Burnley vs Aston Villa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 10 May

Betiball's prediction for Burnley vs Aston Villa on 10 May 2026 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Burnley vs Aston Villa preview before placing your bet.

Burnley vs Aston Villa: Starting Lineups Time : 10/05/2026 09:00

Burnley
2 - 2
Finished
Aston Villa
88' event Jacob Bruun Larsen / Jaidon Anthony
87' event James Ward Prowse / Florentino Ibrain Morris Luis
80' event Zeki Amdouni / Zian Flemming
79' event Josh Laurent / Chimuanya Ugochukwu
69' event Lyle Foster / Hannibal Mejbri
60' event Zian Flemming
59' event Zian Flemming
8' event Jaidon Anthony
event 85' Leon Bailey / John McGinn
event 80' Lamare Bogarde / Matthew Cash
event 80' Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo / Ross Barkley
event 74' Emiliano Buendia Stati / Victor Nilsson-Lindelof
event 74' Lucas Digne / Ian Maatsen
event 56' Ollie Watkins
event 49' Tyrone Mings
event 42' Ross Barkley
event 39' Ollie Watkins Goal Disallowed - offside
88' event Jacob Bruun Larsen / Jaidon Anthony
event 85' Leon Bailey / John McGinn
87' event James Ward Prowse / Florentino Ibrain Morris Luis
event 80' Lamare Bogarde / Matthew Cash
80' event Zeki Amdouni / Zian Flemming
event 80' Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo / Ross Barkley
79' event Josh Laurent / Chimuanya Ugochukwu
event 74' Emiliano Buendia Stati / Victor Nilsson-Lindelof
69' event Lyle Foster / Hannibal Mejbri
event 74' Lucas Digne / Ian Maatsen
60' event Zian Flemming
event 56' Ollie Watkins
59' event Zian Flemming
event 49' Tyrone Mings
8' event Jaidon Anthony
event 42' Ross Barkley
event 39' Ollie Watkins Goal Disallowed - offside
Burnley Burnley
Substitutions
#7 Jacob Bruun Larsen
#9 Lyle Foster
#25 Zeki Amdouni
#20 James Ward Prowse
#29 Josh Laurent
#27 Armando Broja
#3 Quilindschy Hartman
#1 Martin Dubravka
#12 Bashir Humphreys
Burnley Burnley Aston Villa Aston Villa
15Shots18
6Shots on Goal7
17Fouls8
2Corner Kick8
8Free kick17
1Offside2
1Yellow card1
5Aerial1
5Save4
13Successful Tackles8
9Interceptions5
13Long pass19
1Assist2
3Successful center6
5Substitution5
4Shots off goal6
1Hit The Post0
5Head Success6
5Blocked5
13Tackle8
5Dribbles4
14Throw-in21
255Passes511
68Attacks92
28Dangerous attacks49
1Corner Kicks(HT)6
3BigChances3
2BigChancesMissed2
7ShotsInsideBox9
8ShotsOutsideBox9
39DuelsWon40
1.78ExpectedGoals1.42
1.76xGOpenPlay0.65
1.78xGNonPenalty1.42
1.84xGOT1.35
20Touches In Opposition Box30
15AccurateCrosses27
34GroundDuelsWon34
5AerialDuelsWon6
30Clearances13
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Substitutions
#10 Emiliano Buendia Stati
#21 Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo
#12 Lucas Digne
#31 Leon Bailey
#26 Lamare Bogarde
#40 Marco Bizot
#14 Pau Torres
#19 Jadon Sancho
#18 Tammy Abraham
Commentary
88' Burnley — substitution: Jacob Bruun Larsen / Jaidon Anthony
87' Burnley — substitution: James Ward Prowse / Florentino Ibrain Morris Luis
85' Aston Villa — substitution: Leon Bailey / John McGinn
80' Burnley — substitution: Zeki Amdouni / Zian Flemming
80' Aston Villa — substitution: Lamare Bogarde / Matthew Cash
80' Aston Villa — substitution: Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo / Ross Barkley
79' Burnley — substitution: Josh Laurent / Chimuanya Ugochukwu
74' Aston Villa — substitution: Emiliano Buendia Stati / Victor Nilsson-Lindelof
74' Aston Villa — substitution: Lucas Digne / Ian Maatsen
69' Burnley — substitution: Lyle Foster / Hannibal Mejbri
60' Zian Flemming - Burnley receive a yellow card
59' Goal! Zian Flemming - Burnley
56' Goal! Ollie Watkins - Aston Villa
49' Tyrone Mings - Aston Villa receive a yellow card
42' Goal! Ross Barkley - Aston Villa
39' VAR review - Aston Villa
8' Goal! Jaidon Anthony - Burnley

How We Build the Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Burnley vs Aston Villa on 10 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Burnley vs Aston Villa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Burnley's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Aston Villa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Burnley and Aston Villa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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