Deportes Tolima vs Nacional Montevideo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 06 May

Deportes Tolima

D W L W L

2nd place in Group B

3-0

06/05/2026 22:00

Nacional Montevideo

L L L W W

3rd place in Group B

Copa Libertadores

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Nacional Montevideo on 06 May 2026 (kick-off: 22:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Deportes Tolima vs Nacional Montevideo preview before placing your bet.

Deportes Tolima are currently 2nd with 8 points after 6 matches.
Nacional Montevideo sit 3rd with 8 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Deportes Tolima to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Nacional Montevideo, who have won 1 of the last 1 meetings. Deportes Tolima have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

22:00

2026-05-06

Deportes Tolima vs Nacional Montevideo - Prediction & Odds

Deportes Tolima

Nacional Montevideo

2026-05-06 22:00

STANDINGS UP TO 06/05/2026

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Coquimbo Unido	10	6	3	1	2	8	6	2
02 Deportes Tolima	8	6	2	2	2	7	6	1
03 Nacional Montevideo	8	6	2	2	2	7	9	-2
04 Universitario De Deportes	6	6	1	3	2	5	6	-1

Head To Head

14/04/2026 18:00

Nacional Montevideo

3 - 1

Deportes Tolima

CON CLA

Deportes Tolima

Draw

Nacional Montevideo

100%

Deportes Tolima Last 6 matches

03/05/2026 16:30

Deportes Tolima 1 - 1 Deportivo Cali COL D1

28/04/2026 22:00

Deportes Tolima 3 - 0 Coquimbo Unido CON CLA

23/04/2026 21:00

Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportes Tolima COL D1

18/04/2026 19:10

Deportes Tolima 2 - 0 Deportivo Pereira COL D1

14/04/2026 18:00

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 1 Deportes Tolima CON CLA

10/04/2026 21:05

Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Deportes Tolima COL D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Nacional Montevideo

03/05/2026 18:55

Albion FC 3 - 2 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

29/04/2026 22:00

Universitario De Deportes 4 - 2 Nacional Montevideo CON CLA

25/04/2026 18:00

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 2 Danubio FC URU D1

19/04/2026 18:30

Liverpool URU 1 - 3 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

14/04/2026 18:00

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 1 Deportes Tolima CON CLA

11/04/2026 18:00

Deportivo Maldonado 4 - 2 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Copa Libertadores

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Deportes Tolima

Nacional Montevideo

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.17

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 10 matches

YesNo

5 (50%)5 (50%)

In last 10 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

Deportes Tolima

Recent matches

Nacional Montevideo

Under /Over

(50%)5 5(50%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)4 2(33%)

Under /Over

(10%)1 9(90%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(17%)1 5(83%)

Under /Over

(30%)3 7(70%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)3 3(50%)

/Yes

(10%)1 9(90%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)3 3(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Deportes Tolima

Nacional Montevideo

Shots

Deportes Tolima

Total shots

10.30 avg / game

Blocked

16 total

Avg. 1.60

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

9.83 avg / game

Blocked

14 total

Avg. 2.33

Deportes Tolima Pass Nacional Montevideo

Total passes

4574

Avg. 457 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

1683

Avg. 281 / game

Accurate

71%

Ball possession

40%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Deportes Tolima

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.60

Clean sheets

0.33

4.30

Corners

5.00

23.80

238

Throw-ins

126

21.00

1.40

Offsides

0.33

2.90

GK saves

4.17

Deportes Tolima

DISCIPLINARY

Nacional Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.00

2.00

0.10

0.33

11.40

114

Fouls

8.17

7.90

Tackles

9.00

NEXT MATCHES

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How We Build the Deportes Tolima vs Nacional Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Nacional Montevideo on 06 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Copa Libertadores fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Deportes Tolima vs Nacional Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Deportes Tolima's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Nacional Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Copa Libertadores Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Copa Libertadores standings and the Copa Libertadores form table to understand exactly where Deportes Tolima and Nacional Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Copa Libertadores predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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