Deportes Tolima vs Nacional Montevideo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 06 May

Betiball's prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Nacional Montevideo on 06 May 2026 (kick-off: 22:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Deportes Tolima vs Nacional Montevideo preview before placing your bet.

Deportes Tolima vs Nacional Montevideo: Starting Lineups Time : 06/05/2026 22:00

Deportes Tolima
3 - 0
Finished
Nacional Montevideo
89' event Jersson Gonzalez
81' event Juan Pablo Nieto Salazar / Juan Torres
81' event Jader Valencia / Kelvin Florez
78' event Jherson Mosquera
74' event Jersson Gonzalez / Edwar Lopez
74' event Jherson Mosquera / Adrian Parra Osorio
74' event Cristian Trujillo / Brayan Rovira
45+10' event Edwar Lopez
45+9' event Brayan Rovira
45+8' event Luis Sandoval
45+7' event Luis Sandoval
45+3' event Juan Torres Penalty confirmed
45+1' event Juan Torres
event 88' Luciano Gonzalez / Luciano Boggio Albin
event 70' Tomas Veron Lupi / Gonzalo Rodrigo Carneiro Mendez
event 70' Juan Cruz de los Santos / Mateo Baltasar Barcia Fernandez
event 64' Alexander dos Santos
event 46' Maximiliano Silvera Captain / Marcelo Nicolas Lodeiro Benitez
event 45+10' Sebastian Coates Nion
89' event Jersson Gonzalez
event 88' Luciano Gonzalez / Luciano Boggio Albin
81' event Juan Pablo Nieto Salazar / Juan Torres
event 70' Tomas Veron Lupi / Gonzalo Rodrigo Carneiro Mendez
81' event Jader Valencia / Kelvin Florez
event 70' Juan Cruz de los Santos / Mateo Baltasar Barcia Fernandez
78' event Jherson Mosquera
event 64' Alexander dos Santos
74' event Jersson Gonzalez / Edwar Lopez
event 46' Maximiliano Silvera Captain / Marcelo Nicolas Lodeiro Benitez
74' event Jherson Mosquera / Adrian Parra Osorio
event 45+10' Sebastian Coates Nion
74' event Cristian Trujillo / Brayan Rovira
45+10' event Edwar Lopez
45+9' event Brayan Rovira
45+8' event Luis Sandoval
45+7' event Luis Sandoval
45+3' event Juan Torres Penalty confirmed
45+1' event Juan Torres
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
Substitutions
#30 Shean Paul Barbosa Gomez
#7 Jersson Gonzalez
#20 Junior Hernandez
#22 Luis Marquines
#31 Yoimar Moreno
#33 Jherson Mosquera
#15 Juan Pablo Nieto Salazar
#4 Daniel Pedrozo
#29 Néifer Sánchez
#6 Cristian Trujillo
#8 Ever Valencia
#11 Jader Valencia
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
19Shots8
9Shots on Goal2
3Fouls5
10Corner Kick3
3Free kick3
1Offside1
3Yellow card2
2Save6
11Successful Tackles10
4Interceptions9
21Long pass22
4Successful center4
7Shots off goal4
0Hit The Post1
3Blocked2
11Tackle9
6Dribbles4
23Throw-in27
461Passes277
80Attacks106
32Dangerous attacks37
8Corner Kicks(HT)2
4BigChances0
3BigChancesMissed0
10ShotsInsideBox3
9ShotsOutsideBox5
38DuelsWon36
3.41ExpectedGoals0.31
1.37xGOpenPlay0.26
1.84xGNonPenalty0.31
3.53xGOT0.12
24Touches In Opposition Box16
16AccurateCrosses17
25GroundDuelsWon19
13AerialDuelsWon17
34Clearances14
Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
Substitutions
#15 Paolo Calione
#19 Juan Cruz de los Santos
#56 Juan Ignacio Garcia
#39 Luciano Gonzalez
#31 Rodrigo Martinez
#18 Pavel Nunez
#77 Nicolas Rodriguez
#11 Maximiliano Silvera Captain
#25 Ignacio Suarez
#8 Mauricio Vera
#27 Tomas Veron Lupi
#32 Tomas Ezequiel Viera Alegre
Commentary
89' Goal! Jersson Gonzalez - Deportes Tolima
88' Nacional Montevideo — substitution: Luciano Gonzalez / Luciano Boggio Albin
81' Deportes Tolima — substitution: Juan Pablo Nieto Salazar / Juan Torres
81' Deportes Tolima — substitution: Jader Valencia / Kelvin Florez
78' Goal! Jherson Mosquera - Deportes Tolima
74' Deportes Tolima — substitution: Jersson Gonzalez / Edwar Lopez
74' Deportes Tolima — substitution: Jherson Mosquera / Adrian Parra Osorio
74' Deportes Tolima — substitution: Cristian Trujillo / Brayan Rovira
70' Nacional Montevideo — substitution: Tomas Veron Lupi / Gonzalo Rodrigo Carneiro Mendez
70' Nacional Montevideo — substitution: Juan Cruz de los Santos / Mateo Baltasar Barcia Fernandez
64' Alexander dos Santos - Nacional Montevideo receive a yellow card
46' Nacional Montevideo — substitution: Maximiliano Silvera Captain / Marcelo Nicolas Lodeiro Benitez
45+10' Edwar Lopez - Deportes Tolima receive a yellow card
45+10' Sebastian Coates Nion - Nacional Montevideo receive a yellow card
45+9' Brayan Rovira - Deportes Tolima receive a yellow card
45+8' Luis Sandoval - Deportes Tolima receive a yellow card
45+7' Penalty scored! Luis Sandoval - Deportes Tolima
45+3' VAR review - Deportes Tolima
45+1' Penalty missed! Juan Torres - Deportes Tolima

How We Build the Deportes Tolima vs Nacional Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Nacional Montevideo on 06 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Deportes Tolima vs Nacional Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Deportes Tolima's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Nacional Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Deportes Tolima and Nacional Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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