Derby County vs Portsmouth: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 September

Derby County

W D D W W

2nd place in England League 1

1-1

16/09/2023 10:00

Portsmouth

D W D W L

1st place in England League 1

England League 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Derby County vs Portsmouth on 16 September 2023 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County vs Portsmouth preview before placing your bet.

Derby County will face Portsmouth in England League 1 on September 16, 2023 at 10:00.
Derby County are currently 2nd with 92 points after 46 matches.
Portsmouth sit 1st with 97 points from 46 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.03.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2023-09-16

Derby County vs Portsmouth - Prediction & Odds

Derby County

Portsmouth

2023-09-16 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 16/09/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Portsmouth	97	46	28	13	5	78	41	37
02 Derby County	92	46	28	8	10	78	37	41
03 Bolton Wanderers	87	46	25	12	9	86	51	35
04 Peterborough United	84	46	25	9	12	89	61	28
05 Oxford United	77	46	22	11	13	79	56	23
06 Barnsley	76	46	21	13	12	82	64	18
07 Lincoln City	74	46	20	14	12	65	40	25
08 Blackpool	73	46	21	10	15	65	48	17
09 Stevenage Borough	71	46	19	14	13	57	46	11
10 Wycombe Wanderers	65	46	17	14	15	60	55	5
11 Leyton Orient	65	46	18	11	17	53	55	-2
12 Wigan Athletic	62	46	20	10	16	63	56	7
13 Exeter City	61	46	17	10	19	46	61	-15
14 Northampton Town	60	46	17	9	20	57	66	-9
15 Bristol Rovers	57	46	16	9	21	52	68	-16
16 Charlton Athletic	53	46	11	20	15	64	65	-1
17 Reading	53	46	16	11	19	68	70	-2
18 Cambridge United	48	46	12	12	22	39	61	-22
19 Shrewsbury Town	48	46	13	9	24	35	67	-32
20 Burton Albion	46	46	12	10	24	39	67	-28
21 Cheltenham Town	44	46	12	8	26	41	65	-24
22 Fleetwood Town	43	46	10	13	23	49	72	-23
23 Port Vale	41	46	10	11	25	41	74	-33
24 Carlisle United	30	46	7	9	30	41	81	-40

Head To Head

29/04/2023 10:00

Derby County

1 - 1

Portsmouth

ENG L1

18/11/2022 16:00

Portsmouth

0 - 0

Derby County

ENG L1

12/08/2015 14:45

Portsmouth

2 - 1

Derby County

ENG LC

21/04/2012 10:00

Portsmouth

1 - 2

Derby County

ENG LCH

29/10/2011 10:00

Derby County

3 - 1

Portsmouth

ENG LCH

05/02/2011 11:00

Portsmouth

1 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

Derby County

33%

Draw

50%

Portsmouth

17%

Derby County Last 6 matches

02/09/2023 10:00

Bolton Wanderers 2 - 1 Derby County

ENG L1

26/08/2023 10:00

Peterborough United 2 - 4 Derby County

ENG L1

19/08/2023 10:00

Derby County 1 - 0 Fleetwood Town

ENG L1

15/08/2023 14:45

Derby County 1 - 2 Oxford United

ENG L1

12/08/2023 10:00

Burton Albion 0 - 3 Derby County

ENG L1

08/08/2023 14:45

Derby County 0 - 2 Blackpool

ENG LC

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Portsmouth

02/09/2023 10:00

Portsmouth 3 - 1 Peterborough United

ENG L1

29/08/2023 14:45

Portsmouth 1 - 1 Peterborough United

ENG LC

26/08/2023 10:00

Stevenage Borough 0 - 0 Portsmouth

ENG L1

22/08/2023 14:45

Portsmouth 3 - 3 Fulham U21

ENG JPT

19/08/2023 10:00

Portsmouth 0 - 0 Cheltenham Town

ENG L1

15/08/2023 15:00

Portsmouth 1 - 0 Exeter City

ENG L1

Win

33%

Draw

67%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England League 1

Played games

Derby County

Portsmouth

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.70

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.80

Scored

Avg. per game

1.70

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.89

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 46 matches

YesNo

40 (87%)6 (13%)

In last 46 matches

NoYes

38 (83%)8 (17%)

Derby County

Recent matches

Portsmouth

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Derby County

Portsmouth

Shots

Derby County

Total shots

12.52 avg / game

Blocked

157 total

Avg. 3.49

Portsmouth

Total shots

13.61 avg / game

Blocked

183 total

Avg. 4.07

Derby County Pass Portsmouth

Total passes

17868

Avg. 388 / game

Accurate

71%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

21795

Avg. 474 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

58%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Derby County

Played games

Portsmouth

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.48

Clean sheets

0.41

6.41

295

Corners

272

5.91

27.43

1262

Throw-ins

1244

27.04

2.83

130

Offsides

1.43

1.91

GK saves

105

2.28

Derby County

DISCIPLINARY

Portsmouth

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.70

110

2.39

0.04

0.09

10.63

489

Fouls

526

11.43

14.59

671

Tackles

573

12.46

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Queens Park Rangers (QPR)

How We Build the Derby County vs Portsmouth Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County vs Portsmouth on 16 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England League 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County vs Portsmouth Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Portsmouth's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England League 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England League 1 standings and the England League 1 form table to understand exactly where Derby County and Portsmouth sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England League 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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