Sham Shui Po vs Yuen Long FC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Sham Shui Po

W L D W D

4th place in Hong Kong First Division League

2-2

28/09/2025 01:00

Yuen Long FC

W L D L L

7th place in Hong Kong First Division League

Hong Kong First Division League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sham Shui Po vs Yuen Long FC on 28 September 2025 (kick-off: 01:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sham Shui Po vs Yuen Long FC preview before placing your bet.

Sham Shui Po are currently 4th with 49 points after 26 matches.
Yuen Long FC sit 7th with 38 points from 26 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Yuen Long FC to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors Sham Shui Po, who have won 3 of the last 5 meetings. Yuen Long FC have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

01:00

2025-09-28

Sham Shui Po vs Yuen Long FC - Prediction & Odds

Sham Shui Po

Yuen Long FC

2025-09-28 01:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Supreme FC	71	26	23	2	1	106	28	78
02 WSE	66	26	21	3	2	102	21	81
03 South China AA	55	26	17	4	5	60	22	38
04 Sham Shui Po	49	26	15	4	7	47	36	11
05 Tung Sing FC	43	26	13	4	9	47	33	14
06 Central Western District RSA	39	26	12	3	11	60	44	16
07 Yuen Long FC	38	26	11	5	10	47	48	-1
08 Hoi Jing	38	25	11	5	9	50	52	-2
09 Shatin SA	35	26	10	5	11	45	45	0
10 RCFC	34	26	9	7	10	46	42	4
11 3 Sing FC	19	26	5	4	17	31	76	-45
12 Citizen	14	26	4	2	20	39	81	-42
13 Lucky Mile FC	11	26	3	2	21	24	106	-82
14 Kwun Tong	5	25	1	2	22	21	91	-70

Head To Head

27/04/2025 03:30

Yuen Long FC

0 - 0

Sham Shui Po

HK D1

10/11/2024 03:30

Sham Shui Po

1 - 2

Yuen Long FC

HK D1

29/05/2022 01:30

Sham Shui Po

1 - 0

Yuen Long FC

HK LC

26/09/2021 03:45

Yuen Long FC

0 - 1

Sham Shui Po

HK D1

02/05/2021 03:30

Yuen Long FC

0 - 3

Sham Shui Po

HK D1

Sham Shui Po

60%

Draw

20%

Yuen Long FC

20%

Sham Shui Po Last 6 matches

21/09/2025 03:00

Sham Shui Po 8 - 1 Lucky Mile FC HK D1

14/09/2025 03:40

WSE 4 - 0 Sham Shui Po HK D1

07/09/2025 03:30

RCFC 3 - 0 Sham Shui Po HK D1

01/06/2025 03:00

Sham Shui Po 0 - 3 South China AA HKFAJD CUP

18/05/2025 03:30

Sham Shui Po 1 - 1 Shatin SA HK D1

11/05/2025 01:30

Sham Shui Po 2 - 1 Tuen Mun Football Team HK D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Yuen Long FC

21/09/2025 03:30

Yuen Long FC 1 - 3 Hoi Jing HK D1

14/09/2025 03:30

3 Sing FC 0 - 1 Yuen Long FC HK D1

07/09/2025 03:40

Yuen Long FC 0 - 3 Shatin SA HK D1

25/05/2025 05:30

Yuen Long FC 0 - 4 Central Western District RSA HKFAJD CUP

18/05/2025 03:30

Citizen 5 - 0 Yuen Long FC HK D1

11/05/2025 01:00

South China AA 2 - 3 Yuen Long FC HK D1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Hong Kong First Divisi...

Played games

Sham Shui Po

Yuen Long FC

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.81

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.38

Scored

Avg. per game

1.81

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.85

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 26 matches

YesNo

19 (73%)7 (27%)

In last 26 matches

NoYes

20 (77%)6 (23%)

Sham Shui Po

Recent matches

Yuen Long FC

Under /Over

(81%)21 5(19%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(88%)23 3(12%)

Under /Over

(31%)8 18(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(50%)13 13(50%)

Under /Over

(58%)15 11(42%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(54%)14 12(46%)

/Yes

(42%)11 15(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)13 13(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sham Shui Po

Yuen Long FC

Shots

Sham Shui Po

Total shots

12.15 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Yuen Long FC

Total shots

12.08 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Sham Shui Po Pass Yuen Long FC

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sham Shui Po

Played games

Yuen Long FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.38

Clean sheets

0.31

4.81

125

Corners

132

5.08

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

1.58

Offsides

1.31

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Sham Shui Po

DISCIPLINARY

Yuen Long FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.92

1.58

0.08

0.04

7.62

198

Fouls

148

5.69

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Sham Shui Po vs Yuen Long FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sham Shui Po vs Yuen Long FC on 28 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Hong Kong First Division League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sham Shui Po vs Yuen Long FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sham Shui Po's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Yuen Long FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Hong Kong First Division League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Hong Kong First Division League standings and the Hong Kong First Division League form table to understand exactly where Sham Shui Po and Yuen Long FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Hong Kong First Division League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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