing your bet.

Derby County are currently 8th with 69 points after 46 matches.
Birmingham City sit 10th with 64 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Birmingham City to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Derby County and Birmingham City have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:30

2026-03-21

Derby County vs Birmingham City - Prediction & Odds

Derby County

Birmingham City

2026-03-21 12:30

STANDINGS UP TO 21/03/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Coventry City	95	46	28	11	7	97	45	52
02 Ipswich Town	84	46	23	15	8	80	47	33
03 Millwall	83	46	24	11	11	64	49	15
04 Southampton	80	46	22	14	10	82	56	26
05 Middlesbrough	80	46	22	14	10	72	47	25
06 Hull City	73	46	21	10	15	70	66	4
07 Wrexham	71	46	19	14	13	69	65	4
08 Derby County	69	46	20	9	17	67	59	8
09 Norwich City	65	46	19	8	19	63	56	7
10 Birmingham City	64	46	17	13	16	57	56	1
11 Swansea City	64	46	18	10	18	57	59	-2
12 Bristol City	62	46	17	11	18	59	59	0
13 Sheffield United	60	46	18	6	22	66	66	0
14 Preston North End	60	46	15	15	16	55	62	-7
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	58	46	16	10	20	61	73	-12
16 Watford	57	46	14	15	17	53	65	-12
17 Stoke City	55	46	15	10	21	51	56	-5
18 Portsmouth	55	46	14	13	19	49	64	-15
19 Charlton Athletic	53	46	13	14	19	44	58	-14
20 Blackburn Rovers	52	46	13	13	20	42	56	-14
21 West Bromwich(WBA)	51	46	13	14	19	48	58	-10
22 Oxford United	47	46	11	14	21	45	59	-14
23 Leicester City	46	46	12	16	18	58	68	-10
24 Sheffield Wednesday	0	46	2	12	32	29	89	-60

Head To Head

26/12/2025 12:30

Birmingham City

1 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

30/01/2022 13:30

Derby County

2 - 2

Birmingham City

ENG LCH

10/09/2021 19:00

Birmingham City

2 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

24/04/2021 14:00

Derby County

1 - 2

Birmingham City

ENG LCH

29/12/2020 17:30

Birmingham City

0 - 4

Derby County

ENG LCH

22/07/2020 18:30

Birmingham City

1 - 3

Derby County

ENG LCH

Derby County

33%

Draw

33%

Birmingham City

33%

Derby County Last 6 matches

16/03/2026 20:00

Portsmouth 0 - 1 Derby County ENG LCH

10/03/2026 19:45

Millwall 1 - 0 Derby County ENG LCH

07/03/2026 15:00

Derby County 2 - 1 Sheffield Wednesday ENG LCH

28/02/2026 12:30

Derby County 3 - 1 Blackburn Rovers ENG LCH

24/02/2026 19:45

Hull City 4 - 2 Derby County ENG LCH

21/02/2026 15:00

Watford 2 - 0 Derby County ENG LCH

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Birmingham City

14/03/2026 15:00

Birmingham City 1 - 1 Sheffield United ENG LCH

11/03/2026 19:45

Birmingham City 1 - 0 Queens Park Rangers (QPR) ENG LCH

07/03/2026 15:00

Charlton Athletic 1 - 0 Birmingham City ENG LCH

02/03/2026 20:00

Birmingham City 1 - 3 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

25/02/2026 19:45

Millwall 3 - 0 Birmingham City ENG LCH

21/02/2026 15:00

Norwich City 1 - 2 Birmingham City ENG LCH

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Played games

Derby County

Birmingham City

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.35

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.17

Scored

Avg. per game

1.70

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.96

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 23 home matches

YesNo

22 (96%)1 (4%)

In last 23 home matches

NoYes

21 (91%)2 (9%)

Derby County

Recent matches

Birmingham City

Under /Over

(74%)17 6(26%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)18 5(22%)

Under /Over

(26%)6 17(74%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(48%)11 12(52%)

Under /Over

(39%)9 14(61%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(39%)9 14(61%)

/Yes

(65%)15 8(35%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(65%)15 8(35%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Derby County

Birmingham City

Shots

Derby County

Total shots

11.91 avg / game

Blocked

92 total

Avg. 4.00

Birmingham City

Total shots

17.30 avg / game

Blocked

115 total

Avg. 5.00

Derby County Pass Birmingham City

Total passes

8445

Avg. 367 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

9977

Avg. 434 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Derby County

Played games

Birmingham City

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

0.30

5.61

129

Corners

151

6.57

23.35

537

Throw-ins

570

24.78

1.65

Offsides

2.00

2.48

GK saves

1.83

Derby County

DISCIPLINARY

Birmingham City

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.22

1.87

0.04

0.09

11.87

273

Fouls

252

10.96

8.78

202

Tackles

213

9.26

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Derby County vs Birmingham City Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County vs Birmingham City on 21 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County vs Birmingham City Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Birmingham City's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Derby County and Birmingham City sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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