Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 January

Betiball's prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli on 17 January 2026 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli preview before placing your bet.

Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli: Starting Lineups Time : 17/01/2026 10:30

Borussia Dortmund
3 - 2
Finished
St. Pauli
90+5' event Maximilian Beier Penalty awarded
90+4' event Emre Can
83' event Carney Chukwuemeka / Julian Brandt
83' event Salih Ozcan / Felix Nmecha
71' event Maximilian Beier / Karim Adeyemi
71' event Sehrou Guirassy / Fabio Silva
71' event Yan Bueno Couto / Julian Ryerson
69' event Jobe Bellingham
54' event Karim Adeyemi
45+1' event Julian Brandt
43' event Karim Adeyemi
15' event Nico Schlotterbeck
event 72' Ricky-Jade Jones
event 64' Tomoya Ando / Adam Dzwigala
event 64' Louis Oppie / Lars Ritzka
event 64' Ricky-Jade Jones / Martijn Kaars
event 62' James Sands
event 38' Eric Smith
event 18' Martijn Kaars Penalty cancelled
90+5' event Maximilian Beier Penalty awarded
event 72' Ricky-Jade Jones
90+4' event Emre Can
event 64' Tomoya Ando / Adam Dzwigala
83' event Carney Chukwuemeka / Julian Brandt
event 64' Louis Oppie / Lars Ritzka
83' event Salih Ozcan / Felix Nmecha
event 64' Ricky-Jade Jones / Martijn Kaars
71' event Maximilian Beier / Karim Adeyemi
event 62' James Sands
71' event Sehrou Guirassy / Fabio Silva
event 38' Eric Smith
71' event Yan Bueno Couto / Julian Ryerson
event 18' Martijn Kaars Penalty cancelled
69' event Jobe Bellingham
54' event Karim Adeyemi
45+1' event Julian Brandt
43' event Karim Adeyemi
15' event Nico Schlotterbeck
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
Substitutions
#2 Yan Bueno Couto
#14 Maximilian Beier
#9 Sehrou Guirassy
#6 Salih Ozcan
#17 Carney Chukwuemeka
#16 Julien Duranville
#25 Niklas Sule
#33 Alexander Niklas Meyer
#39 Filippo Mane
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund St. Pauli St. Pauli
10Shots9
6Shots on Goal5
9Fouls11
5Corner Kick5
10Free kick9
1Offside2
3Yellow card1
21Aerial1
3Save2
10Successful Tackles22
7Interceptions12
34Long pass26
2Assist2
4Successful center6
5Substitution3
3Shots off goal1
0Hit The Post1
19Head Success14
1Blocked3
7Tackle11
11Dribbles8
20Throw-in18
648Passes364
163Attacks84
55Dangerous attacks38
1Corner Kicks(HT)1
4BigChances0
1BigChancesMissed0
7ShotsInsideBox7
3ShotsOutsideBox2
50DuelsWon51
3.09ExpectedGoals0.54
1.51xGOpenPlay0.35
2.3xGNonPenalty0.54
3.95xGOT1.1
23Touches In Opposition Box14
16AccurateCrosses18
31GroundDuelsWon37
19AerialDuelsWon14
20Clearances25
St. Pauli St. Pauli
Substitutions
#23 Louis Oppie
#15 Tomoya Ando
#26 Ricky-Jade Jones
#34 Jannik Robatsch
#9 Abdoulie Ceesay
#2 Manolis Saliakas
#17 Oladapo Afolayan
#14 Fin Stevens
#47 Emil Gazdov
Commentary
90+5' VAR review - Borussia Dortmund
90+4' Penalty scored! Emre Can - Borussia Dortmund
83' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Carney Chukwuemeka / Julian Brandt
83' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Salih Ozcan / Felix Nmecha
72' Goal! Ricky-Jade Jones - St. Pauli
71' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Maximilian Beier / Karim Adeyemi
71' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Sehrou Guirassy / Fabio Silva
71' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Yan Bueno Couto / Julian Ryerson
69' Jobe Bellingham - Borussia Dortmund receive a yellow card
64' St. Pauli — substitution: Tomoya Ando / Adam Dzwigala
64' St. Pauli — substitution: Louis Oppie / Lars Ritzka
64' St. Pauli — substitution: Ricky-Jade Jones / Martijn Kaars
62' Goal! James Sands - St. Pauli
54' Goal! Karim Adeyemi - Borussia Dortmund
45+1' Goal! Julian Brandt - Borussia Dortmund
43' Karim Adeyemi - Borussia Dortmund receive a yellow card
38' Eric Smith - St. Pauli receive a yellow card
18' VAR review - St. Pauli
15' Nico Schlotterbeck - Borussia Dortmund receive a yellow card

How We Build the Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli on 17 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Borussia Dortmund's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against St. Pauli's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Borussia Dortmund and St. Pauli sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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