Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 07 October

Newtown AFC

W W L L L

5th place in League

4 - 0

07/10/2023 09:30

Caernarfon

D W L L W

6th place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon on 07 October 2023 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon preview before placing your bet.

Newtown AFC will face Caernarfon in Welsh Premier League on October 7, 2023 at 09:30.
Newtown AFC are currently 5th with 33 points after 22 matches.
Caernarfon sit 6th with 31 points from 22 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 07/10/2023

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	62	22	20	2	0	77	14	63
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	47	22	15	2	5	59	29	30
03 Bala Town F.C.	37	22	10	7	5	25	20	5
04 UWIC Inter Cardiff	34	22	9	7	6	28	39	-11
05 Newtown AFC	33	22	10	3	9	35	31	4
06 Caernarfon	31	22	9	4	9	40	41	-1
07 Haverfordwest County	28	22	7	7	8	29	33	-4
08 Pen-y-Bont FC	25	22	8	4	10	28	32	-4
09 Barry Town United	23	22	6	5	11	27	41	-14
10 Aberystwyth Town	15	22	4	3	15	18	46	-28
11 Colwyn Bay	14	22	4	2	16	27	49	-22
12 Pontypridd	13	22	5	4	13	13	31	-18

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	92	10	10	0	0	40	4	36
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	59	10	3	3	4	11	14	-3
03 Bala Town F.C.	51	10	3	5	2	13	11	2
04 Newtown AFC	44	10	3	2	5	14	15	-1
05 Caernarfon	41	10	2	4	4	12	29	-17
06 UWIC Inter Cardiff	39	10	1	2	7	7	24	-17

Relegation Quarter	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Pen-y-Bont FC	46	10	6	3	1	18	5	13
02 Haverfordwest County	43	10	4	3	3	10	7	3
03 Barry Town United	32	10	1	6	3	9	13	-4
04 Aberystwyth Town	27	10	3	3	4	9	11	-2
05 Pontypridd	25	10	3	3	4	10	10	0
06 Colwyn Bay	25	10	3	2	5	7	17	-10

Head To Head

18/08/2023 14:45

Caernarfon

2 - 1

Newtown AFC

Welsh PR

02/12/2022 15:45

Caernarfon

2 - 3

Newtown AFC

Welsh PR

30/08/2022 14:45

Newtown AFC

2 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

09/04/2022 09:30

Newtown AFC

1 - 0

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

11/03/2022 15:45

Caernarfon

0 - 4

Newtown AFC

Welsh PR

23/10/2021 12:15

Newtown AFC

1 - 0

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

Caernarfon

67%

Draw

Newtown AFC

33%

Newtown AFC Last 6 matches

26/09/2023 14:45

Pontypridd 0 - 1 Newtown AFC

Welsh PR

23/09/2023 09:30

Colwyn Bay 2 - 4 Newtown AFC

Welsh PR

16/09/2023 09:30

Newtown AFC 2 - 0 Barry Town United

Welsh PR

09/09/2023 09:30

Haverfordwest County 0 - 4 Newtown AFC

Welsh PR

01/09/2023 14:45

Newtown AFC 2 - 1 UWIC Inter Cardiff

Welsh PR

29/08/2023 14:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 3 - 1 Newtown AFC

Welsh PR

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Caernarfon

26/09/2023 14:45

Caernarfon 1 - 3 The New Saints

Welsh PR

23/09/2023 12:15

Caernarfon 1 - 0 Pontypridd

Welsh PR

16/09/2023 09:30

Pen-y-Bont FC 3 - 2 Caernarfon

Welsh PR

09/09/2023 09:30

Aberystwyth Town 2 - 4 Caernarfon

Welsh PR

01/09/2023 14:45

Caernarfon 0 - 4 Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Welsh PR

29/08/2023 14:45

Caernarfon 1 - 1 Bala Town F.C.

Welsh PR

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Played games

Newtown AFC

Caernarfon

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.48

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.55

Scored

Avg. per game

1.68

Conceded

Avg. per game

2.09

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 33 matches

YesNo

25 (76%)8 (24%)

In last 33 matches

NoYes

30 (88%)4 (12%)

Newtown AFC

Recent matches

Caernarfon

Under /Over

(79%)26 7(21%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(91%)31 3(9%)

Under /Over

(45%)15 18(55%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)15 19(56%)

Under /Over

(61%)20 13(39%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(74%)25 9(26%)

/Yes

(52%)17 16(48%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(71%)24 10(29%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Newtown AFC

Caernarfon

Shots

Newtown AFC

Total shots

8.88 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caernarfon

Total shots

10.44 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Newtown AFC Pass Caernarfon

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Newtown AFC

Played games

Caernarfon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

0.18

4.24

140

Corners

186

5.47

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

2.27

GK saves

112

3.29

Newtown AFC

DISCIPLINARY

Caernarfon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.48

1.85

0.06

0.12

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

How We Build the Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon on 07 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Newtown AFC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caernarfon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where Newtown AFC and Caernarfon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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