Connahs Quay Nomads FC vs Caernarfon: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 October

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

W W W W L

2nd place in League

6 - 1

27/10/2023 14:45

Caernarfon

D W L L W

6th place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Connahs Quay Nomads FC vs Caernarfon on 27 October 2023 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Connahs Quay Nomads FC vs Caernarfon preview before placing your bet.

Connahs Quay Nomads FC are currently 2nd with 47 points after 22 matches.
Caernarfon sit 6th with 31 points from 22 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Connahs Quay Nomads FC, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Caernarfon have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 27/10/2023

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	62	22	20	2	0	77	14	63
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	47	22	15	2	5	59	29	30
03 Bala Town F.C.	37	22	10	7	5	25	20	5
04 UWIC Inter Cardiff	34	22	9	7	6	28	39	-11
05 Newtown AFC	33	22	10	3	9	35	31	4
06 Caernarfon	31	22	9	4	9	40	41	-1
07 Haverfordwest County	28	22	7	7	8	29	33	-4
08 Pen-y-Bont FC	25	22	8	4	10	28	32	-4
09 Barry Town United	23	22	6	5	11	27	41	-14
10 Aberystwyth Town	15	22	4	3	15	18	46	-28
11 Colwyn Bay	14	22	4	2	16	27	49	-22
12 Pontypridd	13	22	5	4	13	13	31	-18

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	92	10	10	0	0	40	4	36
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	59	10	3	3	4	11	14	-3
03 Bala Town F.C.	51	10	3	5	2	13	11	2
04 Newtown AFC	44	10	3	2	5	14	15	-1
05 Caernarfon	41	10	2	4	4	12	29	-17
06 UWIC Inter Cardiff	39	10	1	2	7	7	24	-17

Relegation Quarter	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Pen-y-Bont FC	46	10	6	3	1	18	5	13
02 Haverfordwest County	43	10	4	3	3	10	7	3
03 Barry Town United	32	10	1	6	3	9	13	-4
04 Aberystwyth Town	27	10	3	3	4	9	11	-2
05 Pontypridd	25	10	3	3	4	10	10	0
06 Colwyn Bay	25	10	3	2	5	7	17	-10

Head To Head

14/10/2023 09:00

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

4 - 1

Caernarfon

WALC

01/09/2023 14:45

Caernarfon

0 - 4

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Welsh PR

18/11/2022 15:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

3 - 3

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

27/09/2022 14:45

Caernarfon

0 - 2

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Welsh PR

09/11/2021 15:45

Caernarfon

0 - 1

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Welsh PR

31/08/2021 14:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

1 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

67%

Draw

33%

Caernarfon

Connahs Quay Nomads FC Last 6 matches

21/10/2023 09:30

Pontypridd 0 - 3 Connahs Quay Nomads FC Welsh PR

18/10/2023 14:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 1 - 1 Bala Town F.C. Welsh PR

14/10/2023 09:00

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 4 - 1 Caernarfon WALC

06/10/2023 15:00

Aberystwyth Town 1 - 1 Connahs Quay Nomads FC Welsh PR

30/09/2023 12:15

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 4 - 2 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

26/09/2023 14:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 2 - 1 Colwyn Bay Welsh PR

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Caernarfon

21/10/2023 09:30

Caernarfon 5 - 1 UWIC Inter Cardiff Welsh PR

17/10/2023 14:45

Caernarfon 3 - 0 Aberystwyth Town Welsh PR

14/10/2023 09:00

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 4 - 1 Caernarfon WALC

07/10/2023 09:30

Newtown AFC 4 - 0 Caernarfon Welsh PR

30/09/2023 09:30

Barry Town United 0 - 3 Caernarfon Welsh PR

26/09/2023 14:45

Caernarfon 1 - 3 The New Saints Welsh PR

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Caernarfon

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.06

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.21

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 32 matches

YesNo

20 (63%)12 (38%)

In last 32 matches

NoYes

22 (65%)12 (35%)

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Recent matches

Caernarfon

Under /Over

(84%)27 5(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(91%)31 3(9%)

Under /Over

(56%)18 14(44%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)15 19(56%)

Under /Over

(56%)18 14(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(74%)25 9(26%)

/Yes

(59%)19 13(41%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(71%)24 10(29%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Caernarfon

Shots

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Total shots

10.34 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caernarfon

Total shots

10.44 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Connahs Quay Nomads FC Pass Caernarfon

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

OTHERS

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Played games

Caernarfon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

0.18

6.00

192

Corners

186

5.47

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

2.31

GK saves

112

3.29

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

DISCIPLINARY

Caernarfon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.69

1.85

0.13

0.12

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

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08/28

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NEXT MATCHES

08/02

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How We Build the Connahs Quay Nomads FC vs Caernarfon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Connahs Quay Nomads FC vs Caernarfon on 27 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Connahs Quay Nomads FC vs Caernarfon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Connahs Quay Nomads FC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caernarfon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where Connahs Quay Nomads FC and Caernarfon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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