Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 January

Borussia Dortmund

L L W L W

2nd place in German Bundesliga

3-2

17/01/2026 10:30

St. Pauli

L D L L L

18th place in German Bundesliga

German Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli on 17 January 2026 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli preview before placing your bet.

Borussia Dortmund are currently 2nd with 73 points after 34 matches.
St. Pauli sit 18th with 26 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win with probability 70%.
Head-to-head history favors Borussia Dortmund, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. St. Pauli have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:30

2026-01-17

Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli - Prediction & Odds

Borussia Dortmund

St. Pauli

2026-01-17 10:30

STANDINGS UP TO 17/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Bayern Munchen	89	34	28	5	1	122	36	86
02 Borussia Dortmund	73	34	22	7	5	70	34	36
03 RB Leipzig	65	34	20	5	9	66	47	19
04 VfB Stuttgart	62	34	18	8	8	71	49	22
05 TSG Hoffenheim	61	34	18	7	9	65	52	13
06 Bayer Leverkusen	59	34	17	8	9	68	47	21
07 SC Freiburg	47	34	13	8	13	51	57	-6
08 Eintracht Frankfurt	44	34	11	11	12	61	65	-4
09 Augsburg	43	34	12	7	15	45	61	-16
10 FSV Mainz 05	40	34	10	10	14	44	53	-9
11 Union Berlin	39	34	10	9	15	44	58	-14
12 Borussia Monchengladbach	38	34	9	11	14	42	53	-11
13 Hamburger SV	38	34	9	11	14	40	54	-14
14 FC Koln	32	34	7	11	16	49	63	-14
15 Werder Bremen	32	34	8	8	18	37	60	-23
16 VfL Wolfsburg	29	34	7	8	19	45	69	-24
17 Heidenheimer	26	34	6	8	20	41	72	-31
18 St. Pauli	26	34	6	8	20	29	60	-31

Head To Head

23/08/2025 12:30

St. Pauli

3 - 3

Borussia Dortmund

GER D1

01/03/2025 10:30

St. Pauli

0 - 2

Borussia Dortmund

GER D1

18/10/2024 14:30

Borussia Dortmund

2 - 1

St. Pauli

GER D1

18/01/2022 15:45

St. Pauli

2 - 1

Borussia Dortmund

GERC

14/07/2016 12:30

Borussia Dortmund

3 - 2

St. Pauli

INT CF

08/09/2015 12:30

St. Pauli

1 - 2

Borussia Dortmund

INT CF

Borussia Dortmund

67%

Draw

17%

St. Pauli

17%

Borussia Dortmund Last 6 matches

13/01/2026 15:30

Borussia Dortmund 3 - 0 Werder Bremen GER D1

09/01/2026 15:30

Eintracht Frankfurt 3 - 3 Borussia Dortmund GER D1

19/12/2025 15:30

Borussia Dortmund 2 - 0 Borussia Monchengladbach GER D1

14/12/2025 10:30

SC Freiburg 1 - 1 Borussia Dortmund GER D1

10/12/2025 16:00

Borussia Dortmund 2 - 2 Bodo Glimt UEFA CL

07/12/2025 12:30

Borussia Dortmund 2 - 0 TSG Hoffenheim GER D1

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Last 6 matches St. Pauli

14/01/2026 13:30

VfL Wolfsburg 2 - 1 St. Pauli GER D1

04/01/2026 10:30

St. Pauli 0 - 0 Werder Bremen INT CF

21/12/2025 10:30

FSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 St. Pauli GER D1

13/12/2025 10:30

St. Pauli 2 - 1 Heidenheimer GER D1

06/12/2025 10:30

FC Koln 1 - 1 St. Pauli GER D1

02/12/2025 13:00

Borussia Monchengladbach 1 - 2 St. Pauli GERC

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German Bundesliga

Played games

Borussia Dortmund

St. Pauli

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

2.35

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.94

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.75

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 17 home matches

YesNo

16 (94%)1 (6%)

In last 17 home matches

NoYes

10 (63%)6 (38%)

Borussia Dortmund

Recent matches

St. Pauli

Under /Over

(82%)14 3(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(81%)13 3(19%)

Under /Over

(41%)7 10(59%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(25%)4 12(75%)

Under /Over

(47%)8 9(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(63%)10 6(37%)

/Yes

(41%)7 10(59%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(63%)10 6(37%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Borussia Dortmund

St. Pauli

Shots

Borussia Dortmund

Total shots

14.82 avg / game

Blocked

65 total

Avg. 3.82

St. Pauli

Total shots

10.56 avg / game

Blocked

43 total

Avg. 2.69

Borussia Dortmund Pass St. Pauli

Total passes

8904

Avg. 524 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

6919

Avg. 432 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Borussia Dortmund

Played games

St. Pauli

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.53

Clean sheets

0.13

7.24

123

Corners

5.75

18.06

307

Throw-ins

340

21.25

1.06

Offsides

2.19

2.47

GK saves

3.25

Borussia Dortmund

DISCIPLINARY

St. Pauli

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.59

1.69

0.00

0.06

11.53

196

Fouls

156

9.75

9.47

161

Tackles

165

10.31

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli on 17 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Borussia Dortmund's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against St. Pauli's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where Borussia Dortmund and St. Pauli sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More German Bundesliga Predictions

Find every upcoming German Bundesliga fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less