Cheltenham Town vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 07 October

Cheltenham Town

L L W L W

21st place in England League 1

1-1

07/10/2023 10:00

Derby County

W D D W W

2nd place in England League 1

England League 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Cheltenham Town vs Derby County on 07 October 2023 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Cheltenham Town vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Cheltenham Town are currently 21st with 44 points after 46 matches.
Derby County sit 2nd with 92 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Derby County to win with probability 61%.
Head-to-head history favors Derby County, who have won 2 of the last 2 meetings. Cheltenham Town have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2023-10-07

Cheltenham Town vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Cheltenham Town

Derby County

2023-10-07 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 07/10/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Portsmouth	97	46	28	13	5	78	41	37
02 Derby County	92	46	28	8	10	78	37	41
03 Bolton Wanderers	87	46	25	12	9	86	51	35
04 Peterborough United	84	46	25	9	12	89	61	28
05 Oxford United	77	46	22	11	13	79	56	23
06 Barnsley	76	46	21	13	12	82	64	18
07 Lincoln City	74	46	20	14	12	65	40	25
08 Blackpool	73	46	21	10	15	65	48	17
09 Stevenage Borough	71	46	19	14	13	57	46	11
10 Wycombe Wanderers	65	46	17	14	15	60	55	5
11 Leyton Orient	65	46	18	11	17	53	55	-2
12 Wigan Athletic	62	46	20	10	16	63	56	7
13 Exeter City	61	46	17	10	19	46	61	-15
14 Northampton Town	60	46	17	9	20	57	66	-9
15 Bristol Rovers	57	46	16	9	21	52	68	-16
16 Charlton Athletic	53	46	11	20	15	64	65	-1
17 Reading	53	46	16	11	19	68	70	-2
18 Cambridge United	48	46	12	12	22	39	61	-22
19 Shrewsbury Town	48	46	13	9	24	35	67	-32
20 Burton Albion	46	46	12	10	24	39	67	-28
21 Cheltenham Town	44	46	12	8	26	41	65	-24
22 Fleetwood Town	43	46	10	13	23	49	72	-23
23 Port Vale	41	46	10	11	25	41	74	-33
24 Carlisle United	30	46	7	9	30	41	81	-40

Head To Head

28/02/2023 15:45

Derby County

2 - 0

Cheltenham Town

ENG L1

14/01/2023 11:00

Cheltenham Town

2 - 3

Derby County

ENG L1

Cheltenham Town

Draw

Derby County

100%

Cheltenham Town Last 6 matches

23/09/2023 10:00

Cheltenham Town 0 - 3 Stevenage Borough ENG L1

19/09/2023 14:45

Peterborough United 3 - 0 Cheltenham Town ENG L1

16/09/2023 10:00

Exeter City 1 - 0 Cheltenham Town ENG L1

05/09/2023 14:45

Bristol Rovers 4 - 1 Cheltenham Town ENG JPT

02/09/2023 10:00

Cheltenham Town 0 - 2 Barnsley ENG L1

26/08/2023 10:00

Cheltenham Town 0 - 1 Northampton Town ENG L1

Win

Draw

Lost

100%

Last 6 matches Derby County

23/09/2023 10:00

Carlisle United 0 - 2 Derby County ENG L1

19/09/2023 14:00

Derby County 2 - 0 Lincoln City ENG JPT

16/09/2023 10:00

Derby County 1 - 1 Portsmouth ENG L1

02/09/2023 10:00

Bolton Wanderers 2 - 1 Derby County ENG L1

26/08/2023 10:00

Peterborough United 2 - 4 Derby County ENG L1

19/08/2023 10:00

Derby County 1 - 0 Fleetwood Town ENG L1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England League 1

Played games

Goals

Scored

385

Avg. per game

1.28

Conceded

462

Avg. per game

1.54

Scored

406

Avg. per game

1.35

Conceded

347

Avg. per game

1.16

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

210 (70%)90 (30%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

233 (78%)67 (22%)

Cheltenham Town

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Cheltenham Town

Derby County

Shots

Cheltenham Town

Total shots

11.11 avg / game

Blocked

733 total

Avg. 3.27

Derby County

Total shots

11.42 avg / game

Blocked

831 total

Avg. 3.48

Cheltenham Town Pass Derby County

Total passes

85881

Avg. 334 / game

Accurate

64%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

100963

Avg. 382 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Cheltenham Town

300

Played games

Derby County

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.32

4.13

1238

Corners

1524

5.08

20.96

6289

Throw-ins

6384

21.28

1.41

424

Offsides

562

1.87

2.62

785

GK saves

684

2.28

Cheltenham Town

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.80

540

527

1.76

0.05

0.05

9.95

2985

Fouls

2991

9.97

12.39

3717

Tackles

3673

12.24

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Cheltenham Town vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Cheltenham Town vs Derby County on 07 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England League 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Cheltenham Town vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Cheltenham Town's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England League 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England League 1 standings and the England League 1 form table to understand exactly where Cheltenham Town and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England League 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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