Birmingham City vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 December

Birmingham City

L W D W W

10th place in England Championship

1-1

26/12/2025 08:30

Derby County

W L W L W

8th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Birmingham City vs Derby County on 26 December 2025 (kick-off: 08:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Birmingham City vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Birmingham City are currently 10th with 64 points after 46 matches.
Derby County sit 8th with 69 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Birmingham City to win with probability 52%.
Head-to-head history favors Derby County, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Birmingham City have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

08:30

2025-12-26

Birmingham City vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Birmingham City

Derby County

2025-12-26 08:30

STANDINGS UP TO 26/12/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Coventry City	95	46	28	11	7	97	45	52
02 Ipswich Town	84	46	23	15	8	80	47	33
03 Millwall	83	46	24	11	11	64	49	15
04 Southampton	80	46	22	14	10	82	56	26
05 Middlesbrough	80	46	22	14	10	72	47	25
06 Hull City	73	46	21	10	15	70	66	4
07 Wrexham	71	46	19	14	13	69	65	4
08 Derby County	69	46	20	9	17	67	59	8
09 Norwich City	65	46	19	8	19	63	56	7
10 Birmingham City	64	46	17	13	16	57	56	1
11 Swansea City	64	46	18	10	18	57	59	-2
12 Bristol City	62	46	17	11	18	59	59	0
13 Sheffield United	60	46	18	6	22	66	66	0
14 Preston North End	60	46	15	15	16	55	62	-7
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	58	46	16	10	20	61	73	-12
16 Watford	57	46	14	15	17	53	65	-12
17 Stoke City	55	46	15	10	21	51	56	-5
18 Portsmouth	55	46	14	13	19	49	64	-15
19 Charlton Athletic	53	46	13	14	19	44	58	-14
20 Blackburn Rovers	52	46	13	13	20	42	56	-14
21 West Bromwich(WBA)	51	46	13	14	19	48	58	-10
22 Oxford United	47	46	11	14	21	45	59	-14
23 Leicester City	46	46	12	16	18	58	68	-10
24 Sheffield Wednesday	0	46	2	12	32	29	89	-60

Head To Head

30/01/2022 09:30

Derby County

2 - 2

Birmingham City

ENG LCH

10/09/2021 15:00

Birmingham City

2 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

24/04/2021 10:00

Derby County

1 - 2

Birmingham City

ENG LCH

29/12/2020 13:30

Birmingham City

0 - 4

Derby County

ENG LCH

22/07/2020 14:30

Birmingham City

1 - 3

Derby County

ENG LCH

28/09/2019 10:00

Derby County

3 - 2

Birmingham City

ENG LCH

Birmingham City

33%

Draw

17%

Derby County

50%

Birmingham City Last 6 matches

20/12/2025 11:00

Sheffield United 3 - 0 Birmingham City ENG LCH

13/12/2025 11:00

Birmingham City 1 - 1 Charlton Athletic ENG LCH

09/12/2025 16:00

Queens Park Rangers (QPR) 2 - 1 Birmingham City ENG LCH

06/12/2025 11:00

Southampton 3 - 1 Birmingham City ENG LCH

01/12/2025 16:00

Birmingham City 2 - 1 Watford ENG LCH

26/11/2025 16:00

West Bromwich(WBA) 1 - 1 Birmingham City ENG LCH

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Derby County

20/12/2025 11:00

Derby County 1 - 1 Portsmouth ENG LCH

15/12/2025 16:00

Sheffield Wednesday 0 - 3 Derby County ENG LCH

10/12/2025 15:45

Derby County 1 - 1 Millwall ENG LCH

06/12/2025 08:30

Derby County 1 - 3 Leicester City ENG LCH

29/11/2025 11:00

Middlesbrough 2 - 1 Derby County ENG LCH

25/11/2025 15:45

Swansea City 1 - 2 Derby County ENG LCH

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Played games

Goals

Scored

393

Avg. per game

1.31

Conceded

372

Avg. per game

1.24

Scored

406

Avg. per game

1.35

Conceded

347

Avg. per game

1.16

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

222 (74%)78 (26%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

233 (78%)67 (22%)

Birmingham City

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Birmingham City

Derby County

Shots

Birmingham City

Total shots

11.93 avg / game

Blocked

785 total

Avg. 3.72

Derby County

Total shots

11.42 avg / game

Blocked

831 total

Avg. 3.48

Birmingham City Pass Derby County

Total passes

103978

Avg. 398 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

100963

Avg. 382 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Birmingham City

300

Played games

Derby County

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.32

4.81

1443

Corners

1524

5.08

21.06

6319

Throw-ins

6384

21.28

1.54

462

Offsides

562

1.87

2.27

680

GK saves

684

2.28

Birmingham City

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.75

524

527

1.76

0.05

0.05

10.88

3263

Fouls

2991

9.97

13.02

3907

Tackles

3673

12.24

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Birmingham City vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Birmingham City vs Derby County on 26 December 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Birmingham City vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Birmingham City's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Birmingham City and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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