Citizen vs Sham Shui Po: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 October

Citizen

L L W L L

12th place in Hong Kong First Division League

2-3

11/10/2025 22:30

Sham Shui Po

W L D W D

4th place in Hong Kong First Division League

Hong Kong First Division League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Citizen vs Sham Shui Po on 11 October 2025 (kick-off: 22:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Citizen vs Sham Shui Po preview before placing your bet.

Citizen are currently 12th with 14 points after 26 matches.
Sham Shui Po sit 4th with 49 points from 26 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Citizen to win with probability 50%.
Head-to-head history favors Citizen, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Sham Shui Po have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

22:30

2025-10-11

Citizen vs Sham Shui Po - Prediction & Odds

Citizen

Sham Shui Po

2025-10-11 22:30

STANDINGS UP TO 11/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Supreme FC	71	26	23	2	1	106	28	78
02 WSE	66	26	21	3	2	102	21	81
03 South China AA	55	26	17	4	5	60	22	38
04 Sham Shui Po	49	26	15	4	7	47	36	11
05 Tung Sing FC	43	26	13	4	9	47	33	14
06 Central Western District RSA	39	26	12	3	11	60	44	16
07 Yuen Long FC	38	26	11	5	10	47	48	-1
08 Hoi Jing	38	25	11	5	9	50	52	-2
09 Shatin SA	35	26	10	5	11	45	45	0
10 RCFC	34	26	9	7	10	46	42	4
11 3 Sing FC	19	26	5	4	17	31	76	-45
12 Citizen	14	26	4	2	20	39	81	-42
13 Lucky Mile FC	11	26	3	2	21	24	106	-82
14 Kwun Tong	5	25	1	2	22	21	91	-70

Head To Head

12/01/2025 00:00

Citizen

4 - 1

Sham Shui Po

HK D1

21/12/2024 22:30

Sham Shui Po

2 - 3

Citizen

HK D1

07/11/2021 00:30

Citizen

1 - 4

Sham Shui Po

HK D1

20/06/2021 00:30

Sham Shui Po

4 - 2

Citizen

HK D1

10/11/2019 00:30

Sham Shui Po

0 - 2

Citizen

HK D1

27/01/2012 23:30

Citizen

1 - 0

Sham Shui Po

HK PR

Citizen

67%

Draw

Sham Shui Po

33%

Citizen Last 6 matches

04/10/2025 22:30

WSE 4 - 0 Citizen HK D1

27/09/2025 22:30

Citizen 3 - 5 Hoi Jing HK D1

20/09/2025 22:30

Tung Sing FC 3 - 1 Citizen HK D1

13/09/2025 22:30

Citizen 0 - 4 Supreme FC HK D1

18/05/2025 00:30

Citizen 5 - 0 Yuen Long FC HK D1

11/05/2025 00:10

WSE 0 - 2 Citizen HK D1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Sham Shui Po

27/09/2025 22:00

Sham Shui Po 2 - 2 Yuen Long FC HK D1

21/09/2025 00:00

Sham Shui Po 8 - 1 Lucky Mile FC HK D1

14/09/2025 00:40

WSE 4 - 0 Sham Shui Po HK D1

07/09/2025 00:30

RCFC 3 - 0 Sham Shui Po HK D1

01/06/2025 00:00

Sham Shui Po 0 - 3 South China AA HKFAJD CUP

18/05/2025 00:30

Sham Shui Po 1 - 1 Shatin SA HK D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Hong Kong First Divisi...

Played games

Goals

Scored

259

Avg. per game

1.93

Conceded

253

Avg. per game

1.89

Scored

199

Avg. per game

1.32

Conceded

310

Avg. per game

2.05

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 134 matches

YesNo

106 (79%)28 (21%)

In last 134 matches

NoYes

98 (65%)53 (35%)

Citizen

Recent matches

Sham Shui Po

Under /Over

(98%)44 1(2%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

/Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Citizen

Sham Shui Po

Shots

Citizen

Total shots

11.62 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Sham Shui Po

Total shots

9.73 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Citizen Pass Sham Shui Po

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Citizen

134

Played games

Sham Shui Po

151

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.16

Clean sheets

0.23

4.74

635

Corners

656

4.34

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.34

Offsides

0.27

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Citizen

DISCIPLINARY

Sham Shui Po

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.70

228

306

2.03

0.08

0.12

1.36

182

Fouls

198

1.31

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Citizen vs Sham Shui Po Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Citizen vs Sham Shui Po on 11 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Hong Kong First Division League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Citizen vs Sham Shui Po Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Citizen's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Sham Shui Po's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Hong Kong First Division League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Hong Kong First Division League standings and the Hong Kong First Division League form table to understand exactly where Citizen and Sham Shui Po sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Hong Kong First Division League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Hong Kong First Division League Predictions

Find every upcoming Hong Kong First Division League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less